玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.16-37.75-71.34.82-30.70.69N/A因公司近年再積極轉型將產業拓展至半導體領域,故會面臨一段訂單的空窗期,致使略影嚮接單量導致近期營收較去年同期減少。
2024/90.25-9.9-69.174.66-27.220.813.56終端商品需求未明顯回溫,企業投資擴產趨向保守,客戶設備需求動能仍顯疲弱,致使略影嚮接單量,抑低營運表現所致。
2024/80.282.71-53.824.41-21.070.863.34基於終端產業市場需求、產能利用率不同,安排進場安裝與認列時程有所遞延,致使近期營收較去年同期減少。
2024/70.27-10.62-67.424.13-17.071.352.12面對市場需求降溫、上半年客戶訂單延遲出貨、營收會有一段遞延期,導致本期營收較去年同期減少。
2024/60.31-60.5-62.963.86-6.882.10.99目前積極拓展半導體領域轉型升級策略,加上目前既有客群對於景氣觀望氣氛仍然濃厚,採購訂單減少,致使近期營收較去年同期減少。
2024/50.77-24.527.523.557.062.460.85-
2024/41.0356.19133.982.786.942.270.92主係銷售至客戶端機台陸續驗收等相關營收提升。
2024/30.6612.27-12.21.75-18.841.751.33-
2024/20.5814.51-20.81.1-22.361.831.27-
2024/10.51-30.37-24.070.51-24.071.761.33-
2023/120.7342.51-25.848.26.561.81.51-
2023/110.51-6.14-22.267.4711.341.841.47-
2023/100.55-29.7-36.266.9114.351.941.4-
2023/90.7828.35-0.266.3722.752.231.11-
2023/80.61-27.5317.035.5926.832.271.09-
2023/70.841.6177.644.9828.142.381.04營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主係銷售至客戶端機台陸續驗收等相關營收。
2023/60.8214.659.074.1421.31.981.21-
2023/50.7264.23-6.563.3224.781.911.25-
2023/40.44-41.39-28.962.637.581.921.24-
2023/30.751.2711.352.1669.92.161.39營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主係銷售至客戶端機台陸續驗收等相關營收。
2023/20.749.78150.51.41135.532.41.25主係每月銷售至客戶端機台設備,陸續驗收完成等相關營收;致使營收遞增較去年同期增加。
2023/10.67-31.99121.020.67121.022.321.29本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國內外機台銷售收入增加所致
2022/120.9949.370.257.714.22.511.35-
2022/110.66-23.04-16.526.7116.62.31.48-
2022/100.869.9843.346.0521.892.161.57-
2022/90.7850.62-8.325.1918.941.772.27-
2022/80.529.9938.784.425.571.752.31-
2022/70.47-37.655.693.8923.992.02.02本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國內外機台銷售收入增加所致
2022/60.76-1.77-17.473.4120.62.142.01-
2022/50.7724.8540.482.6638.842.062.09-
2022/40.62-8.1234.231.8938.181.582.72-
2022/30.67127.8295.621.2740.181.273.77主係客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加
2022/20.29-3.1321.310.66.391.593.02-
2022/10.3-69.15-4.930.3-4.932.082.3-
2021/120.9924.38126.86.7422.722.381.832021年客戶需求量提升,致使近期出貨量增加,使營收較去年同期增加。
2021/110.7932.1585.085.7513.772.251.94本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國外機台銷售收入增加所致
2021/100.6-29.6577.354.967.171.832.39本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國外機台訂單銷售收入增加所致
2021/90.85128.0130.654.361.641.533.12主要係今年出貨設備較多,同時期裝機完成並付款及國外機台銷售收入增加所致
2021/80.3723.4-42.753.51-3.561.593.0-
2021/70.3-66.93-28.773.135.011.772.7-
2021/60.9267.2140.922.8310.631.922.0-
2021/50.5519.356.931.910.311.352.85本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國外機台銷售收入增加所致
2021/40.4633.8825.481.37-12.371.053.68-
2021/30.3441.29-24.670.91-24.00.914.16-
2021/20.24-24.09-7.280.56-23.591.03.78-
2021/10.32-26.4-32.590.32-32.591.183.19-
2020/120.431.51-7.225.49-17.841.22.11-
2020/110.4326.63-17.215.06-18.641.421.78-
2020/100.34-48.17-41.714.63-18.771.641.54-
2020/90.65-0.1-9.334.29-16.161.731.35-
2020/80.6553.53-5.533.64-17.281.731.35-
2020/70.43-34.56-33.022.98-19.481.431.63-
2020/60.6586.2-13.132.56-16.671.372.01-
2020/50.35-4.6-43.681.91-17.821.172.34-
2020/40.37-19.62-29.891.56-8.391.082.53-
2020/30.4673.91-8.841.191.131.192.26-
2020/20.26-44.8223.510.748.481.212.23-
2020/10.471.281.650.471.651.461.84-
2019/120.47-9.4149.996.6817.470.0N/A本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國內機台銷售收入增加所致
2019/110.52-10.8496.716.2115.590.0N/A本月營收較去年同期增加百分比達50%以上系因國外機台銷售收入增加所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.512023/10.672022/10.32021/10.322020/10.47
2024/20.582023/20.742022/20.292021/20.242020/20.26
2024/30.662023/30.752022/30.672021/30.342020/30.46
2024/41.032023/40.442022/40.622021/40.462020/40.37
2024/50.772023/50.722022/50.772021/50.552020/50.35
2024/60.312023/60.822022/60.762021/60.922020/60.65
2024/70.272023/70.842022/70.472021/70.32020/70.43
2024/80.282023/80.612022/80.522021/80.372020/80.65
2024/90.252023/90.782022/90.782021/90.852020/90.65
2024/100.162023/100.552022/100.862021/100.62020/100.34
N/AN/A2023/110.512022/110.662021/110.792020/110.43
N/AN/A2023/120.732022/120.992021/120.992020/120.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 52.04%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.6852.731.2
24Q2 (19)1.1-32.1-43.3
24Q1 (18)1.62-31.65-2.41
23Q4 (17)2.3742.774.87
23Q3 (16)1.66-14.43-21.33
23Q2 (15)1.9416.874.3
23Q1 (14)1.66-26.55-28.76
22Q4 (13)2.267.1125.56
22Q3 (12)2.1113.448.76
22Q2 (11)1.86-20.175.68
22Q1 (10)2.3329.4423.94
21Q4 (9)1.8-7.2268.22
21Q3 (8)1.9410.2392.08
21Q2 (7)1.76-6.3883.33
21Q1 (6)1.8875.762.07
20Q4 (5)1.075.94-10.83
20Q3 (4)1.015.210.0
20Q2 (3)0.96-17.240.0
20Q1 (2)1.16-3.330.0
19Q4 (1)1.20.00.0

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