玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.0532.88347.840.37153.250.16N/A主係因增加新產品出貨所致
2024/90.04-40.03207.160.32136.240.170.0主係因增加新產品出貨所致
2024/80.07-2.46529.040.28128.710.170.0主係因增加新產品出貨所致
2024/70.0783.2251.390.2190.840.150.0主係因增加新產品出貨所致
2024/60.04-9.94133.290.1557.110.090.0係因增加新產品出貨所致
2024/50.04513.96155.210.1141.20.070.0係因本月新產品開始出貨,致營業收入增加
2024/40.01-71.77-60.550.0710.530.040.0因本月客戶訂單減少所致
2024/30.02113.0411.760.0638.650.060.0-
2024/20.01-54.82-28.310.0464.950.040.0本年因年節因素而提早出貨,去年因中國疫情升溫,供應商提早及延長休假而延後出貨,故累計營收較去年增加
2024/10.02381.9300.160.02300.160.040.0係因2月逢年節休假,故於本月提早出貨所致
2023/120.01-61.69-45.490.17-12.490.030.0-
2023/110.0113.4410.180.16-10.760.040.0-
2023/100.01-8.85-0.420.15-12.280.040.0-
2023/90.0122.8-16.90.14-13.180.040.0-
2023/80.01-45.515.590.12-12.770.050.0-
2023/70.0221.63-50.450.11-14.180.050.0本月訂單減少所致
2023/60.02-1.48-38.650.091.410.050.0-
2023/50.02-5.0911.270.0817.430.050.0-
2023/40.02-20.01-13.40.0619.210.050.0-
2023/30.0236.6496.770.0440.070.040.0本月訂單增加
2023/20.02152.18214.710.029.270.030.0本年度由於1月年節休假及大陸疫情,致部分營收遞延至2月
2023/10.01-34.35-58.70.01-58.70.030.0本月訂單減少所致
2022/120.01-22.57-68.970.19-48.450.030.0本年度訂單減少所致
2022/110.012.52-52.690.18-46.60.040.0本期訂單減少所致
2022/100.01-23.9446.840.17-46.090.040.0本年訂單減少所致
2022/90.0256.04-22.480.16-48.570.060.0本期訂單減少所致
2022/80.01-74.43-76.880.14-50.430.080.0本月訂單減少所致
2022/70.0450.6172.660.13-45.650.080.0本月訂單增加所致
2022/60.0378.69-40.210.09-58.020.060.17本月訂單減少所致
2022/50.01-26.14-65.10.07-62.490.050.22本月訂單減少所致
2022/40.0281.73-54.00.05-61.660.040.28本月訂單減少所致
2022/30.01118.54-72.130.03-65.360.030.32本月訂單減少所致
2022/20.0-66.91-63.280.02-60.090.050.2本月訂單減少所致
2022/10.01-50.67-58.90.01-58.90.070.14本月訂單減少所致
2021/120.0318.0114.930.3716.470.060.16-
2021/110.03218.29-12.080.3416.610.050.19-
2021/100.01-59.85-57.330.3119.850.070.14本月客戶訂單減少所致
2021/90.02-53.47-46.520.325.930.090.12-
2021/80.0490.9690.70.2839.380.110.09本月訂單出貨增加
2021/70.02-47.85-48.330.2432.920.110.09-
2021/60.044.29121.540.2259.080.130.08客戶訂單增加
2021/50.04-2.6369.780.1748.570.120.08客戶訂單增加
2021/40.0410.157.750.1342.920.10.1客戶訂單增加
2021/30.04187.9364.060.0936.730.090.11本月客戶訂單較多
2021/20.01-62.968.60.0521.040.080.13-
2021/10.0437.9726.40.0426.40.090.11-
2020/120.03-9.73-13.590.32-40.780.070.13-
2020/110.0354.48-15.880.29-42.440.090.12-
2020/100.02-49.68-22.510.26-44.420.080.13-
2020/90.0465.9125.890.24-45.630.10.1-
2020/80.02-48.26-47.520.2-50.820.090.12係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/70.04123.63-6.430.18-51.20.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/60.02-20.07-44.20.14-57.720.070.14係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/50.02-9.53-39.250.12-59.370.080.13係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/40.0314.5-37.90.09-62.670.060.16係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/30.0290.59-68.40.07-68.00.070.15係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/20.01-56.89-68.230.04-67.760.070.14係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/10.03-5.68-67.560.03-67.560.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/120.03-12.11-46.980.53-53.290.0N/A係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/110.0342.29-56.990.5-53.630.0N/A係因客戶訂單減少所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.022023/10.012022/10.012021/10.042020/10.03
2024/20.012023/20.022022/20.02021/20.012020/20.01
2024/30.022023/30.022022/30.012021/30.042020/30.02
2024/40.012023/40.022022/40.022021/40.042020/40.03
2024/50.042023/50.022022/50.012021/50.042020/50.02
2024/60.042023/60.022022/60.032021/60.042020/60.02
2024/70.072023/70.022022/70.042021/70.022020/70.04
2024/80.072023/80.012022/80.012021/80.042020/80.02
2024/90.042023/90.012022/90.022021/90.022020/90.04
2024/100.052023/100.012022/100.012021/100.012020/100.02
N/AN/A2023/110.012022/110.012021/110.032020/110.03
N/AN/A2023/120.012022/120.012021/120.032020/120.03
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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