玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)590.00.00.40135.29273.910.5990.32942.860.66153.85371.436.2818.4949.1726.555.578.726.6068.8456.763.77103.78218.930.4195.24612.50.24140.0284.624.78100.0223.513.77103.78218.9321.89102.6476.74
24Q2 (19)590.00.00.1770.041.670.3163.1640.910.26160.0-27.785.325.313.7325.15-11.04-2.033.9151.55268.871.8539.124.160.2190.91320.00.166.6742.862.3959.331427.781.8539.124.16-0.631.130.97
24Q1 (18)590.00.00.10-67.74-58.330.19-61.22-51.280.10-77.78-58.334.23-26.56-16.5728.271.293.362.58-56.27-51.321.33-58.82-53.170.11-67.65-59.260.06-68.42-57.141.50-63.33-58.221.33-58.82-53.175.1383.52369.39
23Q4 (17)590.00.00.31234.78-55.710.49800.0-48.420.45221.43-82.695.7636.82-16.1627.9114.297.645.90418.92-34.33.23201.89-46.170.34525.0-45.160.19246.15-53.664.09205.68-39.233.23201.89-46.1713.58-28.45334.09
23Q3 (16)590.00.0-0.23-291.67-128.05-0.07-131.82-108.430.14-61.11-92.634.21-9.66-37.6324.42-4.87-15.12-1.85-274.53-119.49-3.17-312.75-144.21-0.08-260.0-112.5-0.13-285.71-127.08-3.87-2050.0-141.17-3.17-312.75-144.21-8.88-170.84-87.70
23Q2 (15)590.00.00.12-50.0-85.540.22-43.59-75.560.3650.0-66.674.66-8.09-32.3725.67-6.14-2.881.06-80.0-88.821.49-47.54-78.950.05-81.48-92.310.07-50.0-85.71-0.18-105.01-102.031.49-47.54-78.95-17.14-57.85-51.27
23Q1 (14)590.00.00.24-65.71-7.690.39-58.9534.480.24-90.77-7.695.07-26.223.0627.355.48-2.155.30-40.982.712.84-52.67-23.660.27-56.4528.570.14-65.85-6.673.59-46.66-23.452.84-52.67-23.66-12.21-40.17-22.25
22Q4 (13)590.00.00.70-14.6384.210.9514.46115.912.6036.84246.676.871.78-1.8625.93-9.8717.228.98-5.3756.996.00-16.3289.270.62-3.1255.00.41-14.5886.366.73-28.430.936.00-16.3289.27-0.12-7.923.34
22Q3 (12)590.00.00.82-1.2203.70.83-7.78144.121.9075.93400.06.75-2.038.728.778.8530.719.490.1196.897.171.27175.770.64-1.54113.330.48-2.04200.09.406.21126.517.171.27175.7732.60109.02101.28
22Q2 (11)590.00.00.83219.231975.00.90210.341025.01.08315.38881.826.8967.2384.7226.43-5.449.359.4883.72451.167.0890.32956.720.65209.52983.330.49226.672350.08.8588.7953.577.0890.32956.7213.0593.8288.12
22Q1 (10)590.00.00.26-31.58333.330.29-34.09866.670.26-65.33333.334.12-41.1427.5527.9526.361.35.16-9.79437.53.7217.35217.950.21-47.5600.00.15-31.82275.04.69-8.75219.053.7217.35217.95-14.214.58-2.34
21Q4 (9)590.00.00.3840.74-26.920.4429.41-36.230.7597.37-16.677.012.7228.4422.120.5-17.85.7218.67-33.183.1721.92-44.090.433.33-14.890.2237.5-29.035.1423.86-23.963.1721.92-44.0939.60307.87177.21
21Q3 (8)590.00.00.27575.017.390.34325.025.930.38245.450.06.2166.4950.7322.01-8.94-13.794.82180.23-2.032.60288.06-21.920.3400.050.00.16700.014.294.15394.05-6.952.60288.06-21.9240.98270.83245.83
21Q2 (7)590.00.00.04-33.33-55.560.08166.67-33.330.1183.33-21.433.7315.48-1.3224.17-12.4-9.641.7279.17-27.730.67-42.74-54.110.06100.0-33.330.02-50.0-66.670.84-42.86-60.190.67-42.74-54.11-12.62-60.8935.51
21Q1 (6)590.00.00.06-88.4620.00.03-95.65-57.140.06-93.3320.03.23-40.73-24.3627.592.535.830.96-88.79-22.581.17-79.3767.140.03-93.62-40.00.04-87.133.331.47-78.2556.381.17-79.3767.14-4.2218.8229.95
20Q4 (5)590.09.260.52126.09-11.860.69155.569.520.90136.841.125.4532.283.6126.915.4114.368.5673.9825.515.6770.27-6.740.47135.030.560.31121.43-3.126.7651.5715.165.6770.27-6.74--0.00
20Q3 (4)590.00.00.23155.560.00.27125.00.00.38171.430.04.128.990.025.53-4.560.04.92106.720.03.33128.080.00.2122.220.00.14133.330.04.46111.370.03.33128.080.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)590.00.00.0980.00.00.1271.430.00.14180.00.03.78-11.480.026.752.610.02.3891.940.01.46108.570.00.0980.00.00.06100.00.02.11124.470.01.46108.570.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)599.260.00.05-91.530.00.07-88.890.00.05-94.380.04.27-18.820.026.0710.790.01.24-81.820.00.70-88.490.00.05-86.110.00.03-90.620.00.94-83.990.00.70-88.490.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)540.00.00.590.00.00.630.00.00.890.00.05.260.00.023.530.00.06.820.00.06.080.00.00.360.00.00.320.00.05.870.00.06.080.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.225.531.620.1412.086.47N/A-
