玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.86-10.9115.9120.048.185.89N/A-
2024/92.097.311.4718.187.455.90.77-
2024/81.944.320.8316.098.285.760.79-
2024/71.86-4.5523.114.146.757.260.63-
2024/61.95-43.272.6412.284.647.010.62-
2024/53.44113.4210.5310.335.036.90.63-
2024/41.61-12.63-7.846.882.484.860.9-
2024/31.8531.62-0.245.276.125.270.79-
2024/21.4-30.46-9.613.429.915.330.78-
2024/12.026.029.342.0229.345.920.7-
2023/121.9-4.880.9722.42-4.585.510.73-
2023/112.024.770.1920.52-5.075.660.71-
2023/101.6-22.01-19.2918.52-5.65.270.76-
2023/92.0627.780.7116.92-4.065.180.9-
2023/81.616.26-30.0914.86-4.695.030.93-
2023/71.51-20.42-21.7413.25-0.296.530.71-
2023/61.9-38.91-10.811.733.366.770.61-
2023/53.1277.9445.619.836.646.720.61-
2023/41.75-5.430.976.72-5.135.160.8-
2023/31.8519.25-19.574.96-7.114.960.84-
2023/21.55-0.484.873.112.315.00.84-
2023/11.56-17.25-0.11.56-0.15.440.77-
2022/121.89-5.62-1.7723.5-0.255.870.81-
2022/112.00.5112.6821.62-0.116.030.79-
2022/101.99-2.674.9719.62-1.256.330.75-
2022/92.04-11.3-4.9117.63-1.916.280.77-
2022/82.318.95-1.4515.59-1.56.370.76-
2022/71.94-9.29-20.5913.29-1.516.210.78-
2022/62.13-0.276.0511.352.696.010.81-
2022/52.1423.3920.919.221.946.180.79-
2022/41.73-24.68-2.47.08-2.665.520.88-
2022/32.355.510.535.34-2.755.340.86-
2022/21.48-5.2-7.083.04-5.14.960.93-
2022/11.56-18.63-3.141.56-3.145.250.88-
2021/121.928.28-12.5723.5617.945.590.79-
2021/111.77-6.37-16.7121.6421.715.810.76-
2021/101.89-11.8314.0719.8726.946.380.69-
2021/92.15-8.0820.9817.9828.476.920.63-
2021/82.34-4.1547.4115.8329.566.790.64-
2021/72.4421.1660.913.4926.896.220.7本月較去年同期增加主要係因客戶訂單需求增加。
2021/62.0113.6919.9511.0521.245.560.73-
2021/51.77-0.427.349.0421.535.840.69-
2021/41.78-22.4115.37.2720.25.660.72-
2021/32.2943.7356.45.521.875.50.68本月較去年同期增加主要係因客戶訂單需求增加。
2021/21.59-1.19-2.643.215.275.40.7-
2021/11.61-26.5514.471.6114.475.940.63-
2020/122.23.15-3.1519.98-4.05.980.61-
2020/112.1328.2316.417.78-4.15.560.66-
2020/101.66-6.49-15.7715.65-6.355.020.73-
2020/91.7811.992.4113.99-5.094.880.89-
2020/81.584.61-14.3412.22-6.094.780.9-
2020/71.52-9.67-8.1310.63-4.724.580.94-
2020/61.6820.7-7.819.12-4.134.610.94-
2020/51.39-9.82-26.857.44-3.264.390.99-
2020/41.545.2321.216.054.474.640.93-
2020/31.46-10.53-17.94.51-0.234.511.01-
2020/21.6416.1821.783.0511.285.310.86-
2020/11.41-37.871.141.411.145.50.83-
2019/122.2723.998.8420.812.270.0N/A-
2019/111.83-7.2211.9718.541.520.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.022023/11.562022/11.562021/11.612020/11.41
2024/21.42023/21.552022/21.482021/21.592020/21.64
2024/31.852023/31.852022/32.32021/32.292020/31.46
2024/41.612023/41.752022/41.732021/41.782020/41.54
2024/53.442023/53.122022/52.142021/51.772020/51.39
2024/61.952023/61.92022/62.132021/62.012020/61.68
2024/71.862023/71.512022/71.942021/72.442020/71.52
2024/81.942023/81.612022/82.32021/82.342020/81.58
2024/92.092023/92.062022/92.042021/92.152020/91.78
2024/101.862023/101.62022/101.992021/101.892020/101.66
N/AN/A2023/112.02022/112.02021/111.772020/112.13
N/AN/A2023/121.92022/121.892021/121.922020/122.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.79%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.664.760.0
24Q2 (19)0.63-17.11-8.7
24Q1 (18)0.76-13.64-1.3
23Q4 (17)0.8833.337.32
23Q3 (16)0.66-4.35-24.14
23Q2 (15)0.69-10.39-18.82
23Q1 (14)0.77-6.18.45
22Q4 (13)0.82-5.7518.84
22Q3 (12)0.872.3533.85
22Q2 (11)0.8519.7232.81
22Q1 (10)0.712.91.43
21Q4 (9)0.696.1511.29
21Q3 (8)0.651.5627.45
21Q2 (7)0.64-8.5768.42
21Q1 (6)0.712.948.94
20Q4 (5)0.6221.5767.57
20Q3 (4)0.5134.210.0
20Q2 (3)0.38-19.150.0
20Q1 (2)0.4727.030.0
19Q4 (1)0.370.00.0

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