玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.11-9.188.7942.36.9412.97N/A-
2024/94.524.1510.8138.196.7513.450.0-
2024/84.34-5.145.6433.666.2213.270.0-
2024/74.585.3113.6229.326.3113.140.0-
2024/64.353.225.9724.745.0612.690.0-
2024/54.212.085.2720.394.8712.650.0-
2024/44.13-4.392.3216.184.7712.170.0-
2024/34.3215.825.2812.065.6312.060.0-
2024/23.73-7.180.757.745.8212.170.0-
2024/14.01-9.2911.014.0111.0112.560.0-
2023/124.437.5314.3748.0921.0112.320.0-
2023/114.128.996.9543.6621.7211.970.0-
2023/103.78-7.492.9639.5523.511.970.0-
2023/94.08-0.77.435.7726.1512.220.0-
2023/84.112.017.0431.6929.0612.240.0-
2023/74.03-1.7725.7427.5831.0612.130.0-
2023/64.12.5428.2623.5532.0212.140.0-
2023/54.0-0.7643.4219.4532.8412.130.0-
2023/44.03-1.6338.6515.4530.3511.830.0-
2023/34.110.8424.1911.4127.6511.410.0-
2023/23.72.2540.967.3129.6811.180.0-
2023/13.62-6.5519.873.6219.8711.330.0-
2022/123.870.5614.2939.7418.2311.390.0-
2022/113.854.9325.535.8718.6711.320.0-
2022/103.67-3.5136.3132.0217.910.980.0-
2022/93.88.224.2528.3515.8810.520.0-
2022/83.519.5915.9224.5514.689.920.0-
2022/73.20.198.1421.0414.489.190.0-
2022/63.214.6613.4417.8415.698.90.0-
2022/52.79-4.062.9114.6416.29.00.0-
2022/42.91-11.8813.0711.8519.848.830.0-
2022/33.325.8121.218.9422.228.940.0-
2022/22.62-13.0422.195.6422.829.030.0-
2022/13.02-10.8923.373.0223.379.470.0-
2021/123.3910.437.7333.619.789.140.0-
2021/113.0713.9716.7430.2210.018.810.0-
2021/102.69-12.049.6127.169.38.780.0-
2021/93.060.9511.4824.479.279.050.0-
2021/83.032.239.2221.418.968.810.0-
2021/72.965.111.1818.388.928.490.0-
2021/62.824.0111.115.428.498.10.0-
2021/52.715.419.3912.67.928.010.0-
2021/42.57-5.546.19.897.537.440.0-
2021/32.7226.8315.247.318.047.310.0-
2021/22.15-12.20.374.594.187.730.0-
2021/12.45-22.197.772.457.778.210.0-
2020/123.1419.6728.4730.6220.468.220.0-
2020/112.637.019.0727.4719.617.820.0-
2020/102.45-10.5413.1324.8520.847.970.0-
2020/92.74-1.0920.4322.3921.758.180.0-
2020/82.774.0730.2519.6521.947.980.0-
2020/72.675.0323.1316.8720.677.680.0-
2020/62.542.4116.4814.2120.227.440.0-
2020/52.482.2418.0911.6721.077.260.0-
2020/42.422.5820.789.1921.96.920.0-
2020/32.3610.4615.816.7722.316.770.0-
2020/22.14-5.7335.624.4126.16.850.0-
2020/12.27-7.2618.272.2718.277.120.0-
2019/122.451.621.6725.4122.120.0N/A-
2019/112.4111.027.8722.9722.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.012023/13.622022/13.022021/12.452020/12.27
2024/23.732023/23.72022/22.622021/22.152020/22.14
2024/34.322023/34.12022/33.32021/32.722020/32.36
2024/44.132023/44.032022/42.912021/42.572020/42.42
2024/54.212023/54.02022/52.792021/52.712020/52.48
2024/64.352023/64.12022/63.22021/62.822020/62.54
2024/74.582023/74.032022/73.22021/72.962020/72.67
2024/84.342023/84.112022/83.512021/83.032020/82.77
2024/94.522023/94.082022/93.82021/93.062020/92.74
2024/104.112023/103.782022/103.672021/102.692020/102.45
N/AN/A2023/114.122022/113.852021/113.072020/112.63
N/AN/A2023/124.432022/123.872021/123.392020/123.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 18.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.2613.510.0
24Q2 (19)1.11-5.93-37.99
24Q1 (18)1.18-23.87-30.59
23Q4 (17)1.5523.02-22.89
23Q3 (16)1.26-29.61-15.44
23Q2 (15)1.795.2915.48
23Q1 (14)1.7-15.4227.82
22Q4 (13)2.0134.9168.0
22Q3 (12)1.49-3.8723.14
22Q2 (11)1.5516.5472.22
22Q1 (10)1.3377.3354.65
21Q4 (9)0.75-38.02-24.24
21Q3 (8)1.2134.4447.56
21Q2 (7)0.94.655.88
21Q1 (6)0.86-13.13-15.69
20Q4 (5)0.9920.7362.3
20Q3 (4)0.82-3.530.0
20Q2 (3)0.85-16.670.0
20Q1 (2)1.0267.210.0
19Q4 (1)0.610.00.0

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