玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.37-5.7467.32.68-23.111.03N/A主要係印度客戶需求增加
2024/100.3946.727.552.31-29.270.85N/A-
2024/90.2744.48-28.841.91-35.210.622.73-
2024/80.199.92-43.211.64-36.140.582.94-
2024/70.17-24.4-37.431.46-35.110.622.76-
2024/60.220.06-24.81.29-34.790.792.06-
2024/50.22-34.25-30.111.07-36.560.712.27-
2024/40.34125.477.630.84-38.080.632.56-
2024/30.155.85-44.20.5-51.890.53.38終端客戶需求減緩
2024/20.14-32.12-66.170.35-54.570.572.96終端客戶需求減緩
2024/10.21-5.31-40.790.21-40.790.652.6-
2023/120.22-0.13-26.443.7-46.040.752.25-
2023/110.22-28.13-54.133.48-46.940.911.86歐洲客戶依銷售狀況調整訂單
2023/100.31-18.16-30.13.26-46.371.011.67-
2023/90.3815.3-39.352.95-47.650.971.85-
2023/80.3321.1-48.732.57-48.680.892.01-
2023/70.27-9.13-49.732.25-48.670.892.03-
2023/60.3-6.99-48.561.98-48.520.932.07-
2023/50.321.25-49.811.68-48.510.912.13-
2023/40.3216.88-55.461.36-48.191.011.92客戶庫存調整,本月出貨減緩
2023/30.27-35.82-62.71.05-45.511.052.1客戶庫存調整,本月出貨減緩
2023/20.4218.7912.90.78-35.091.082.04-
2023/10.3517.63-56.870.35-56.871.141.92客戶庫存去化,本期出貨需求減緩
2022/120.3-37.73-65.286.87-19.571.231.82歐洲業績受烏俄戰爭影響,既有訂單遞延出貨。
2022/110.489.52-38.516.56-14.391.551.44-
2022/100.44-28.99-31.566.08-11.641.71.31-
2022/90.62-2.52-38.765.64-9.581.81.32-
2022/80.6418.74-25.755.02-3.91.751.35-
2022/70.54-7.03-25.254.380.391.751.35-
2022/60.58-9.25-7.483.845.461.921.27-
2022/50.64-10.12-16.113.268.132.071.18-
2022/40.71-2.1116.812.6316.291.811.36-
2022/30.7294.2643.651.9216.11.921.27-
2022/20.37-54.62-26.231.194.02.061.18-
2022/10.82-5.2927.770.8227.772.480.98-
2021/120.8710.2749.548.546.632.31.0-
2021/110.7921.9-10.437.673.272.450.94-
2021/100.65-36.46-25.146.885.112.520.92-
2021/91.0218.1622.386.249.72.590.8-
2021/80.8619.544.065.227.542.20.94-
2021/70.7215.07-1.764.368.252.10.99-
2021/60.62-17.72-19.843.6410.471.991.03-
2021/50.7625.1644.93.0219.861.871.1-
2021/40.6120.3724.62.2613.281.621.27-
2021/30.5-0.24-12.481.659.621.651.16-
2021/20.51-21.4120.711.1523.31.731.11-
2021/10.6410.8425.410.6425.412.10.91-
2020/120.58-33.9524.858.027.742.320.76-
2020/110.881.8751.997.4227.982.570.69印度客戶出貨增加
2020/100.863.8862.416.5525.322.520.7印度客戶出貨增加
2020/90.830.47110.275.6821.132.390.7印度客戶出貨增加
2020/80.8312.8635.664.8512.942.340.71-
2020/70.73-6.11133.854.039.192.040.82印度客戶出貨增加
2020/60.7848.7340.93.3-2.351.790.85-
2020/50.527.625.922.52-10.821.590.96-
2020/40.49-15.45-15.91.99-14.381.481.03-
2020/30.5837.6-8.981.51-13.881.510.72-
2020/20.42-18.35-17.620.93-16.651.40.78-
2020/10.5110.34-15.840.51-15.840.0N/A-
2019/120.46-19.59-28.996.27-10.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.212023/10.352022/10.822021/10.642020/10.51
2024/20.142023/20.422022/20.372021/20.512020/20.42
2024/30.152023/30.272022/30.722021/30.52020/30.58
2024/40.342023/40.322022/40.712021/40.612020/40.49
2024/50.222023/50.322022/50.642021/50.762020/50.52
2024/60.222023/60.32022/60.582021/60.622020/60.78
2024/70.172023/70.272022/70.542021/70.722020/70.73
2024/80.192023/80.332022/80.642021/80.862020/80.83
2024/90.272023/90.382022/90.622021/91.022020/90.83
2024/100.392023/100.312022/100.442021/100.652020/100.86
2024/110.372023/110.222022/110.482021/110.792020/110.88
N/AN/A2023/120.222022/120.32021/120.872020/120.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.31%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010-50.0

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