2024/102.11-1.4214.2617.9213.546.37N/A-
2024/92.140.6230.4815.8113.446.281.03-
2024/82.135.3743.9213.6711.176.161.05-
2024/72.020.0384.3311.556.75.781.12新專案持續導入,營收相對去年成長。
2024/62.0215.6333.369.53-2.025.31.18-
2024/51.7413.029.627.51-8.544.771.31-
2024/41.543.79-0.935.77-12.94.411.42-
2024/31.497.89-8.754.23-16.584.231.53-
2024/21.381.07-4.332.74-20.294.461.45-
2024/11.36-20.87-31.791.36-31.795.281.22-
2023/121.72-21.33-11.5819.69-20.045.761.14-
2023/112.1918.68-10.2817.97-20.775.671.16-
2023/101.8512.57-25.5715.78-22.034.961.32-
2023/91.6410.98-29.5713.94-21.544.211.7-
2023/81.4834.96-39.4512.3-20.334.081.75-
2023/71.09-27.62-44.8710.82-16.744.21.7-
2023/61.51-4.94-37.089.73-11.674.661.56-
2023/51.592.13-24.978.21-4.584.781.52-
2023/41.56-4.4-34.216.622.074.631.57-
2023/31.6313.12-9.135.0722.95.071.52-
2023/21.44-27.9356.153.4447.565.391.43二月份相較去年同期未受到農曆春節假期影響
2023/12.02.5641.932.041.936.391.21-
2022/121.95-20.17-32.7324.6322.146.871.24-
2022/112.44-1.540.3722.6831.347.251.18-
2022/102.486.5248.2220.2436.417.251.18-
2022/92.33-4.59-0.7117.7634.916.751.38-
2022/82.4422.8818.2515.4442.636.831.37-
2022/71.99-17.3810.3213.048.376.511.43-
2022/62.413.3382.9611.0158.26.891.18客戶訂單量增加及六月份持續改善缺料情況,營收相對去年成長。
2022/52.12-10.4364.848.6152.446.281.29五月份持續改善缺料情況,營收相對去年成長。
2022/42.3732.04109.256.4948.795.081.59四月份料況相對緩解,加大出貨力道以消化前線訂單需求。
2022/31.7994.445.864.1227.614.122.18-
2022/20.92-34.522.692.3316.415.231.72-
2022/11.41-51.3812.631.4112.636.741.33-
2021/122.919.1124.7120.1714.487.01.1-
2021/112.4345.3937.7917.2712.936.451.2-
2021/101.67-28.6422.3414.849.696.081.27-
2021/92.3413.6232.4813.178.276.211.26-
2021/82.0614.6578.6910.824.155.181.51中國大陸客戶旺季提前拉貨
2021/71.837.050.278.76-5.164.41.78中國大陸客戶旺季提前拉貨
2021/61.312.11-15.46.96-13.423.731.65-
2021/51.2913.6819.175.65-12.943.651.69-
2021/41.13-7.95-1.074.36-19.353.111.98-
2021/31.2363.53-10.413.23-24.253.231.59-
2021/20.75-39.87-30.732.0-30.824.321.19-
2021/11.25-46.17-30.861.25-30.865.340.96-
2020/122.3231.659.2717.6116.095.450.9主要因為中國大陸客戶出貨大幅增加。
2020/111.7629.09-21.115.2911.54.91.0-
2020/101.37-22.73-12.4613.5317.854.291.14-
2020/91.7753.2524.5212.1622.634.121.18-
2020/81.15-3.57-11.8410.3922.313.91.25-
2020/71.2-22.882.259.2428.533.831.27-
2020/61.5543.859.478.0433.653.781.27-
2020/51.08-5.626.496.4941.113.591.33-
2020/41.14-16.6431.95.4150.93.61.33累計營收增加,主係亞太地區客戶出貨升溫, 同時非常態性標案出貨亦增加所致
2020/31.3726.4341.314.2756.964.271.1主係亞太地區客戶出貨升溫, 同時非常態性標案出貨亦增加所致
2020/21.09-39.9884.932.8965.664.351.08主係增加非常態性標案出貨, 及去年同期有農曆春節假期故本月工作天數較多
2020/11.8124.0155.91.8155.90.0N/A主係109年1月增加非常態標案出貨
2019/121.46-34.81-14.2315.1733.140.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)590.00.45-82.561.02-65.7719.69-20.0626.49-2.572.95-65.781.35-78.370.58-72.640.25-86.840.27-82.47
2022 (9)590.02.58244.02.98220.4324.6322.1127.1916.58.62118.786.24182.352.12168.351.9171.431.54242.22
2021 (8)590.00.75-16.670.93-18.4220.1714.5423.34-11.423.94-14.532.21-26.820.79-2.470.74.480.45-15.09
2020 (7)599.260.901.121.145.5617.6116.0826.35-0.234.6111.083.02-3.820.8128.570.6742.550.5310.42
2019 (6)54116.00.8901.08015.1734.0126.4112.674.1503.1400.6300.4700.480
2018 (5)258.7-2.450-0.98011.3212.6423.44-1.1-5.480-5.470-0.620-0.660-0.620
2017 (4)2315.0-3.650-0.97010.05-21.9723.70-18.58-6.170-8.190-0.620-0.870-0.820
2016 (3)200.03.11-47.641.41-32.2112.88-2.9429.11-2.547.84-31.415.43-42.721.01-33.550.88-43.230.7-44.44
2015 (2)200.05.9464.092.08123.6613.2730.8729.876.3411.4368.589.4828.981.52120.291.5574.161.2668.0
2014 (1)2011.113.6216.40.93-13.0810.144.7528.0906.7807.3500.69-5.480.8936.920.7536.36

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