玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.672.834.097.06-6.272.01N/A-
2024/90.65-6.21-10.026.39-7.241.940.9-
2024/80.6916.523.385.74-6.922.040.86-
2024/70.59-21.6-12.715.05-8.172.020.87-
2024/60.7613.47-16.974.45-7.532.230.8-
2024/50.67-16.95-12.513.7-5.322.230.8-
2024/40.86.3123.223.03-3.582.310.77-
2024/30.760.4-7.42.22-10.612.220.8-
2024/20.755.58-18.861.47-12.182.190.81-
2024/10.71-0.77-3.810.71-3.812.120.84-
2023/120.724.59-19.938.94-5.832.050.96-
2023/110.697.19-37.068.22-4.352.050.96-
2023/100.64-11.11-33.317.530.42.030.96-
2023/90.727.765.836.895.362.071.09-
2023/80.67-1.62-29.786.175.312.261.0-
2023/70.68-25.42-6.225.512.142.360.96-
2023/60.9119.560.064.8215.332.331.03-
2023/50.7616.986.743.919.62.231.07-
2023/40.65-20.115.313.1423.212.41.0-
2023/30.82-12.0212.822.4928.962.491.09-
2023/20.9325.1782.261.6738.672.571.05新機種順利量產及缺料問題減緩
2023/10.74-17.46.720.746.722.730.99-
2022/120.9-17.7720.39.4933.272.951.08-
2022/111.0913.57117.318.5934.792.741.17新機種順利量產及缺料問題減緩
2022/100.9641.0641.417.527.722.61.23-
2022/90.68-28.55.536.5425.932.361.49-
2022/80.9531.3738.735.8628.832.591.36-
2022/70.73-20.427.964.927.062.351.5-
2022/60.9127.5473.04.1831.092.251.6因塞港及缺料現象,客戶調整出貨時程所致。
2022/50.7215.4111.673.2622.782.061.74-
2022/40.62-14.4121.372.5526.31.851.94-
2022/30.7242.1259.351.9327.971.931.94因塞港及缺料現象,客戶調整出貨時程所致。
2022/20.51-26.7-22.421.214.431.951.92-
2022/10.7-6.8975.590.775.591.941.93因塞港及缺料現象,客戶調整出貨時程所致。
2021/120.7548.5121.317.12-3.351.931.82-
2021/110.5-26.084.496.38-5.591.831.92-
2021/100.685.2777.695.87-6.372.011.75因塞港及缺料現象,客戶調整出貨時程所致。
2021/90.65-6.0-14.165.19-11.832.011.61-
2021/80.692.24-16.54.55-11.491.891.71-
2021/70.6727.51-5.583.86-10.541.841.75-
2021/60.53-17.67-19.623.19-11.511.681.73-
2021/50.6425.43-8.752.66-9.711.611.81-
2021/40.5112.36-27.162.02-10.011.621.79-
2021/30.45-30.81-20.511.51-2.211.511.69-
2021/20.6665.9128.471.058.581.671.53-
2021/10.4-35.67-13.60.4-13.61.491.71-
2020/120.6227.92-3.137.372.891.481.69-
2020/110.4825.690.166.753.481.621.55-
2020/100.38-49.14-19.116.273.741.961.28-
2020/90.75-8.5741.855.895.692.291.16-
2020/80.8215.6136.845.141.882.191.21-
2020/70.718.5522.194.31-2.852.071.28-
2020/60.66-6.541.033.6-6.632.061.2-
2020/50.70.1221.372.94-8.191.981.26-
2020/40.722.62-0.192.24-14.691.781.39-
2020/30.5711.82-10.351.54-19.981.541.37-
2020/20.5111.56-13.550.97-24.751.611.31-
2020/10.46-27.88-34.250.46-34.251.571.34-
2019/120.6432.2833.577.1610.150.0N/A-
2019/110.481.490.636.538.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.712023/10.742022/10.72021/10.42020/10.46
2024/20.752023/20.932022/20.512021/20.662020/20.51
2024/30.762023/30.822022/30.722021/30.452020/30.57
2024/40.82023/40.652022/40.622021/40.512020/40.7
2024/50.672023/50.762022/50.722021/50.642020/50.7
2024/60.762023/60.912022/60.912021/60.532020/60.66
2024/70.592023/70.682022/70.732021/70.672020/70.71
2024/80.692023/80.672022/80.952021/80.692020/80.82
2024/90.652023/90.722022/90.682021/90.652020/90.75
2024/100.672023/100.642022/100.962021/100.682020/100.38
N/AN/A2023/110.692022/111.092021/110.52020/110.48
N/AN/A2023/120.722022/120.92021/120.752020/120.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.16%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-12.5-22.22
24Q2 (19)0.08-33.33-11.11
24Q1 (18)0.1233.3333.33
23Q4 (17)0.090.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.090.0-10.0
23Q2 (15)0.090.012.5
23Q1 (14)0.090.012.5
22Q4 (13)0.09-10.050.0
22Q3 (12)0.125.066.67
22Q2 (11)0.080.0-20.0
22Q1 (10)0.0833.3333.33
21Q4 (9)0.060.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.06-40.00.0
21Q2 (7)0.166.6766.67
21Q1 (6)0.060.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.060.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.060.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.060.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.060.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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