玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.87-20.55-11.2612.84-2.263.26N/A-
2024/101.09-16.75-20.8511.98-1.543.6N/A-
2024/91.318.97-25.4310.890.923.591.23-
2024/81.211.18-13.549.586.053.621.22-
2024/71.08-18.99-15.098.389.613.751.17-
2024/61.33-0.3411.047.2914.553.771.23-
2024/51.3422.441.385.9615.363.641.27-
2024/41.09-9.93.524.6220.163.411.35-
2024/31.219.6128.853.5326.453.531.41-
2024/21.11-8.51-7.312.3225.234.021.24-
2024/11.21-29.0484.551.2184.553.891.28因本公司外銷比例提升,受船運安排及國外客戶假期影響,部分產品於1月出貨較多所致
2023/121.774.7441.3914.840.594.061.24-
2023/110.98-29.145.8613.14-3.034.111.23-
2023/101.38-21.572.5512.16-3.684.521.12-
2023/91.7626.3614.4710.79-4.424.421.29-
2023/81.399.1810.569.03-7.393.861.48-
2023/71.275.95-2.57.64-10.053.791.5-
2023/61.2-9.017.056.37-11.423.581.52-
2023/51.3225.030.655.17-14.843.321.64-
2023/41.0612.14-24.173.85-19.113.191.7-
2023/30.94-21.16-21.162.79-17.012.791.98-
2023/21.1982.1744.611.85-14.733.061.81-
2023/10.66-45.63-51.210.66-51.212.781.99因本公司外銷比例提升,受船運安排及國外客戶假期影響,部分產品於12月出貨較多所致
2022/121.2130.8447.5714.763.893.471.44-
2022/110.92-31.3613.1613.551.233.81.32-
2022/101.34-12.461.412.630.464.131.21-
2022/91.5322.050.7111.290.344.11.17-
2022/81.26-3.72-5.399.750.293.681.3-
2022/71.3116.341.38.491.193.741.28-
2022/61.12-14.457.347.191.173.831.2-
2022/51.31-5.8110.616.070.13.91.18-
2022/41.3916.5933.684.76-2.443.411.35-
2022/31.1944.6234.193.36-12.263.361.25-
2022/20.83-38.54-43.552.17-26.312.991.41-
2022/11.3464.44-9.271.34-9.272.971.42-
2021/120.820.33-48.314.2-2.122.961.44-
2021/110.81-38.49-40.3413.383.513.661.17-
2021/101.32-13.05-8.5312.578.694.181.02-
2021/91.5214.64-12.311.2511.164.140.69-
2021/81.333.09-21.469.7216.023.660.78-
2021/71.2923.28-24.988.3925.53.520.81-
2021/61.05-11.848.047.1142.953.270.82-
2021/51.1913.8347.16.0651.383.120.86新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2021/41.0417.0358.124.8852.463.390.79新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2021/30.89-39.17-14.853.8350.993.830.69新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2021/21.46-1.21184.322.9497.084.520.59新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2021/11.48-6.351.231.4851.234.430.6新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2020/121.5815.7867.1514.51-5.614.390.66新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2020/111.37-5.746.5312.93-10.384.550.64-
2020/101.45-16.6316.7511.56-14.314.880.6-
2020/91.742.6649.4610.12-17.455.150.51-
2020/81.69-1.5362.838.38-24.464.380.6新產品開始出貨及客戶需求回穩。
2020/71.7277.5735.816.69-33.483.490.76-
2020/60.9720.02-14.594.97-43.452.431.18-
2020/50.8122.36-19.364.0-47.722.511.14-
2020/40.66-36.98-58.673.2-51.972.221.29受武漢疫情影響,以及舊車型訂單打切,新車型訂單量產尚未銜接上。
2020/31.05103.13-38.612.54-49.872.541.09-
2020/20.51-47.45-63.91.49-55.572.441.13受武漢疫情影響,以及舊車型訂單打切,新車型訂單量產尚未銜接上。
2020/10.983.55-49.440.98-49.440.0N/A-
2019/120.951.5-51.0115.37-38.880.0N/A舊車型訂單打切,新車型訂單量產尚未銜接上。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.212023/10.662022/11.342021/11.482020/10.98
2024/21.112023/21.192022/20.832021/21.462020/20.51
2024/31.212023/30.942022/31.192021/30.892020/31.05
2024/41.092023/41.062022/41.392021/41.042020/40.66
2024/51.342023/51.322022/51.312021/51.192020/50.81
2024/61.332023/61.22022/61.122021/61.052020/60.97
2024/71.082023/71.272022/71.312021/71.292020/71.72
2024/81.22023/81.392022/81.262021/81.332020/81.69
2024/91.312023/91.762022/91.532021/91.522020/91.74
2024/101.092023/101.382022/101.342021/101.322020/101.45
2024/110.872023/110.982022/110.922021/110.812020/111.37
N/AN/A2023/121.72022/121.212021/120.822020/121.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.07%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1271.43-14.29
24Q2 (19)0.07-58.82-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.17-19.0541.67
23Q4 (17)0.2150.023.53
23Q3 (16)0.140.0-22.22
23Q2 (15)0.1416.67-6.67
23Q1 (14)0.12-29.4171.43
22Q4 (13)0.17-5.56240.0
22Q3 (12)0.1820.0800.0
22Q2 (11)0.15114.29400.0
22Q1 (10)0.0740.00
21Q4 (9)0.05150.00
21Q3 (8)0.02-33.330
21Q2 (7)0.0300

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