玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.22-11.29-27.7714.41-14.854.1N/A-
2024/91.38-7.81-30.613.19-13.384.641.24-
2024/81.5-15.25-25.2211.81-10.85.221.11-
2024/71.77-9.9-13.8310.31-8.235.051.14-
2024/61.9647.817.148.55-6.984.821.26-
2024/51.33-13.43-30.066.59-10.494.251.43-
2024/41.5310.08-7.565.26-3.73.971.53-
2024/31.3932.59-5.983.74-1.913.741.71-
2024/21.05-19.05-10.452.350.663.951.62-
2024/11.3-19.0711.91.311.94.531.41-
2023/121.6-2.09.520.16-1.684.931.32-
2023/111.63-3.491.5618.56-2.545.321.23-
2023/101.69-14.815.3316.92-2.925.681.15-
2023/91.99-0.627.2115.23-3.766.041.19-
2023/82.0-2.351.7513.24-5.215.881.22-
2023/72.0512.039.7111.24-6.365.771.24-
2023/61.83-3.5127.989.19-9.325.381.37-
2023/51.914.4212.637.36-15.445.041.46-
2023/41.6611.7-6.075.47-22.174.311.7-
2023/31.4826.58-23.63.81-27.53.812.09-
2023/21.171.16-25.692.33-29.783.792.1-
2023/11.16-20.93-33.491.16-33.494.231.88-
2022/121.46-8.97-17.5520.514.714.681.69-
2022/111.610.08-17.2119.046.935.071.56-
2022/101.61-13.318.7417.439.895.431.46-
2022/91.85-5.673.6215.829.065.691.53-
2022/81.975.2910.3413.979.835.261.66-
2022/71.8730.59-10.712.09.754.981.75-
2022/61.43-15.03-33.1210.1414.594.881.94-
2022/51.68-4.58-16.548.7129.815.391.76-
2022/41.76-9.246.317.0249.745.281.79-
2022/31.9423.26194.145.2673.575.261.73去年本月依仲裁裁決結果,在裁決日以銷貨退回會計處理。
2022/21.58-9.4647.243.3239.975.091.79-
2022/11.74-1.9533.971.7433.975.461.67-
2021/121.78-8.626.9519.5821.725.071.78-
2021/111.9443.5683.4317.8123.425.091.77本月較去年大幅增加係因銷售大陸地區暢旺所致
2021/101.35-24.515.9815.8618.674.931.83-
2021/91.790.6535.6714.5118.965.671.48-
2021/81.78-14.7955.9112.7216.926.011.4內銷市場成長
2021/72.09-2.2734.9110.9412.356.251.34-
2021/62.146.1230.898.858.15.821.25-
2021/52.0221.5535.96.712.414.341.67-
2021/41.66150.025.264.69-7.43.392.14-
2021/30.66-38.03-61.843.03-13.043.032.3本月份依仲裁裁決結果,在裁決日以銷貨退回會計處理。
2021/21.07-17.4325.932.3735.444.011.74-
2021/11.3-21.2644.091.344.094.01.74-
2020/121.6555.4144.6716.07-14.623.871.55-
2020/111.06-9.22-22.7114.43-18.443.551.69-
2020/101.17-11.94-22.2313.37-18.083.641.66-
2020/91.3316.0-12.4512.2-17.634.021.63-
2020/81.14-26.26-28.8710.88-18.224.341.51-
2020/71.55-5.98-4.489.73-16.764.681.4-
2020/61.6511.11-4.758.2-18.64.711.33-
2020/51.48-5.85-11.226.55-21.474.811.31-
2020/41.58-10.05-20.345.07-24.044.181.5-
2020/31.75106.08-19.193.5-25.323.51.97-
2020/20.85-5.53-30.341.75-30.62.892.39-
2020/10.9-20.94-30.840.9-30.843.412.02-
2019/121.14-16.96-34.4718.83-31.060.0N/A-
2019/111.37-8.66-23.0417.69-30.830.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.32023/11.162022/11.742021/11.32020/10.9
2024/21.052023/21.172022/21.582021/21.072020/20.85
2024/31.392023/31.482022/31.942021/30.662020/31.75
2024/41.532023/41.662022/41.762021/41.662020/41.58
2024/51.332023/51.92022/51.682021/52.022020/51.48
2024/61.962023/61.832022/61.432021/62.142020/61.65
2024/71.772023/72.052022/71.872021/72.092020/71.55
2024/81.52023/82.02022/81.972021/81.782020/81.14
2024/91.382023/91.992022/91.852021/91.792020/91.33
2024/101.222023/101.692022/101.612021/101.352020/101.17
N/AN/A2023/111.632022/111.612021/111.942020/111.06
N/AN/A2023/121.62022/121.462021/121.782020/121.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.745.71-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.732.08-42.62
24Q1 (18)0.533.92-37.65
23Q4 (17)0.51-54.05-45.74
23Q3 (16)1.11-9.0218.09
23Q2 (15)1.2243.53-15.86
23Q1 (14)0.85-9.57-16.67
22Q4 (13)0.940.0-6.93
22Q3 (12)0.94-35.17-12.15
22Q2 (11)1.4542.1645.0
22Q1 (10)1.020.990.0
21Q4 (9)1.01-5.6138.36
21Q3 (8)1.077.055.07
21Q2 (7)1.0-1.96212.5
21Q1 (6)1.0239.7388.89
20Q4 (5)0.735.855.32
20Q3 (4)0.69115.620.0
20Q2 (3)0.32-40.740.0
20Q1 (2)0.5414.890.0
19Q4 (1)0.470.00.0

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