玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1013.18.7826.21111.6911.9337.17N/A-
2024/912.040.1317.0798.5810.2735.930.86-
2024/812.031.442.9286.549.3935.40.88-
2024/711.862.949.8974.5110.5134.870.89-
2024/611.520.1714.162.6510.6234.010.82-
2024/511.54.5523.8351.149.8733.440.83-
2024/411.00.4922.0839.646.3929.820.94-
2024/310.9438.810.1728.641.3928.640.87-
2024/27.88-19.7-13.5517.7-3.3628.450.88-
2024/19.82-8.76.729.826.7230.660.82-
2023/1210.756.55-4.55120.630.2531.230.79-
2023/1110.09-2.78-15.58109.870.7530.760.81-
2023/1010.380.9-5.6599.782.7632.360.77-
2023/910.29-11.97-14.5989.43.8432.760.84-
2023/811.698.314.1479.116.8332.570.84-
2023/710.796.8917.3467.427.3130.170.91-
2023/610.098.71-8.1256.645.628.390.98-
2023/59.283.072.7646.549.1328.220.99-
2023/49.01-9.316.1837.2610.8428.060.99-
2023/39.938.915.6428.2512.4228.251.07-
2023/29.12-0.8632.7618.3216.4729.581.02-
2023/19.2-18.353.849.23.8432.420.93-
2022/1211.27-5.7627.19120.3236.734.230.98-
2022/1111.968.6546.8109.0537.7735.00.96-
2022/1011.0-8.6545.6497.136.7334.270.98-
2022/912.057.3355.7186.0935.6732.461.06因客戶端需求成長,致本月較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上。
2022/811.2222.0346.674.0532.8931.41.09-
2022/79.2-16.317.3562.8330.7129.221.18-
2022/610.9921.5945.353.6333.3128.51.14-
2022/59.036.523.9942.6530.5326.921.21-
2022/48.48-9.7723.8933.6132.4124.751.32-
2022/39.436.8640.125.1335.5625.131.14-
2022/26.87-22.4523.5115.7332.9824.591.16-
2022/18.860.041.388.8641.3825.861.11-
2021/128.868.7636.4288.0128.5624.561.08-
2021/118.147.7944.9879.1527.7423.431.13-
2021/107.55-2.3350.4871.0126.0222.941.15因客戶端需求成長,致本月較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上。
2021/97.741.0635.4463.4523.6323.221.01-
2021/87.65-2.336.8555.7222.1523.051.02-
2021/77.843.6344.7648.0620.122.681.03-
2021/67.563.7628.7740.2316.2421.690.94-
2021/57.296.4124.9832.6713.6820.840.98-
2021/46.852.0310.5725.3810.819.121.07-
2021/36.7120.652.6118.5410.8918.540.97-
2021/25.56-11.2319.4811.8316.2118.320.98-
2021/16.27-3.513.456.2713.4518.380.98-
2020/126.4915.5829.0468.4524.7217.130.97-
2020/115.6211.8811.161.9624.2816.351.02-
2020/105.02-12.09-3.1356.3525.7716.321.02-
2020/95.712.1116.4651.3229.5516.720.99-
2020/85.593.3323.345.6131.416.880.98-
2020/75.41-7.8122.7140.0232.6217.110.97-
2020/65.870.7227.4934.6134.3217.890.91-
2020/55.83-5.8529.0428.7435.818.560.88-
2020/46.19-5.357.8222.9137.6417.390.94因新增子公司營收,致本月較去年同期增加達50%以上。
2020/36.5440.4857.0716.7231.4116.720.95因新增子公司營收,致本月較去年同期增加達50%以上。
2020/24.65-15.7132.810.1818.9315.211.04-
2020/15.529.759.35.529.315.611.01-
2019/125.03-0.4814.7154.8917.220.0N/A-
2019/115.06-2.4523.5549.8517.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.822023/19.22022/18.862021/16.272020/15.52
2024/27.882023/29.122022/26.872021/25.562020/24.65
2024/310.942023/39.932022/39.42021/36.712020/36.54
2024/411.02023/49.012022/48.482021/46.852020/46.19
2024/511.52023/59.282022/59.032021/57.292020/55.83
2024/611.522023/610.092022/610.992021/67.562020/65.87
2024/711.862023/710.792022/79.22021/77.842020/75.41
2024/812.032023/811.692022/811.222021/87.652020/85.59
2024/912.042023/910.292022/912.052021/97.742020/95.71
2024/1013.12023/1010.382022/1011.02021/107.552020/105.02
N/AN/A2023/1110.092022/1111.962021/118.142020/115.62
N/AN/A2023/1210.752022/1211.272021/128.862020/126.49
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.48%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.6442.2220.75
24Q2 (19)0.457.1428.57
24Q1 (18)0.42-8.750.0
23Q4 (17)0.46-13.21119.05
23Q3 (16)0.5351.43120.83
23Q2 (15)0.3525.059.09
23Q1 (14)0.2833.33-6.67
22Q4 (13)0.21-12.5-19.23
22Q3 (12)0.249.09-22.58
22Q2 (11)0.22-26.67-72.84
22Q1 (10)0.315.380
21Q4 (9)0.26-16.130
21Q3 (8)0.31-61.730
21Q2 (7)0.8100

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