玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.54-5.91-2.0415.9926.944.89N/A-
2024/91.64-3.617.3514.4531.155.060.68-
2024/81.7-0.8812.6612.8134.974.990.69-
2024/71.729.5936.6211.1139.24.910.7-
2024/61.57-3.1942.869.3839.564.730.74-
2024/51.624.9423.077.8139.024.580.76-
2024/41.548.936.136.1943.894.340.8-
2024/31.422.8518.814.6245.874.620.66-
2024/21.38-24.6325.933.2161.694.570.66因去年基期較低,致本期增加百分比遞增。
2024/11.8333.57105.731.83105.734.70.65因去年基期較低,致本期增加百分比遞增。
2023/121.37-8.7929.5115.46-3.274.450.75-
2023/111.5-4.8225.1814.09-5.34.610.73-
2023/101.583.1169.6412.59-7.974.620.73本期營收增加金額達50%以上,係因去年同期基期較低造成。
2023/91.531.1433.2911.02-13.624.30.58-
2023/81.5120.1963.679.49-17.863.870.64本期營收增加金額達50%以上,係因去年同期基期較低造成。
2023/71.2614.647.797.98-24.943.670.68-
2023/61.1-16.632.496.72-31.323.550.69-
2023/51.3216.07-5.185.62-36.973.640.67-
2023/41.13-4.94-42.434.3-42.833.420.71-
2023/31.199.01-46.133.18-42.863.180.78-
2023/21.0923.12-18.141.98-40.53.040.82-
2023/10.89-15.91-55.470.89-55.473.140.79本月因農曆春節連假影響出貨,致營收額相對去年減少.
2022/121.06-11.83-43.2815.94-34.13.180.84-
2022/111.228.98-33.6114.88-33.323.270.81-
2022/100.93-18.97-46.013.68-33.293.00.89-
2022/91.1524.19-39.0612.7-32.422.921.01-
2022/80.928.53-40.7711.55-31.742.61.13-
2022/70.852.73-41.5510.63-30.823.070.96-
2022/60.83-40.32-48.689.74-29.964.190.89-
2022/51.39-29.53-33.18.91-27.65.570.67-
2022/41.97-11.05-23.457.53-26.485.520.68-
2022/32.2165.65-18.745.55-27.655.550.51-
2022/21.34-33.02-39.773.33-32.515.20.54-
2022/12.07.09-26.582.0-26.585.660.5-
2021/121.863.19-20.5424.18-10.185.390.61-
2021/111.814.9-32.9622.32-9.25.410.6-
2021/101.72-8.56-42.520.52-6.285.160.63-
2021/91.8820.7-32.6418.81-0.474.90.56-
2021/81.567.1-40.916.935.014.630.59-
2021/71.46-9.79-35.7315.3713.995.140.53-
2021/61.61-22.2-31.8913.9324.196.260.5-
2021/52.07-19.36-14.612.3139.357.370.43-
2021/42.57-5.5713.9510.2459.817.520.42營收相較去年增加原因為去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響及本年度新產品出貨數量增加所致。
2021/32.7222.7837.627.6684.687.660.32營收相較去年增加原因為去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響及本年度新產品出貨數量增加所致。
2021/22.22-18.36181.644.94127.627.280.34去年新冠肺炎疫情影響復工,造成同期基期較低。
2021/12.7215.9196.82.7296.87.760.31去年同期因農曆年假影響,相對基期較低。
2020/122.35-12.934.7126.93-22.448.030.41-
2020/112.69-10.01-6.624.59-24.298.480.39-
2020/102.997.1-2.6921.89-26.018.430.39-
2020/92.795.91-9.718.91-28.677.70.27-
2020/82.6416.47-18.8816.12-31.147.270.28-
2020/72.27-4.4-28.113.48-33.127.060.29-
2020/62.37-2.46-26.5311.21-34.17.060.31-
2020/52.437.6-36.548.84-35.826.670.33-
2020/42.2614.03-35.536.41-35.545.030.44-
2020/31.98151.28-22.884.15-35.544.150.46-
2020/20.79-42.95-55.922.17-43.94.410.43新冠肺炎疫情影響復工
2020/11.38-38.32-33.561.38-33.566.50.29-
2019/122.24-22.3466.9834.71110.540.0N/A因新產品出貨數量增加所致。
2019/112.88-6.2591.0732.48114.40.0N/A因新產品出貨數量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.832023/10.892022/12.02021/12.722020/11.38
2024/21.382023/21.092022/21.342021/22.222020/20.79
2024/31.422023/31.192022/32.212021/32.722020/31.98
2024/41.542023/41.132022/41.972021/42.572020/42.26
2024/51.622023/51.322022/51.392021/52.072020/52.43
2024/61.572023/61.12022/60.832021/61.612020/62.37
2024/71.722023/71.262022/70.852021/71.462020/72.27
2024/81.72023/81.512022/80.922021/81.562020/82.64
2024/91.642023/91.532022/91.152021/91.882020/92.79
2024/101.542023/101.582022/100.932021/101.722020/102.99
N/AN/A2023/111.52022/111.22021/111.812020/112.69
N/AN/A2023/121.372022/121.062021/121.862020/122.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.34%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8-18.37-9.09
24Q2 (19)0.98-4.856.52
24Q1 (18)1.0314.4427.16
23Q4 (17)0.92.279.76
23Q3 (16)0.88-4.35-6.38
23Q2 (15)0.9213.58-1.08
23Q1 (14)0.81-1.22-16.49
22Q4 (13)0.82-12.771.23
22Q3 (12)0.941.085.62
22Q2 (11)0.93-4.12-2.11
22Q1 (10)0.9719.75-3.96
21Q4 (9)0.81-8.99-28.32
21Q3 (8)0.89-6.32-21.93
21Q2 (7)0.95-5.94-29.1
21Q1 (6)1.01-10.62-29.86
20Q4 (5)1.13-0.88-27.1
20Q3 (4)1.14-14.930.0
20Q2 (3)1.34-6.940.0
20Q1 (2)1.44-7.10.0
19Q4 (1)1.550.00.0

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