玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11732.45-2.1216.857970.2529.772537.55N/A-
2024/10748.35-29.1819.417237.831.242653.57N/A-
2024/91056.7524.5448.996489.4532.762590.680.51-
2024/8848.4823.7834.175432.7130.02257.90.59-
2024/7685.46-5.3128.854584.2329.262082.360.63-
2024/6723.977.5830.343898.7729.332079.730.62-
2024/5672.94-1.4425.243174.829.12057.690.63-
2024/4682.83-2.7144.02501.8730.181864.120.69-
2024/3701.9246.4226.711819.0425.661819.040.67-
2024/2479.37-24.835.831117.1125.011697.490.72-
2024/1637.759.8844.73637.7544.731844.940.66-
2023/12580.37-7.410.396721.83-13.291833.850.56-
2023/11626.820.028.696141.45-14.391962.710.53-
2023/10626.66-11.642.715514.63-16.411968.250.53-
2023/9709.2312.150.984887.98-18.361873.550.58-
2023/8632.3618.87-3.194178.74-20.931719.720.63-
2023/7531.95-4.22-1.973546.38-23.431624.670.67-
2023/6555.413.36-18.663014.43-26.281566.890.64-
2023/5537.3113.31-19.762459.02-27.811565.440.64-
2023/4474.17-14.4-25.681921.71-29.781481.060.67-
2023/3553.9522.3-30.791447.53-31.021447.530.71-
2023/2452.942.78-25.9893.58-31.161480.40.7-
2023/1440.65-24.9-35.85440.65-35.851604.160.64-
2022/12586.811.75-16.737761.05-0.311773.620.63-
2022/11576.7-5.47-16.817174.241.311889.110.59-
2022/10610.11-13.122.466597.543.281965.670.57-
2022/9702.37.5-4.935987.433.361898.220.72-
2022/8653.2620.38-5.115285.134.581878.770.73-
2022/7542.66-20.52-8.284631.876.111895.140.73-
2022/6682.851.970.764089.218.361990.560.6-
2022/5669.634.941.323406.3610.032108.170.56-
2022/4638.08-20.28-3.862736.7312.392049.80.58-
2022/3800.4630.9517.542098.6518.492098.650.47-
2022/2611.27-11.0128.191298.1919.082003.280.5-
2022/1686.92-2.5712.0686.9212.02085.270.48-
2021/12705.091.728.967786.0927.661993.80.43-
2021/11693.2516.4228.817081.027.532027.470.43-
2021/10595.46-19.3917.786387.7527.392022.670.43-
2021/9738.767.326.655792.2928.472018.890.45-
2021/8688.4516.3526.665053.5328.741957.810.47-
2021/7591.68-12.683.244365.0829.081930.220.47-
2021/6677.682.5443.133773.434.352002.260.39-
2021/5660.85-0.4341.483095.7232.572005.580.39-
2021/4663.73-2.5319.042434.8730.341821.550.43-
2021/3681.042.8226.051771.1435.151771.140.41-
2021/2476.82-22.2527.481090.1441.531640.10.44-
2021/1613.3111.5154.8613.3154.81701.440.43半導體晶片及相關電子零組件需求強勁、下游廠商照常開工,帶動營收成長。
2020/12549.962.1917.36102.0915.651593.670.36-
2020/11538.176.457.115552.1215.471626.980.35-
2020/10505.54-13.323.755013.9516.451632.340.35-
2020/9583.287.3122.04508.4218.071699.870.33-
2020/8543.53-5.1515.73925.1417.511590.060.36-
2020/7573.0721.0324.473381.6117.81513.620.37-
2020/6473.471.3613.322808.5516.531498.10.47-
2020/5467.09-16.220.782335.0817.21564.880.45-
2020/4557.543.235.811867.9922.181471.810.48-
2020/3540.2544.4432.631310.4417.171310.440.62-
2020/2374.02-5.5926.29770.28.321239.040.66-
2020/1396.17-15.49-4.5396.17-4.50.0N/A-
2019/12468.85-6.6716.235276.77-3.20.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1637.752023/1440.652022/1686.922021/1613.312020/1396.17
2024/2479.372023/2452.942022/2611.272021/2476.822020/2374.02
2024/3701.922023/3553.952022/3800.462021/3681.02020/3540.25
2024/4682.832023/4474.172022/4638.082021/4663.732020/4557.54
2024/5672.942023/5537.312022/5669.632021/5660.852020/5467.09
2024/6723.972023/6555.412022/6682.852021/6677.682020/6473.47
2024/7685.462023/7531.952022/7542.662021/7591.682020/7573.07
2024/8848.482023/8632.362022/8653.262021/8688.452020/8543.53
2024/91056.752023/9709.232022/9702.32021/9738.762020/9583.28
2024/10748.352023/10626.662022/10610.112021/10595.462020/10505.54
2024/11732.452023/11626.822022/11576.72021/11693.252020/11538.17
N/AN/A2023/12580.372022/12586.812021/12705.092020/12549.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.89%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.56-7.53-35.39
24Q2 (19)3.859.07-16.85
24Q1 (18)3.53-63.0875.62
23Q4 (17)9.5673.5437.08
23Q3 (16)5.5119.01-37.39
23Q2 (15)4.63130.35130.35
23Q1 (14)2.0112.92-6.51
22Q4 (13)1.78-79.77-52.66
22Q3 (12)8.8337.81426.95
22Q2 (11)2.01-6.51-29.47
22Q1 (10)2.15-42.82-24.83
21Q4 (9)3.76125.15136.48
21Q3 (8)1.67-41.45.7
21Q2 (7)2.85-0.350
21Q1 (6)2.8679.870
20Q4 (5)1.590.630
20Q3 (4)1.5800.0

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