玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.29-29.89-73.034.43-53.441.12N/A訂單減少
2024/90.41-5.48-52.744.14-50.981.270.39訂單減少
2024/80.430.97-72.543.74-50.781.290.39訂單減少
2024/70.43-1.78-53.983.3-45.111.160.43訂單減少
2024/60.4344.69-50.792.88-43.490.990.68訂單減少
2024/50.315.95-69.852.44-41.950.960.71訂單減少
2024/40.26-35.94-70.212.14-33.291.230.55訂單減少
2024/30.4-28.03-60.111.88-19.571.880.29訂單減少
2024/20.56-38.62-23.791.4811.432.60.21-
2024/10.92-18.2155.580.9255.582.930.18訂單增加
2023/121.1225.3168.7911.53-22.053.070.22訂單增加
2023/110.89-15.65116.0610.41-26.322.820.24訂單增加
2023/101.0622.8486.929.51-30.623.490.19訂單增加
2023/90.86-45.089.198.45-35.693.360.4-
2023/81.5769.2471.537.59-38.563.380.4訂單增加
2023/70.935.0417.326.02-47.372.810.48-
2023/60.88-11.37-33.15.09-52.182.750.47訂單減少
2023/51.014.57-49.774.21-54.882.880.44訂單減少
2023/40.87-14.21-55.883.21-56.262.620.49訂單減少
2023/31.0137.5-51.092.34-56.42.340.69訂單減少
2023/20.7425.3-46.371.33-59.741.990.81訂單減少
2023/10.59-11.27-69.320.59-69.321.670.97訂單減少
2022/120.6660.4-56.1114.79-33.031.641.22訂單減少
2022/110.41-27.03-66.2814.12-31.331.771.14訂單減少
2022/100.57-28.24-56.1113.71-29.122.270.88訂單減少
2022/90.79-13.73-59.5113.14-27.192.56.16訂單減少
2022/80.9215.76-60.2512.35-23.273.035.08訂單減少
2022/70.79-40.11-60.1911.44-17.094.13.76訂單減少
2022/61.32-33.45-32.1910.65-9.845.282.76-
2022/51.990.63-13.619.33-5.436.032.41-
2022/41.97-4.880.057.34-2.945.422.69-
2022/32.0750.781.915.37-4.05.372.56-
2022/21.38-28.33-10.683.29-7.394.812.85-
2022/11.9226.96-4.881.92-4.884.662.95-
2021/121.5123.21-31.1722.08-0.694.033.28-
2021/111.23-5.0-40.420.572.644.472.96-
2021/101.29-33.81-35.5319.347.575.552.38-
2021/91.95-15.2912.5718.0512.976.242.05-
2021/82.315.936.6816.113.026.242.05-
2021/71.992.0-5.6913.814.166.232.05-
2021/61.95-15.2216.1711.8118.356.221.95-
2021/52.316.5517.129.8618.796.31.92-
2021/41.97-3.12-6.087.5619.315.552.19-
2021/32.0432.141.655.5931.885.592.0-
2021/21.54-23.68157.843.5658.925.751.94本月營收較去年同期成長,主要係客戶需求與出貨量增加。
2021/12.02-8.1222.932.0222.936.271.78-
2020/122.26.670.9722.24-18.936.261.67-
2020/112.062.76-31.7120.04-20.645.81.81-
2020/102.015.57-30.417.98-19.145.91.78-
2020/91.73-19.73-41.8115.98-17.476.01.73-
2020/82.162.48-21.8414.25-13.045.941.75-
2020/72.1125.66-18.2112.09-11.265.751.81-
2020/61.68-14.53-36.419.98-9.645.741.83-
2020/51.96-6.53-14.928.3-1.246.061.73-
2020/42.14.8533.086.343.924.72.23-
2020/32.0235.1814.124.24-6.244.242.49-
2020/20.6-63.61-42.962.24-19.154.412.39-
2020/11.64-24.53-4.671.64-4.676.831.54-
2019/122.18-27.85-8.6227.43-4.050.0N/A-
2019/113.024.720.8125.26-3.640.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.922023/10.592022/11.922021/12.022020/11.64
2024/20.562023/20.742022/21.382021/21.542020/20.6
2024/30.42023/31.012022/32.072021/32.042020/32.0
2024/40.262023/40.872022/41.972021/41.972020/42.1
2024/50.32023/51.02022/51.992021/52.32020/51.96
2024/60.432023/60.882022/61.322021/61.952020/61.68
2024/70.432023/70.932022/70.792021/71.992020/72.11
2024/80.432023/81.572022/80.922021/82.32020/82.16
2024/90.412023/90.862022/90.792021/91.952020/91.73
2024/100.292023/101.062022/100.572021/101.292020/102.0
N/AN/A2023/110.892022/110.412021/111.232020/112.06
N/AN/A2023/121.122022/120.662021/121.512020/122.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.09%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-50.0-88.89
24Q2 (19)0.02-75.0-77.78
24Q1 (18)0.08-11.11-11.11
23Q4 (17)0.090.0-93.13
23Q3 (16)0.090.0-96.0
23Q2 (15)0.090.0-95.38
23Q1 (14)0.09-93.13-94.97
22Q4 (13)1.31-41.78-20.61
22Q3 (12)2.2515.3845.16
22Q2 (11)1.958.9433.56
22Q1 (10)1.798.4826.06
21Q4 (9)1.656.4575.53
21Q3 (8)1.556.16287.5
21Q2 (7)1.462.82563.64
21Q1 (6)1.4251.06992.31
20Q4 (5)0.94135.0422.22
20Q3 (4)0.481.820.0
20Q2 (3)0.2269.230.0
20Q1 (2)0.13-27.780.0
19Q4 (1)0.180.00.0

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