玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.153.94-11.21.67-11.20.6N/A-
2024/90.15-51.216.211.52-11.20.620.61-
2024/80.369.4459.611.37-12.730.580.65主係畜產類產品出貨增加所致
2024/70.1869.6214.061.07-22.60.460.82-
2024/60.1-42.24-45.520.89-27.260.431.18-
2024/50.1824.091.020.79-23.860.441.16-
2024/40.1529.63-14.860.6-29.090.361.43-
2024/30.1115.88-64.580.46-32.670.461.29新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2024/20.1-61.04-26.740.35-4.820.531.11-
2024/10.2536.47.730.257.730.630.94-
2023/120.18-5.66-23.762.25-69.930.551.22新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/110.1912.89-24.092.07-71.460.51.33新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/100.1724.33-51.991.88-73.190.51.35新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/90.14-26.69-62.391.71-74.330.482.59新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/80.1921.09-46.711.57-75.020.542.33新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/70.16-18.99-53.951.38-76.710.532.37新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/60.197.1-40.331.22-78.090.542.82新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/50.184.57-91.181.03-80.390.672.29新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/40.17-46.06-80.440.85-73.610.622.46新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/30.32139.69-57.50.68-71.060.682.92新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/20.13-42.71-62.10.36-77.370.63.3新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2023/10.23-3.47-81.610.23-81.610.732.74新冠PCR產品出貨減少及1月份工作天數較少所致
2022/120.24-6.07-75.957.5-25.890.852.77新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2022/110.26-28.6-57.147.26-20.410.982.41新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2022/100.36-2.59-42.647.01-17.851.082.19-
2022/90.373.87-54.176.65-15.891.062.68新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2022/80.354.63-66.696.28-11.581.012.8新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2022/70.344.95-64.845.93-1.92.691.05因應國內政策致客戶使用量下降,造成新冠PCR產品出貨減少所致
2022/60.32-84.18-70.695.599.993.230.83因國內政府政策6月新冠PCR產品需求減少及代理商5月備貨所致
2022/52.03132.0797.895.2732.243.660.74主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2022/40.8817.239.163.239.41.971.36-
2022/30.75113.75-19.292.361.342.361.26-
2022/20.35-72.21-52.861.6115.012.611.14係因代理商因應春節假期於1月底啟動備貨,致2月營收較同期減少
2022/11.2626.2391.741.2691.742.851.04主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2021/121.067.44-3.7810.1218.092.221.21-
2021/110.6-4.45-51.999.1221.12.021.33因去年同期銷售名台新冠病毒檢測設備所致
2021/100.62-22.169.298.5335.512.491.08-
2021/90.8-24.5130.957.938.122.820.91-
2021/81.0610.4445.657.138.983.120.82-
2021/70.96-12.584.716.0437.873.090.83主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致。
2021/61.16.8254.195.0831.562.760.97主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2021/51.0363.2-2.223.9826.452.581.03-
2021/40.63-32.02-22.132.9640.812.31.16-
2021/30.9324.8377.972.3380.292.331.14主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2021/20.7413.03204.821.481.862.441.09主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2021/10.66-36.6624.90.6624.92.930.91-
2020/121.04-16.44130.548.57134.292.850.83主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2020/111.24117.52210.027.53134.812.420.98主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2020/100.57-6.7450.696.29124.091.911.24主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2020/90.61-16.03124.095.72135.531.861.15主係新冠病毒檢測產品銷售增加所致
2020/80.7340.06127.765.11136.981.961.09因新冠病毒檢測產品及水產、畜產檢測產品都持續增加出貨所致。
2020/70.52-26.95154.194.38138.582.280.94主係因新冠病毒檢測產品持續出貨所致。
2020/60.71-32.26143.253.86136.632.570.65主係新冠病毒檢測需求旺盛
2020/51.0529.96422.193.15135.182.380.7主係各國新冠病毒檢測需求旺盛及各產業營收成長所致。
2020/40.8155.36191.842.184.411.571.06主係新冠肺炎及畜產相關產品需求旺盛所致。
2020/30.52113.81113.091.2949.821.291.05畜產及水產相關產品需求旺盛,另新冠病毒檢測產品包括設備及檢測試劑也開始出貨
2020/20.24-53.68-7.840.7724.751.221.11-
2020/10.5316.9149.190.5349.191.380.98-
2019/120.4512.35100.033.6695.170.0N/A主係防疫需求增加,畜產產品出貨量增加所致。
2019/110.45.73106.573.2194.510.0N/A主係中東及中國地區出貨增加,及畜產、邊境防備相關產品銷貨量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.252023/10.232022/11.262021/10.662020/10.53
2024/20.12023/20.132022/20.352021/20.742020/20.24
2024/30.112023/30.322022/30.752021/30.932020/30.52
2024/40.152023/40.172022/40.882021/40.632020/40.81
2024/50.182023/50.182022/52.032021/51.032020/51.05
2024/60.12023/60.192022/60.322021/61.12020/60.71
2024/70.182023/70.162022/70.342021/70.962020/70.52
2024/80.32023/80.192022/80.352021/81.062020/80.73
2024/90.152023/90.142022/90.372021/90.82020/90.61
2024/100.152023/100.172022/100.362021/100.622020/100.57
N/AN/A2023/110.192022/110.262021/110.62020/111.24
N/AN/A2023/120.182022/120.242021/121.02020/121.04
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.04%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.06-25.020.0
24Q2 (19)0.0833.3314.29
24Q1 (18)0.0620.0-45.45
23Q4 (17)0.050.0-37.5
23Q3 (16)0.05-28.57-28.57
23Q2 (15)0.07-36.3640.0
23Q1 (14)0.1137.5-42.11
22Q4 (13)0.0814.29-57.89
22Q3 (12)0.0740.040.0
22Q2 (11)0.05-73.68-16.67
22Q1 (10)0.190.0216.67
21Q4 (9)0.19280.0280.0
21Q3 (8)0.05-16.67-54.55
21Q2 (7)0.060.00
21Q1 (6)0.0620.00
20Q4 (5)0.05-54.55-44.44
20Q3 (4)0.1100.0

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