玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.43-17.33-4.6318.07-19.994.87N/A-
2024/91.720.14-2.4716.64-21.084.963.14-
2024/81.7213.99-30.8714.92-22.785.342.91-
2024/71.51-28.3-26.0313.2-21.585.582.79-
2024/62.117.23-17.0811.69-20.975.792.87-
2024/51.9614.12-25.439.58-21.775.782.88-
2024/41.72-17.64-23.857.62-20.775.413.07-
2024/32.0930.88-27.675.9-19.825.93.29-
2024/21.6-27.76-34.353.81-14.745.513.52-
2024/12.2129.518.72.218.75.343.63-
2023/121.7120.29-26.2525.71-23.84.625.16-
2023/111.42-5.05-47.2324.0-23.614.685.09-
2023/101.49-15.46-36.7222.59-21.45.754.14-
2023/91.77-29.01-29.4121.09-20.036.34.15-
2023/82.4921.98-12.0619.32-19.057.073.7-
2023/72.04-19.63-38.0416.83-19.997.223.62-
2023/62.54-3.56-22.2514.79-16.647.443.47-
2023/52.6316.54-30.9712.25-15.377.783.32-
2023/42.26-21.76-19.849.62-9.797.583.4-
2023/32.8918.79-12.077.36-6.177.363.52-
2023/22.4319.6137.844.47-1.916.783.82-
2023/12.03-12.13-27.072.03-27.077.043.68-
2022/122.31-13.93-18.5833.742.697.373.35-
2022/112.6913.868.2931.434.717.563.27-
2022/102.36-5.7-7.5228.744.397.73.21-
2022/92.5-11.56-28.2726.385.618.632.59-
2022/82.83-14.05-3.2923.8711.119.42.38-
2022/73.30.842.4921.0413.3910.382.15-
2022/63.27-14.385.2817.7415.679.92.09-
2022/53.8235.3222.8414.4818.319.922.09-
2022/42.82-14.185.210.6616.777.872.64-
2022/33.2986.2411.957.8421.577.842.74-
2022/21.76-36.71-15.914.5529.627.42.9-
2022/12.79-1.9197.212.7997.218.112.64市場需求提升及公司積極拓展業務,致營收較去年同期成長97.21%
2021/122.8414.485.3432.8619.97.882.48-
2021/112.48-2.7710.3130.0121.498.532.29-
2021/102.55-26.86-10.8527.5322.618.972.18-
2021/93.4919.2378.7624.9827.59.641.86市場需求提升及公司積極拓展業務,致營收較去年同期成長78.77%
2021/82.93-8.911.8321.4821.829.251.94-
2021/73.213.5924.1618.5523.579.431.9-
2021/63.1-0.1129.2115.3423.448.891.85-
2021/53.1115.8943.2412.2422.068.721.89-
2021/42.68-8.6710.849.1316.217.712.14-
2021/32.9439.8816.856.4518.66.452.18-
2021/22.148.416.723.5120.116.212.26-
2021/11.41-47.647.581.4147.586.362.21-
2020/122.719.8968.1827.429.997.811.5市場需求提升及公司積極拓展業務,致營收較去年同期成長68.18%
2020/112.25-21.4322.9824.726.857.071.66-
2020/102.8746.6748.9722.4527.257.441.58-
2020/91.95-25.434.6119.5924.597.161.63-
2020/82.621.1333.3417.6323.577.611.53-
2020/72.597.7984.815.0222.027.161.63市場需求提昇以及公司積極拓展業務,致營收較去年同期成長84.80%
2020/62.410.7320.0812.4313.956.991.61-
2020/52.17-10.3111.1310.0212.577.11.58-
2020/42.42-3.7225.747.8612.976.91.63-
2020/32.5127.7537.575.448.095.442.1-
2020/21.97105.2318.522.92-8.74.532.52-
2020/10.96-40.29-37.960.96-37.964.392.6-
2019/121.6-12.32-25.0321.08-38.330.0N/A-
2019/111.83-4.83-27.6519.47-39.220.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.212023/12.032022/12.792021/11.412020/10.96
2024/21.62023/22.432022/21.762021/22.12020/21.97
2024/32.092023/32.892022/33.292021/32.942020/32.51
2024/41.722023/42.262022/42.822021/42.682020/42.42
2024/51.962023/52.632022/53.822021/53.112020/52.17
2024/62.112023/62.542022/63.272021/63.12020/62.4
2024/71.512023/72.042022/73.32021/73.212020/72.59
2024/81.722023/82.492022/82.832021/82.932020/82.62
2024/91.722023/91.772022/92.52021/93.492020/91.95
2024/101.432023/101.492022/102.362021/102.552020/102.87
N/AN/A2023/111.422022/112.692021/112.482020/112.25
N/AN/A2023/121.712022/122.312021/122.842020/122.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.47%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.141300.0180.0
24Q2 (19)0.01-50.0-88.89
24Q1 (18)0.02-50.0-77.78
23Q4 (17)0.04-20.0-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.05-44.440.0
23Q2 (15)0.090.080.0
23Q1 (14)0.0980.080.0
22Q4 (13)0.050.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.050.066.67
22Q2 (11)0.050.025.0
22Q1 (10)0.050.0-90.74
21Q4 (9)0.0566.67150.0
21Q3 (8)0.03-25.00.0
21Q2 (7)0.04-92.59100.0
21Q1 (6)0.542600.01700.0
20Q4 (5)0.02-33.33-83.33
20Q3 (4)0.0350.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.02-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.03-75.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.120.00.0

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