玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1011.627.64-8.58112.98-0.0333.53N/A-
2024/910.8-2.76-7.92101.361.0434.430.97-
2024/811.11-11.32-24.3990.562.2334.070.98-
2024/712.5320.046.6579.457.5334.070.98-
2024/610.43-6.03-3.8666.927.6935.370.83-
2024/511.1-19.73-1.9156.4910.1435.240.84-
2024/413.8434.3831.0845.3813.5631.960.92-
2024/310.331.48-20.2931.557.2731.550.98-
2024/27.83-41.67-13.3621.2528.8630.251.02-
2024/113.4249.1980.0513.4280.0532.850.94本月較去年同期增加,係客戶需求增加,且去年同期工作天數較短所致。
2023/129.0-13.73-29.69132.455.7732.140.93-
2023/1110.43-17.97-6.29123.459.834.880.86-
2023/1012.728.43.82113.0211.5739.140.76-
2023/911.73-20.1616.3100.3112.6438.170.84-
2023/814.6925.0843.6488.5812.1737.290.86-
2023/711.758.230.6173.887.4933.920.94-
2023/610.85-4.1215.4962.144.0132.731.01-
2023/511.327.266.2251.291.8634.790.95-
2023/410.55-18.28-5.7339.960.6932.511.02-
2023/312.9242.9138.2729.413.2229.411.12-
2023/29.0421.2210.3216.49-13.8729.291.13-
2023/17.46-41.74-31.967.46-31.9631.381.05-
2022/1212.814.9723.48125.2224.7236.170.9-
2022/1111.13-9.1211.21112.4324.8633.460.97-
2022/1012.2521.4443.73101.326.5732.561.0-
2022/910.09-1.391.1189.0524.5229.311.22-
2022/810.2313.7312.1578.9628.3228.621.25-
2022/78.99-4.3112.868.7431.1329.051.23-
2022/69.4-11.8236.8459.7434.4231.251.04-
2022/510.66-4.834.8550.3433.9831.21.04-
2022/411.219.8542.9839.6933.7528.731.13-
2022/39.3414.0315.2728.4930.4428.491.08-
2022/28.19-25.2444.6819.1539.3929.511.05-
2022/110.965.7335.6810.9635.6831.330.99-
2021/1210.363.5511.81100.435.0728.891.02-
2021/1110.0117.4420.690.0438.3928.51.04-
2021/108.52-14.5645.0280.0340.9927.611.07-
2021/99.979.3740.571.5140.5227.071.06-
2021/89.1214.3933.2361.5340.5323.961.2-
2021/77.9716.0728.1452.4141.8822.741.27-
2021/66.87-13.099.4844.4444.6622.61.04-
2021/57.90.9244.8437.5753.6923.840.99主要客戶訂單增加
2021/47.83-3.3733.7429.6756.2321.61.09主要客戶訂單增加
2021/38.143.1266.6421.8466.2521.840.87主要客戶訂單增加
2021/25.66-29.8852.6213.7466.0223.010.83主要客戶訂單增加
2021/18.08-12.8676.918.0876.9125.640.74主要客戶訂單增加
2020/129.2711.6841.0574.334.5723.440.74-
2020/118.341.2231.2665.060.8521.270.81-
2020/105.88-17.22-3.5756.76-2.4419.820.87-
2020/97.13.7117.6550.88-2.3120.160.81-
2020/86.8410.0123.743.79-4.9219.340.85-
2020/76.22-0.8218.1836.94-8.8317.950.91-
2020/66.2714.9718.5130.72-12.8717.580.8-
2020/55.46-6.81-1.8724.45-18.4116.170.87-
2020/45.8520.4-8.0518.99-22.1814.430.97-
2020/34.8631.08-25.6313.14-27.1713.141.08-
2020/23.71-18.73-24.348.27-28.0414.840.96-
2020/14.56-30.52-30.794.56-30.7917.460.81-
2019/126.573.93-4.8671.0813.350.0N/A-
2019/116.323.74-3.6264.515.610.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/113.422023/17.462022/110.962021/18.082020/14.56
2024/27.832023/29.042022/28.192021/25.662020/23.71
2024/310.32023/312.922022/39.342021/38.12020/34.86
2024/413.842023/410.552022/411.22021/47.832020/45.85
2024/511.12023/511.322022/510.662021/57.92020/55.46
2024/610.432023/610.852022/69.42021/66.872020/66.27
2024/712.532023/711.752022/78.992021/77.972020/76.22
2024/811.112023/814.692022/810.232021/89.122020/86.84
2024/910.82023/911.732022/910.092021/99.972020/97.1
2024/1011.622023/1012.722022/1012.252021/108.522020/105.88
N/AN/A2023/1110.432022/1111.132021/1110.012020/118.3
N/AN/A2023/129.02022/1212.82021/1210.362020/129.27
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 28.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.6924.35113.74
24Q2 (19)5.38113.4988.77
24Q1 (18)2.52-11.89-1.56
23Q4 (17)2.86-8.6310.0
23Q3 (16)3.139.8239.11
23Q2 (15)2.8511.334.78
23Q1 (14)2.56-1.54-1.54
22Q4 (13)2.615.5633.33
22Q3 (12)2.25-17.284.65
22Q2 (11)2.724.623.42
22Q1 (10)2.633.33100.0
21Q4 (9)1.95-9.3116.67
21Q3 (8)2.15-18.2590.27
21Q2 (7)2.63102.31165.66
21Q1 (6)1.344.4468.83
20Q4 (5)0.9-20.3538.46
20Q3 (4)1.1314.140.0
20Q2 (3)0.9928.570.0
20Q1 (2)0.7718.460.0
19Q4 (1)0.650.00.0

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