玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.1349.894.579.778.982.59N/A-
2024/100.756.02-12.688.649.582.37N/A-
2024/90.71-21.71-6.437.8912.322.342.15-
2024/80.9126.51-29.117.1814.592.71.86-
2024/70.72-33.35-19.46.2725.832.871.75-
2024/61.080.2-29.495.5535.683.021.5-
2024/51.0723.86155.284.4874.513.081.47112年4月韓國併購案交割,112年4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入,且本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加
2024/40.87-23.51-26.813.458.642.371.92112年4月韓國併購案交割,112年4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入。
2024/31.13212.79205.242.53164.432.531.82112年4月韓國併購案交割,112年4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入,且本年1-3月累計較去年銷售較多連線設備,故累計營收增加
2024/20.36-64.9711.131.4138.553.721.24112年4月韓國併購案交割,112年4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營收,且本年1-2月累計較去年銷售較多連線設備,導致累計營收增加
2024/11.04-55.43298.651.04298.654.441.04112年4月韓國併購案交割,112年4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入,且本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加
2023/122.32115.0839.2711.2925.074.271.01-
2023/111.0825.1527.428.9721.852.71.59-
2023/100.8613.6120.757.8921.122.91.48-
2023/90.76-40.76.547.0221.172.931.64-
2023/81.2843.8562.036.2623.223.71.34月韓國併購案交割,4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入,且本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加
2023/70.89-41.794.934.9816.082.841.694月韓國併購案交割,4月起合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入
2023/61.53262.8426.634.096.683.131.47-
2023/50.42-64.48-32.912.56-2.461.982.32-
2023/41.19218.99307.582.147.081.882.44本月韓國併購案交割,4月合併營收始認列Changsung營業收入
2023/30.3713.88-58.630.96-44.010.963.39本期銷售組合較少連線設備,導致營收減少
2023/20.3325.63-23.520.59-27.832.251.44-
2023/10.26-84.43-32.60.26-32.62.781.17-
2022/121.6796.77-15.419.03-17.523.230.86-
2022/110.8518.6-38.27.36-17.992.281.23本期銷售組合較少連線設備,導致營收減少
2022/100.710.243.866.51-14.342.221.26-
2022/90.71-9.81-0.345.8-16.151.961.88-
2022/80.7973.06-9.465.08-17.982.451.5-
2022/70.46-62.12-60.424.29-19.382.291.61本期銷售組合較少連線設備,導致營收減少
2022/61.2192.254.623.84-8.012.131.68本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2022/50.63115.76-9.292.63-22.431.821.96-
2022/40.29-67.62-51.682.0-25.81.622.21上期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2022/30.9110.54-8.651.71-18.371.712.05-
2022/20.4310.72-14.250.81-26.972.781.26-
2022/10.39-80.45-37.270.39-37.273.730.94-
2021/121.9743.7622.6510.956.654.030.69-
2021/111.3799.35106.98.973.682.781.0本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2021/100.69-3.81-6.357.6-4.882.281.22-
2021/90.72-18.06-38.046.91-4.732.741.35-
2021/80.87-24.34-0.476.21.572.811.32-
2021/71.1547.9592.435.331.912.631.41本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2021/60.7812.756.834.17-9.822.071.66-
2021/50.6914.92-45.183.39-12.942.281.51-
2021/40.6-38.79-29.882.72.512.081.66-
2021/30.9897.62-0.442.118.22.11.36-
2021/20.5-18.9994.071.1141.672.721.05本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2021/10.61-61.7916.240.6116.242.890.99-
2020/121.61142.52-2.6110.26-8.533.010.82-
2020/110.66-9.77-12.588.66-9.552.550.97-
2020/100.74-36.36-12.497.99-9.292.770.9-
2020/91.1531.613.297.26-8.962.631.17-
2020/80.8846.2828.616.1-12.222.211.4-
2020/70.6-17.86-38.655.22-16.672.591.19-
2020/60.73-42.14-45.94.63-12.62.851.15-
2020/51.2647.061.593.89-1.193.111.05本期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2020/40.86-13.0934.342.63-16.722.11.55-
2020/30.99285.24-11.921.77-29.661.772.02-
2020/20.26-51.47-61.660.79-43.892.441.47上期銷售組合較多連線設備,導致營收增加。
2020/10.53-67.99-27.610.53-27.610.0N/A-
2019/121.65117.69-4.9611.22-4.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.042023/10.262022/10.392021/10.612020/10.53
2024/20.362023/20.332022/20.432021/20.52020/20.26
2024/31.132023/30.372022/30.92021/30.982020/30.99
2024/40.872023/41.192022/40.292021/40.62020/40.86
2024/51.072023/50.422022/50.632021/50.692020/51.26
2024/61.082023/61.532022/61.212021/60.782020/60.73
2024/70.722023/70.892022/70.462021/71.152020/70.6
2024/80.912023/81.282022/80.792021/80.872020/80.88
2024/90.712023/90.762022/90.712021/90.722020/91.15
2024/100.752023/100.862022/100.712021/100.692020/100.74
2024/111.132023/111.082022/110.852021/111.372020/110.66
N/AN/A2023/122.322022/121.672021/121.972020/121.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 34.92%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.9220.7512.94
24Q2 (19)1.59-14.52-10.17
24Q1 (18)1.8655.045.31
23Q4 (17)1.2-29.419.09
23Q3 (16)1.7-3.95-19.05
23Q2 (15)1.7738.28-7.81
23Q1 (14)1.2816.36-17.95
22Q4 (13)1.1-47.62-14.73
22Q3 (12)2.19.3811.7
22Q2 (11)1.9223.08-7.25
22Q1 (10)1.5620.938.33
21Q4 (9)1.29-31.3820.56
21Q3 (8)1.88-9.1839.26
21Q2 (7)2.0743.7543.75
21Q1 (6)1.4434.589.92
20Q4 (5)1.07-20.74-30.07
20Q3 (4)1.35-6.250.0
20Q2 (3)1.449.920.0
20Q1 (2)1.31-14.380.0
19Q4 (1)1.530.00.0

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