玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.7329.7569.7939.5226.7811.83N/A客戶出貨增加
2024/103.645.1637.534.7922.5611.08N/A-
2024/93.46-12.8321.4731.1521.0211.490.83-
2024/83.97-1.9735.1427.6820.9711.660.81-
2024/74.0511.6339.5723.7118.8811.550.82-
2024/63.63-6.0127.2419.6615.3510.870.75-
2024/53.8614.5431.7316.0312.9610.60.77-
2024/43.370.3311.9412.168.079.380.87-
2024/33.3626.9712.18.796.668.790.93-
2024/22.65-4.880.615.433.558.40.97-
2024/12.78-6.36.52.786.58.540.95-
2023/122.976.71-14.8834.14-42.868.40.85-
2023/112.785.07-28.6331.17-44.68.280.86-
2023/102.65-7.09-31.7128.38-45.798.440.85-
2023/92.85-3.02-39.8425.74-46.918.70.78-
2023/82.941.23-42.6822.88-47.688.70.78-
2023/72.91.77-48.7619.94-48.348.690.78-
2023/62.85-2.69-48.0217.04-48.278.80.82-
2023/52.93-2.66-47.414.19-48.328.940.81-
2023/43.010.48-40.4811.25-48.568.640.83-
2023/33.013.95-50.08.24-50.998.241.13營收較去年同期減少係因與去年同期相比本月出貨量減少所致。
2023/22.630.67-45.825.24-51.538.731.07本月營收較去年同期減少係因與去年同期相比本月出貨量減少所致。
2023/12.61-25.12-56.192.61-56.1910.00.93本月營收較去年同期減少係因1.適逢農曆春節工作天數較少2.與去年同期相比本月出貨量減少所致。
2022/123.49-10.52-39.2159.75-13.7611.270.99-
2022/113.90.54-30.8656.26-11.4712.520.89-
2022/103.88-18.14-30.2452.36-9.5813.750.81-
2022/94.74-7.61-22.1248.48-7.3815.540.93-
2022/85.13-9.5-14.6843.74-5.4416.290.89-
2022/75.673.25-7.7438.61-4.0616.730.87-
2022/65.49-1.52-11.0432.95-3.416.131.08-
2022/55.5810.13-8.0527.46-1.7116.631.04-
2022/45.06-15.59-7.9321.880.0415.911.09-
2022/36.023.52.8516.822.7216.821.2-
2022/24.86-18.592.8510.822.6416.561.21-
2022/15.973.892.475.972.4717.351.16-
2021/125.741.763.6669.2948.6916.941.16-
2021/115.641.447.2263.5554.7617.291.14客戶出貨增加
2021/105.56-8.6119.7357.9161.7517.661.12客戶出貨增加
2021/96.091.2237.8252.3568.0218.240.96客戶出貨增加
2021/86.01-2.1448.7646.2673.018.330.95客戶出貨增加
2021/76.14-0.4459.3940.2577.3218.380.95客戶出貨增加
2021/66.171.7994.4434.1180.9917.730.86客戶出貨增加
2021/56.0610.2771.0127.9378.2617.390.88客戶出貨增加
2021/45.5-5.755.7321.8780.3816.050.95客戶出貨增加
2021/35.8323.5122.316.3790.5116.370.83客戶出貨增加
2021/24.72-18.8966.4610.5476.5516.080.84客戶出貨增加
2021/15.825.185.675.8285.6716.620.81客戶出貨增加
2020/125.545.2654.8646.69.7415.440.77客戶出貨增加
2020/115.2613.2738.6741.065.5914.320.83-
2020/104.645.1922.6735.82.0113.10.91-
2020/94.429.2515.7531.16-0.4812.310.78-
2020/84.044.8520.426.74-2.7311.070.86-
2020/73.8521.449.9522.7-5.9510.570.9-
2020/63.17-10.47-6.5618.84-8.6510.250.77-
2020/53.550.41-3.415.67-9.069.70.81-
2020/43.5334.6-2.4912.12-10.598.990.88-
2020/32.62-7.51-30.88.59-13.548.590.94-
2020/22.84-9.53-3.335.97-2.919.550.84-
2020/13.13-12.34-2.533.13-2.530.0N/A-
2019/123.58-5.7412.7242.467.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.782023/12.612022/15.972021/15.822020/13.13
2024/22.652023/22.632022/24.862021/24.722020/22.84
2024/33.362023/33.02022/36.02021/35.832020/32.62
2024/43.372023/43.012022/45.062021/45.52020/43.53
2024/53.862023/52.932022/55.582021/56.062020/53.55
2024/63.632023/62.852022/65.492021/66.172020/63.17
2024/74.052023/72.92022/75.672021/76.142020/73.85
2024/83.972023/82.942022/85.132021/86.012020/84.04
2024/93.462023/92.852022/94.742021/96.092020/94.42
2024/103.642023/102.652022/103.882021/105.562020/104.64
2024/114.732023/112.782022/113.92021/115.642020/115.26
N/AN/A2023/122.972022/123.492021/125.742020/125.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.38%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.180.0200.0
24Q2 (19)0.1828.57157.14
24Q1 (18)0.147.69100.0
23Q4 (17)0.13116.67160.0
23Q3 (16)0.06-14.29-40.0
23Q2 (15)0.070.0-22.22
23Q1 (14)0.0740.0-36.36
22Q4 (13)0.05-50.0-54.55
22Q3 (12)0.111.11100.0
22Q2 (11)0.09-18.1812.5
22Q1 (10)0.110.0-26.67
21Q4 (9)0.11120.057.14
21Q3 (8)0.05-37.5-54.55
21Q2 (7)0.08-46.670
21Q1 (6)0.15114.290
20Q4 (5)0.07-36.36-46.15
20Q3 (4)0.1100.0

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