玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.22-10.15-28.7514.36-25.353.85N/A-
2024/101.366.75-15.3613.15-25.023.88N/A-
2024/91.271.34-38.811.79-26.03.850.69-
2024/81.25-5.37-44.810.52-24.083.770.7-
2024/71.3210.76-38.089.26-20.013.770.7-
2024/61.2-4.43-29.717.94-15.923.760.96-
2024/51.25-4.73-28.056.74-12.894.070.89-
2024/41.31-12.59-8.25.49-8.53.890.93-
2024/31.539.67-15.424.18-8.594.180.89-
2024/21.08-32.7-21.532.68-4.244.270.87-
2024/11.60.4112.421.612.424.90.75-
2023/121.59-6.87-1.3620.84-7.034.910.8-
2023/111.716.72-2.5619.24-7.475.390.73-
2023/101.6-22.81-4.2717.53-7.925.950.66-
2023/92.08-8.583.3215.93-8.276.490.54-
2023/82.276.1328.8213.86-9.796.110.57-
2023/72.1425.740.311.58-14.85.580.63-
2023/61.7-2.18-20.09.44-17.614.870.66-
2023/51.7421.54-20.137.74-17.064.950.65-
2023/41.43-19.46-22.296.0-16.134.580.71-
2023/31.7829.57-5.574.57-14.04.570.74-
2023/21.37-3.575.052.79-18.624.410.76-
2023/11.42-11.9-33.141.42-33.144.790.7-
2022/121.61-7.99-17.2722.418.675.040.79-
2022/111.764.85-11.5720.811.385.440.73-
2022/101.67-16.68-5.7219.0414.115.450.73-
2022/92.0113.9623.6717.3716.475.910.68-
2022/81.76-17.36-12.2915.3615.66.020.67-
2022/72.130.2728.4213.620.576.440.62-
2022/62.13-2.3327.2411.4619.216.150.68-
2022/52.1818.2526.869.3417.525.90.7-
2022/41.84-2.138.67.1614.955.030.83-
2022/31.8844.1532.745.3217.325.320.75-
2022/21.31-38.6314.043.4310.35.390.74-
2022/12.139.018.122.138.126.060.65-
2021/121.95-1.6626.620.6221.465.710.67-
2021/111.9811.7816.0618.6720.955.380.71-
2021/101.789.287.1216.6921.565.410.71-
2021/91.62-19.170.3814.9123.545.30.63-
2021/82.0120.9951.0913.2927.135.340.63去年本月因受疫情影響造成營收減少所致。
2021/71.66-0.6411.2111.2823.645.050.66-
2021/61.67-2.6240.959.6226.075.080.63-
2021/51.721.2429.737.9423.334.830.66-
2021/41.719.6115.496.2321.684.260.75-
2021/31.4223.8416.084.5324.174.530.74-
2021/21.14-41.8212.453.1128.244.650.72-
2021/11.9727.6539.651.9739.655.220.64-
2020/121.54-9.854.5216.98-10.674.910.66-
2020/111.713.171.1515.44-11.954.990.65-
2020/101.662.4-2.9513.73-13.354.610.7-
2020/91.6221.66-9.1712.07-14.64.440.58-
2020/81.33-10.94-26.7710.45-15.394.010.64-
2020/71.4925.93-6.39.12-13.424.00.64-
2020/61.19-10.37-30.097.63-14.693.980.67-
2020/51.32-9.86-20.596.44-11.094.010.66-
2020/41.4720.22-7.055.12-8.253.710.71-
2020/31.2219.97-14.143.65-8.723.650.72-
2020/21.02-27.7525.112.43-5.723.90.67-
2020/11.41-4.45-19.971.41-19.970.0N/A-
2019/121.47-12.755.7319.013.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.62023/11.422022/12.132021/11.972020/11.41
2024/21.082023/21.372022/21.312021/21.142020/21.02
2024/31.52023/31.782022/31.882021/31.422020/31.22
2024/41.312023/41.432022/41.842021/41.72020/41.47
2024/51.252023/51.742022/52.182021/51.722020/51.32
2024/61.22023/61.72022/62.132021/61.672020/61.19
2024/71.322023/72.142022/72.132021/71.662020/71.49
2024/81.252023/82.272022/81.762021/82.012020/81.33
2024/91.272023/92.082022/92.012021/91.622020/91.62
2024/101.362023/101.62022/101.672021/101.782020/101.66
2024/111.222023/111.712022/111.762021/111.982020/111.71
N/AN/A2023/121.592022/121.612021/121.952020/121.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.31%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.080.0-20.0
24Q2 (19)0.080.0-27.27
24Q1 (18)0.08-20.0-11.11
23Q4 (17)0.10.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.1-9.090.0
23Q2 (15)0.1122.2210.0
23Q1 (14)0.09-10.012.5
22Q4 (13)0.10.011.11
22Q3 (12)0.10.00.0
22Q2 (11)0.125.011.11
22Q1 (10)0.08-11.11-11.11
21Q4 (9)0.09-10.0-10.0
21Q3 (8)0.111.1111.11
21Q2 (7)0.090.0125.0
21Q1 (6)0.09-10.028.57
20Q4 (5)0.111.1142.86
20Q3 (4)0.09125.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.04-42.860.0
20Q1 (2)0.070.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.070.00.0

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