玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/117.45-2.28-4.0877.693.5122.49N/A-
2024/107.632.912.1870.244.3921.73N/A-
2024/97.4110.765.1362.613.5120.590.63-
2024/86.693.11-3.7555.23.320.440.64-
2024/76.49-10.595.048.514.3521.120.62-
2024/67.26-1.511.0742.024.2521.60.53-
2024/57.375.768.6334.762.9321.330.54-
2024/46.97-0.342.6527.391.519.710.58-
2024/36.9921.53-4.8620.421.1120.420.66-
2024/25.75-25.04-4.8613.434.5420.70.65-
2024/17.685.5712.917.6812.9122.720.59-
2023/127.27-6.447.6282.3314.5521.840.57-
2023/117.7714.2818.8275.0515.2721.620.58-
2023/106.8-3.557.3367.2814.8720.80.6-
2023/97.051.399.5760.4815.7820.180.63-
2023/86.9512.59.5553.4316.6619.670.65-
2023/76.18-5.439.7746.4817.819.50.65-
2023/66.54-3.6625.6940.319.1420.110.56-
2023/56.78-0.0518.7833.7717.9520.920.54-
2023/46.79-7.6416.3526.9817.7420.180.56-
2023/37.3521.5230.3820.1918.2120.190.56-
2023/26.05-11.0320.4712.8512.2219.60.57-
2023/16.80.635.786.85.7820.090.56-
2022/126.753.2811.1871.879.3219.630.59-
2022/116.543.239.265.119.1319.310.6-
2022/106.33-1.539.1958.579.1219.120.61-
2022/96.431.3716.6752.249.1118.410.56-
2022/86.3512.7317.5645.88.1317.180.6-
2022/75.638.2815.839.466.7516.540.63-
2022/65.2-8.965.4133.835.3816.740.62-
2022/55.71-2.12.6728.635.3717.180.6-
2022/45.833.499.422.926.0716.490.63-
2022/35.6412.294.0217.084.9817.080.59-
2022/25.02-21.88-5.7211.455.4517.520.57-
2022/16.435.7616.236.4316.2318.490.54-
2021/126.081.4511.8965.74-1.617.870.51-
2021/115.993.227.7559.66-2.7917.30.53-
2021/105.85.190.5353.67-3.8416.710.54-
2021/95.512.15-3.9147.87-4.3515.770.61-
2021/85.411.04-5.1442.36-4.4115.190.64-
2021/74.86-1.43-10.4336.96-4.315.360.63-
2021/64.93-11.32-2.7932.1-3.2915.830.55-
2021/55.564.313.9927.17-3.3816.310.54-
2021/45.33-1.59-1.8921.6-5.1216.080.54-
2021/35.421.76-4.1116.27-6.1316.270.53-
2021/25.32-3.69-12.8410.85-7.1116.280.53-
2021/15.531.82-0.835.53-0.8316.520.53-
2020/125.43-2.3-6.2566.813.3916.760.51-
2020/115.56-3.67-3.9661.384.3417.070.5-
2020/105.770.545.0655.825.2417.20.49-
2020/95.740.8315.6550.055.2716.860.59-
2020/85.694.85-5.144.314.0616.190.61-
2020/75.436.975.7238.625.5615.850.63-
2020/65.07-5.132.9733.195.5315.860.54-
2020/55.35-1.59-5.8128.126.0116.430.53-
2020/45.44-3.8211.8122.779.2317.20.5-
2020/35.65-7.54.5917.348.4417.340.5-
2020/26.119.5829.7311.6810.4117.480.49-
2020/15.58-3.74-5.075.58-5.070.0N/A-
2019/125.790.0814.1464.621.850.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.682023/16.82022/16.432021/15.532020/15.58
2024/25.752023/26.052022/25.022021/25.322020/26.11
2024/36.992023/37.352022/35.642021/35.422020/35.65
2024/46.972023/46.792022/45.832021/45.332020/45.44
2024/57.372023/56.782022/55.712021/55.562020/55.35
2024/67.262023/66.542022/65.22021/64.932020/65.07
2024/76.492023/76.182022/75.632021/74.862020/75.43
2024/86.692023/86.952022/86.352021/85.42020/85.69
2024/97.412023/97.052022/96.432021/95.512020/95.74
2024/107.632023/106.82022/106.332021/105.82020/105.77
2024/117.452023/117.772022/116.542021/115.992020/115.56
N/AN/A2023/127.272022/126.752021/126.082020/125.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 29.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.774.84-2.65
24Q2 (19)4.55-8.82-7.33
24Q1 (18)4.99-10.7310.15
23Q4 (17)5.5914.0815.26
23Q3 (16)4.9-0.23.81
23Q2 (15)4.918.3912.61
23Q1 (14)4.53-6.617.66
22Q4 (13)4.852.7527.97
22Q3 (12)4.728.2622.92
22Q2 (11)4.3613.2520.44
22Q1 (10)3.851.5815.96
21Q4 (9)3.79-1.321.47
21Q3 (8)3.846.0832.87
21Q2 (7)3.629.0427.02
21Q1 (6)3.326.41-1.48
20Q4 (5)3.127.96-2.8
20Q3 (4)2.891.40.0
20Q2 (3)2.85-15.430.0
20Q1 (2)3.374.980.0
19Q4 (1)3.210.00.0

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