玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.44-2.225.3814.126.134.32N/A-
2024/91.485.695.9712.676.224.370.0-
2024/81.4-6.713.0311.196.254.230.0-
2024/71.512.4715.19.86.734.260.0-
2024/61.33-6.835.78.35.344.160.0-
2024/51.432.540.546.965.274.210.0-
2024/41.390.6915.975.536.573.990.0-
2024/31.3914.25-8.954.143.734.140.0-
2024/21.21-21.424.352.7611.554.240.0-
2024/11.543.7917.951.5417.954.490.0-
2023/121.492.031.516.24-2.724.310.0-
2023/111.466.270.6914.76-3.134.220.0-
2023/101.37-1.681.1313.3-3.534.120.0-
2023/91.392.76-1.3311.93-4.044.050.0-
2023/81.364.21-5.1610.54-4.393.920.0-
2023/71.33.293.489.18-4.273.980.0-
2023/61.26-11.38-21.157.88-5.443.890.0-
2023/51.4218.280.826.62-1.714.150.0-
2023/41.2-20.95-7.595.19-2.383.890.0-
2023/31.5230.944.383.99-0.73.990.0-
2023/21.16-11.171.372.47-3.593.930.0-
2023/11.31-10.68-7.621.31-7.624.220.0-
2022/121.461.224.3216.76.04.270.0-
2022/111.456.73-1.515.236.164.220.0-
2022/101.36-4.0810.2413.797.044.20.0-
2022/91.41-1.224.4812.436.74.10.0-
2022/81.4313.721.3811.026.994.290.0-
2022/71.26-21.3-13.679.597.884.270.0-
2022/61.613.3110.098.3312.114.310.0-
2022/51.418.44.456.7312.64.170.0-
2022/41.3-10.6915.075.3214.983.90.0-
2022/31.4627.1615.914.0214.964.020.0-
2022/21.15-19.0610.12.5614.423.970.0-
2022/11.420.8618.181.4218.184.290.0-
2021/121.4-4.4330.9515.7530.954.10.0-
2021/111.4719.4629.7714.3530.954.050.0-
2021/101.23-9.121.812.8831.093.990.0-
2021/91.35-4.1517.7411.6532.154.220.0-
2021/81.41-3.1731.210.334.314.320.0-
2021/71.460.3741.398.8934.824.260.0-
2021/61.457.545.657.4333.63.930.0-
2021/51.3519.4246.315.9830.973.740.0-
2021/41.13-10.0423.84.6327.083.430.0-
2021/31.2620.7828.783.528.173.50.0-
2021/21.04-13.1124.452.2427.843.310.0-
2021/11.211.7630.941.230.943.40.0-
2020/121.07-5.2916.5912.0323.853.210.0-
2020/111.1312.1231.6710.9624.613.290.0-
2020/101.01-12.1313.819.8323.853.230.0-
2020/91.156.835.398.8225.113.260.0-
2020/81.084.3424.797.6712.313.10.0-
2020/71.033.412.176.5910.512.950.0-
2020/61.07.9923.845.5610.212.830.0-
2020/50.921.042.294.567.622.810.0-
2020/40.91-6.422.833.649.062.730.0-
2020/30.9816.7316.12.7311.322.730.0-
2020/20.84-8.5915.91.758.822.670.0-
2020/10.91-0.473.070.913.072.690.0-
2019/120.926.9533.439.7125.770.0N/A-
2019/110.86-3.0721.598.7925.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.542023/11.312022/11.422021/11.22020/10.91
2024/21.212023/21.162022/21.152021/21.042020/20.84
2024/31.392023/31.522022/31.462021/31.262020/30.98
2024/41.392023/41.22022/41.32021/41.132020/40.91
2024/51.432023/51.422022/51.412021/51.352020/50.92
2024/61.332023/61.262022/61.62021/61.452020/61.0
2024/71.52023/71.32022/71.262021/71.462020/71.03
2024/81.42023/81.362022/81.432021/81.412020/81.08
2024/91.482023/91.392022/91.412021/91.352020/91.15
2024/101.442023/101.372022/101.362021/101.232020/101.01
N/AN/A2023/111.462022/111.452021/111.472020/111.13
N/AN/A2023/121.492022/121.462021/121.42020/121.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 61.54%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.853.9313.5
24Q2 (19)1.787.889.88
24Q1 (18)1.65-1.21.23
23Q4 (17)1.672.455.7
23Q3 (16)1.630.627.24
23Q2 (15)1.62-0.619.46
23Q1 (14)1.633.16-8.94
22Q4 (13)1.583.95-10.73
22Q3 (12)1.522.7-8.98
22Q2 (11)1.48-17.32-3.9
22Q1 (10)1.791.1321.77
21Q4 (9)1.775.9923.78
21Q3 (8)1.678.4430.47
21Q2 (7)1.544.7622.22
21Q1 (6)1.472.823.53
20Q4 (5)1.4311.7221.19
20Q3 (4)1.281.590.0
20Q2 (3)1.265.880.0
20Q1 (2)1.190.850.0
19Q4 (1)1.180.00.0

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