玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.74-3.245.8519.6-8.424.86N/A-
2024/101.835.5923.1717.87-9.64.72N/A-
2024/91.32-17.51-25.2316.07-12.214.810.51-
2024/81.61-14.51-22.3714.75-10.825.140.47-
2024/71.8813.0113.113.14-9.165.610.44-
2024/61.66-19.64-25.0411.27-12.055.720.52-
2024/52.073.950.159.6-9.335.870.5-
2024/41.999.47-7.137.54-11.635.540.53-
2024/31.824.66-10.155.55-13.145.550.46-
2024/21.74-12.97-13.763.73-14.525.490.46-
2024/11.9913.58-15.161.99-15.165.390.47-
2023/121.767.02-43.6423.16-56.054.850.74訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/111.6412.59-45.9321.41-56.834.870.73訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/101.46-17.7-62.319.77-57.545.30.67訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/91.77-14.35-55.8518.31-57.115.50.7訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/82.0724.54-57.8216.54-57.255.940.65訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/71.66-25.1-68.9514.47-57.165.940.65訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/62.227.36-57.3612.81-54.946.420.6訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/52.06-3.61-60.9210.59-54.46.230.62訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/42.145.91-58.288.53-52.496.180.63訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/32.020.45-59.816.39-50.176.390.72訂單及原料金屬滑落
2023/22.01-14.38-45.084.36-43.947.480.61-
2023/12.35-24.54-42.922.35-42.928.50.54-
2022/123.122.67-16.952.7127.7310.020.63-
2022/113.04-21.49-35.0649.632.1910.910.58-
2022/103.87-3.61-15.2646.5641.7712.780.49-
2022/94.01-18.19-17.042.750.9714.260.49訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/84.9-8.321.9838.6964.9815.450.45訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/75.352.8411.0433.7873.8815.830.44訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/65.2-1.59120.1128.4494.5815.620.58訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/55.282.8884.2423.2489.6615.450.58訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/45.132.0476.8917.9591.3213.830.65訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/35.0337.2693.3912.8297.7812.820.69訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/23.67-11.0117.017.79100.7311.540.77訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2022/14.129.8488.174.1288.1712.540.7訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/123.75-19.77206.7441.2784.6612.990.37訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/114.672.44240.3237.5277.5914.070.34訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/104.56-5.58207.1632.8466.2813.420.35訂單增加,原料金屬上漲
2021/94.8320.23162.8528.2854.8213.670.25訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/84.02-16.52113.7623.4542.7311.20.31訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/74.82103.86175.4319.4333.5510.040.35訂單增加及原料金屬上漲
2021/62.36-17.6312.8414.6114.178.130.52-
2021/52.87-1.2127.6212.2514.438.370.5-
2021/42.911.5529.119.3810.937.190.58-
2021/32.654.0232.026.484.346.480.36-
2021/21.69-22.83-21.843.88-8.515.10.45-
2021/12.1979.075.332.195.334.790.48-
2020/121.22-10.98-49.6822.35-32.564.080.59-
2020/111.37-7.53-56.2121.13-31.24.70.52客戶需求遞延
2020/101.49-19.2-45.8319.75-28.365.20.46-
2020/91.84-2.21-45.418.27-26.435.470.43-
2020/81.887.55-29.8316.43-23.455.720.41-
2020/71.75-16.48-34.2114.55-22.546.090.39-
2020/62.09-6.83-7.2712.8-20.626.590.41-
2020/52.25-0.05-0.5810.71-22.86.470.42-
2020/42.2514.06-0.968.46-27.126.380.43-
2020/31.97-8.81-33.226.21-33.486.210.53-
2020/22.163.99-20.754.24-33.66.670.5-
2020/12.08-14.45-43.182.08-43.180.0N/A-
2019/122.43-22.54-2.7933.14-32.520.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.992023/12.352022/14.122021/12.192020/12.08
2024/21.742023/22.012022/23.672021/21.692020/22.16
2024/31.822023/32.022022/35.032021/32.62020/31.97
2024/41.992023/42.142022/45.132021/42.92020/42.25
2024/52.072023/52.062022/55.282021/52.872020/52.25
2024/61.662023/62.222022/65.22021/62.362020/62.09
2024/71.882023/71.662022/75.352021/74.822020/71.75
2024/81.612023/82.072022/84.92021/84.022020/81.88
2024/91.322023/91.772022/94.012021/94.832020/91.84
2024/101.82023/101.462022/103.872021/104.562020/101.49
2024/111.742023/111.642022/113.042021/114.672020/111.37
N/AN/A2023/121.762022/123.122021/123.752020/121.22
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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