玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.354.77-2.2448.176.7916.85N/A0.655.55-
2024/96.0636.63.3641.818.315.330.940.964.89-
2024/84.44-8.224.7235.759.1814.011.030.413.94-
2024/74.832.0414.2831.329.8414.011.030.643.53-
2024/64.746.648.9326.489.0713.750.810.62.88-
2024/54.44-2.73-9.2521.759.112.990.860.532.28-
2024/44.5714.8235.4617.315.0811.290.990.271.75-
2024/33.9844.87-6.7112.749.1912.740.860.31.48-
2024/22.75-54.34-19.228.7618.3613.590.80.21.18-
2024/16.0124.5350.296.0150.2915.710.690.970.97因適逢農曆春節連續假期客戶備貨與子公司認列藥證移轉收入所致。
2023/124.83-0.8612.1154.88.2716.20.68-0.065.6-
2023/114.87-25.0-19.3849.977.9117.230.640.365.66-
2023/106.510.7830.4745.112.0116.590.660.515.31-
2023/95.8638.410.2938.619.414.330.941.085.02-
2023/84.240.153.3232.749.2412.851.050.683.93-
2023/74.23-3.449.9628.5110.1813.511.00.493.25-
2023/64.38-10.5116.8124.3110.3712.650.830.472.77-
2023/54.945.217.0519.939.0412.530.840.72.29-
2023/43.37-20.92-9.4415.036.6711.030.950.411.59-
2023/34.2625.4416.0911.6612.4511.660.880.511.18-
2023/23.4-15.0529.547.410.4611.710.880.250.67-
2023/14.0-7.1-1.814.0-1.8114.350.720.420.42-
2022/124.31-28.71-8.8650.6211.5915.330.680.295.66-
2022/116.0421.3740.2146.3113.9716.340.640.635.37本月營收包含部份公費流感疫苖銷售及認列「Amphotericin B」微脂體產品權利金收入
2022/104.98-6.34-11.8640.2710.8614.390.720.424.74本月營收包含部分公費流感疫苖銷售
2022/95.3229.6636.4435.2915.0513.260.950.844.35本月出貨部分流感疫苖
2022/84.16.5823.5929.9711.9311.691.080.533.51-
2022/73.852.7513.5725.8710.2811.771.070.412.98-
2022/63.74-10.4920.4822.029.711.650.810.412.57-
2022/54.1812.3210.4118.287.7211.580.820.522.16-
2022/43.721.375.2514.096.9510.020.950.491.64-
2022/33.6739.9813.9510.377.5710.370.960.441.16-
2022/22.62-35.621.346.74.3711.430.870.250.72-
2022/14.08-13.866.424.086.4213.120.760.470.47-
2021/124.739.7826.8245.367.4414.690.650.514.36-
2021/114.31-23.737.6140.635.5613.850.690.453.85本月營業收入因銷售國內流感疫苗而增加
2021/105.6544.999.3436.322.7212.860.740.743.4本月及去年同期皆因銷售國內流感疫苗而增加
2021/93.917.45-4.6530.671.5910.61.190.592.67-
2021/83.32-2.069.5626.782.579.811.290.322.07-
2021/73.399.088.1523.461.6510.281.230.361.76-
2021/63.1-18.0311.6620.070.6210.431.020.431.4-
2021/53.797.0841.8316.97-1.1610.551.01-0.40.98-
2021/43.549.6-0.6413.18-9.089.351.140.361.38-
2021/33.2324.66-20.849.64-11.839.641.080.361.02-
2021/22.59-32.39-16.46.42-5.5810.151.030.180.66-
2021/13.832.533.463.833.4610.70.980.480.48-
2020/123.7319.221.6342.22-5.4612.030.920.34.49-
2020/113.13-39.36-16.5138.49-6.3412.380.90.24.19-
2020/105.1726.4338.5935.36-5.3212.280.90.483.99月營收增加主因為國內流感疫苗銷售增加所致
2020/94.0934.973.9230.19-10.1910.241.160.753.5-
2020/83.03-3.32-23.5326.1-12.058.861.340.212.75-
2020/73.1315.69-13.223.08-10.298.511.40.322.54-
2020/62.711.34-25.7419.87-10.158.941.20.212.19-
2020/52.67-24.98-27.7817.17-7.0710.361.030.281.98-
2020/43.56-13.74-0.6814.49-1.8910.840.990.41.7-
2020/34.1330.7420.8810.98-1.8310.980.750.551.32-
2020/23.16-14.711.166.86-11.810.530.790.270.77-
2020/13.70.72-25.023.7-25.0211.130.740.50.5-
2019/123.67-2.06-2.544.7710.910.0N/A0.135.54-
2019/113.750.658.6241.0911.50.0N/A0.55.41-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.012023/14.02022/14.082021/13.832020/13.7
2024/22.752023/23.42022/22.622021/22.592020/23.16
2024/33.982023/34.262022/33.672021/33.232020/34.13
2024/44.572023/43.372022/43.722021/43.542020/43.56
2024/54.442023/54.92022/54.182021/53.792020/52.67
2024/64.742023/64.382022/63.742021/63.12020/62.71
2024/74.832023/74.232022/73.852021/73.392020/73.13
2024/84.442023/84.242022/84.12021/83.322020/83.03
2024/96.062023/95.862022/95.322021/93.92020/94.09
2024/106.352023/106.52022/104.982021/105.652020/105.17
N/AN/A2023/114.872022/116.042021/114.312020/113.13
N/AN/A2023/124.832022/124.312021/124.732020/123.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.21%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3130.7715.38
24Q2 (19)0.13-31.58-65.79
24Q1 (18)0.1935.71-44.12
23Q4 (17)0.14-46.15-57.58
23Q3 (16)0.26-31.58-21.21
23Q2 (15)0.3811.760.0
23Q1 (14)0.343.03-24.44
22Q4 (13)0.330.0-17.5
22Q3 (12)0.33-13.16-50.0
22Q2 (11)0.38-15.56-34.48
22Q1 (10)0.4512.5200.0
21Q4 (9)0.4-39.39150.0
21Q3 (8)0.6613.79340.0
21Q2 (7)0.58286.67427.27
21Q1 (6)0.15-6.2525.0
20Q4 (5)0.166.67-5.88
20Q3 (4)0.1536.360.0
20Q2 (3)0.11-8.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.12-29.410.0
19Q4 (1)0.170.00.0

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