玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.5110.59-16.7150.82-26.5315.06N/A-
2024/104.989.29-9.0545.31-27.5714.03N/A-
2024/94.561.68-39.1340.33-29.3513.43.14-
2024/84.483.0-31.335.77-27.8712.763.3-
2024/74.357.4-22.5331.28-27.3513.73.08-
2024/63.92-27.78-51.3926.79-28.4413.562.92112年度營收含榮田精機股份有限公司,自113年起榮田未列入合併報表,故113年營收較去年減少。
2024/55.4328.63-29.1822.87-22.1515.362.58-
2024/44.22-26.16-3.3817.45-19.6712.393.19-
2024/35.71131.89-7.7213.23-23.7613.233.04-
2024/22.46-51.28-63.97.52-32.6514.542.76適逢農曆春節工作日減少,營收遞延至次月
2024/15.06-28.0216.445.0616.4418.72.15-
2023/127.036.15-13.4176.21-7.8419.122.11-
2023/116.6220.764.0169.18-7.2319.592.06-
2023/105.48-26.85-19.9762.56-8.2819.52.07-
2023/97.4914.76-14.557.08-6.9719.642.72-
2023/86.5316.156.6349.59-5.7220.212.64-
2023/75.62-30.27-21.4343.06-7.3521.342.5-
2023/68.065.19-2.7637.44-4.7920.092.7-
2023/57.6675.5-18.9229.38-5.3318.222.98-
2023/44.37-29.48-11.8921.720.6117.383.13-
2023/36.19-9.28-6.4417.364.3317.363.23-
2023/26.8257.1649.1211.1711.4619.282.91-
2023/14.34-46.48-20.24.34-20.218.822.98-
2022/128.1127.53-0.382.69-14.2321.322.55-
2022/116.36-7.08-28.2274.57-15.5121.972.48-
2022/106.85-21.85-2.8168.21-14.0921.732.5-
2022/98.7643.1339.6461.37-15.1922.042.51-
2022/86.12-14.41-30.952.6-20.421.562.56-
2022/77.15-13.7-27.546.48-18.7724.892.22-
2022/68.29-12.28-24.4339.33-16.9622.692.46-
2022/59.4590.7-4.7231.04-14.721.022.65-
2022/44.95-25.12-38.2221.59-18.4416.153.46-
2022/36.6244.6-16.5116.64-9.8516.643.51-
2022/24.58-15.9-1.9910.02-4.8318.163.22-
2022/15.44-33.13-7.15.44-7.122.442.6-
2021/128.14-8.18-4.8396.4123.8124.052.28-
2021/118.8625.8123.7388.2727.3422.182.47-
2021/107.0512.2750.6379.4127.7622.182.47去年因疫情影響,下半年開始營收處於低基期,而今年逐步回溫所致。
2021/96.27-29.17-8.7372.3625.925.02.3-
2021/88.86-10.259.0266.0930.629.71.94去年因疫情影響,下半年開始營收處於低基期,而今年逐步回溫所致。
2021/79.87-10.0567.4657.2327.0930.751.87去年因疫情影響,下半年開始營收處於低基期,而今年逐步回溫所致。
2021/610.9710.5936.4647.3621.0128.911.92-
2021/59.9223.6538.136.3917.0125.862.15-
2021/48.021.1926.6126.4710.6820.622.69-
2021/37.9369.7513.6718.454.9518.453.03-
2021/24.67-20.292.2910.53-0.7819.082.93-
2021/15.86-31.49-3.15.86-3.121.572.59-
2020/128.5519.37-22.5177.87-29.1920.392.46-
2020/117.1653.16-9.9269.32-29.6218.722.68-
2020/104.68-31.97-49.0762.15-31.3517.122.93-
2020/96.8823.4-17.1857.48-29.3518.342.92-
2020/85.57-5.43-38.6250.6-30.7319.52.74-
2020/75.89-26.7-28.8545.03-29.6121.112.53-
2020/68.0411.92-17.2239.14-29.7221.552.49-
2020/57.1813.36-25.3331.1-32.3620.492.62-
2020/46.33-9.14-7.423.92-34.2217.873.01-
2020/36.9752.74-45.6117.58-40.4317.583.21-
2020/24.56-24.49-46.210.61-36.4521.652.61-
2020/16.05-45.21-26.396.05-26.390.0N/A-
2019/1211.0438.77-9.91109.97-5.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.062023/14.342022/15.442021/15.862020/16.05
2024/22.462023/26.822022/24.582021/24.672020/24.56
2024/35.712023/36.192022/36.622021/37.932020/36.97
2024/44.222023/44.372022/44.952021/48.022020/46.33
2024/55.432023/57.662022/59.452021/59.922020/57.18
2024/63.922023/68.062022/68.292021/610.972020/68.04
2024/74.352023/75.622022/77.152021/79.872020/75.89
2024/84.482023/86.532022/86.122021/88.862020/85.57
2024/94.562023/97.492022/98.762021/96.272020/96.88
2024/104.982023/105.482022/106.852021/107.052020/104.68
2024/115.512023/116.622022/116.362021/118.862020/117.16
N/AN/A2023/127.032022/128.112021/128.142020/128.55
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 47.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)12.1326.2216.08
24Q2 (19)9.613.11-12.24
24Q1 (18)9.329.52-31.01
23Q4 (17)8.51-18.56-24.42
23Q3 (16)10.45-4.57-16.06
23Q2 (15)10.95-18.95-5.77
23Q1 (14)13.5119.98-1.17
22Q4 (13)11.26-9.56-0.35
22Q3 (12)12.457.14-6.95
22Q2 (11)11.62-15.0-21.11
22Q1 (10)13.6720.97-5.92
21Q4 (9)11.3-15.55-15.1
21Q3 (8)13.38-9.162.22
21Q2 (7)14.731.3846.28
21Q1 (6)14.539.1721.69
20Q4 (5)13.311.6832.97
20Q3 (4)13.0929.990.0
20Q2 (3)10.07-15.660.0
20Q1 (2)11.9419.280.0
19Q4 (1)10.010.00.0

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