玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.22-86.7414.786.6711.192.15N/A-
2024/91.67541.3425.786.4511.072.180.04-
2024/80.262.5-11.954.786.712.050.04-
2024/70.25-83.53-69.74.528.032.660.03112年7月認列Sublicense Revenue US2,000,000
2024/61.5477.7329.054.2627.52.620.08-
2024/50.87310.82228.632.7226.642.270.1Sublicense Revenue US1,875,000
2024/40.21-82.254.041.86-1.611.590.14-
2024/31.19535.1-3.021.64-2.291.640.21-
2024/20.19-30.28-7.060.46-0.321.720.2-
2024/10.27-78.784.970.274.971.750.19-
2023/121.27496.118.997.4714.211.670.1-
2023/110.2110.224.376.2115.341.730.09-
2023/100.19-85.47-12.436.015.771.810.09-
2023/91.33348.8927.745.817.022.460.11-
2023/80.3-64.7210.834.4814.182.330.12-
2023/70.84-29.84243.344.1814.432.30.12Sublicense Revenue US2,000,000
2023/61.19352.59-4.23.34-1.941.660.23-
2023/50.2630.0615.342.15-0.631.690.23-
2023/40.2-83.454.671.89-2.521.630.24-
2023/31.23508.66-7.461.68-3.321.680.12-
2023/20.2-21.2426.790.469.831.620.13-
2023/10.26-77.97-0.620.26-0.621.620.13-
2022/121.16470.85-29.456.54-0.061.580.21-
2022/110.2-7.53-4.285.389.791.460.23-
2022/100.22-78.8122.725.1810.431.520.22-
2022/91.04289.49-24.04.969.941.550.3-
2022/80.279.2619.843.9224.71.760.27-
2022/70.24-80.4233.553.6525.071.720.27-
2022/61.25444.953.873.4124.51.670.37-
2022/50.2318.0323.852.1640.581.750.35-
2022/40.19-85.37-2.131.9442.861.680.36-
2022/31.33734.0267.451.7450.571.740.2營業收入及認列Royalty增加所致
2022/20.16-38.2715.350.4213.992.060.16-
2022/10.26-84.3613.160.2613.162.120.16-
2021/121.65674.54-76.146.55-37.982.040.02109年認列US2,000萬Sales Mileston
2021/110.2118.56-74.294.933.981.760.03Royalty認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/100.18-86.8731.364.6965.591.770.03Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/91.37514.22649.444.5167.331.770.05Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/80.2221.76-60.483.1425.11.610.06Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/70.18-84.77-13.632.9249.811.570.06-
2021/61.2549.78522.992.7457.521.580.08110Q2Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/50.18-6.73-66.091.54-0.451.170.1110Q1Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/40.2-74.9720.621.3535.231.130.11-
2021/30.79474.54242.391.1638.11.160.13認列110Q1 Royalty US209萬
2021/20.14-39.45-70.90.37-39.767.270.02110Q1Royalty 認列時間改為當季底認列
2021/10.23-96.771.110.2371.117.960.02營業收入增加所致
2020/126.9734.665233.7510.56236.267.860.03認列US2,000萬Sales Mileston及109Q4 Royalty US348萬
2020/110.83505.9275.943.6621.511.150.22因 109Q3Royalty US2,223,233 所致
2020/100.14-25.14-8.992.8311.440.880.28-
2020/90.18-67.6112.32.712.720.960.15-
2020/80.56166.1113.02.5112.750.970.14-
2020/70.219.8136.221.9512.680.950.15-
2020/60.19-64.6322.071.7410.360.90.27-
2020/50.54231.777.741.559.060.940.26-
2020/40.16-28.9723.31.09.790.870.28-
2020/30.23-51.1836.960.847.480.840.17-
2020/20.47256.115.40.61-0.660.740.19-
2020/10.132.73-17.550.13-17.550.730.19-
2019/120.13-72.4618.583.148.420.0N/A-
2019/110.47213.39-7.623.018.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.272023/10.262022/10.262021/10.232020/10.13
2024/20.192023/20.22022/20.162021/20.142020/20.47
2024/31.192023/31.232022/31.332021/30.792020/30.23
2024/40.212023/40.22022/40.192021/40.22020/40.16
2024/50.872023/50.262022/50.232021/50.182020/50.54
2024/61.542023/61.192022/61.252021/61.22020/60.19
2024/70.252023/70.842022/70.242021/70.182020/70.21
2024/80.262023/80.32022/80.272021/80.222020/80.56
2024/91.672023/91.332022/91.042021/91.372020/90.18
2024/100.222023/100.192022/100.222021/100.182020/100.14
N/AN/A2023/110.212022/110.22021/110.212020/110.83
N/AN/A2023/121.272022/121.162021/121.652020/126.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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