玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.7-32.44-20.5634.38-14.339.96N/A-
2024/94.022.63-9.0131.68-13.7510.380.83-
2024/83.264.55-16.927.68-14.399.750.89-
2024/73.12-7.6-10.5424.42-14.059.770.88-
2024/63.383.08-21.7821.31-14.5410.840.8-
2024/53.27-21.92-19.3417.93-13.0211.380.76-
2024/44.197.13-11.5914.66-11.4710.510.83-
2024/33.9163.03-25.4210.46-11.4310.460.84-
2024/22.4-42.11-15.316.55-0.2411.650.75-
2024/14.15-18.7211.214.1511.2112.420.71-
2023/125.160.93-5.5648.41-13.9311.670.72-
2023/113.17-6.76-27.2443.31-14.8210.970.77-
2023/103.4-22.62-19.6140.14-13.6511.720.72-
2023/94.412.0-39.6836.74-13.0611.810.76-
2023/83.9212.55-0.8332.34-7.5111.730.76-
2023/73.49-19.210.1628.42-8.3611.860.76-
2023/64.326.3-31.4424.93-9.4413.120.67-
2023/54.06-14.4225.7920.62-2.9214.050.62-
2023/44.74-9.636.6216.56-8.0712.830.68-
2023/35.2585.14-12.1111.81-12.8911.810.75-
2023/22.84-23.979.886.56-13.5111.970.74-
2023/13.73-30.98-25.563.73-25.5613.490.66-
2022/125.423.9816.7556.259.3113.990.64-
2022/114.363.010.7450.858.5715.880.57-
2022/104.23-41.946.5146.499.3715.470.58-
2022/97.2984.1530.4942.269.6614.720.61-
2022/83.9613.687.0834.976.1313.730.66-
2022/73.48-44.74.8131.016.0113.00.7-
2022/66.2995.05-3.5827.536.1713.970.56-
2022/53.23-27.46-18.3821.249.4513.650.58-
2022/44.45-25.514.7418.0116.5713.00.6-
2022/35.97131.542.8813.5621.8413.560.57-
2022/22.58-48.5-17.697.599.1912.220.63-
2022/15.018.2531.285.0131.2813.960.55-
2021/124.636.97-17.0551.469.9212.930.6-
2021/114.338.913.4946.8313.5613.880.56-
2021/103.97-28.87-12.6542.514.713.250.58-
2021/95.5851.1143.0138.5318.5312.60.44-
2021/83.711.289.8432.9515.1913.540.41-
2021/73.32-49.132.2329.2515.913.80.4-
2021/66.5365.1-7.6925.9317.9214.730.38-
2021/53.95-6.925.5819.430.0612.380.46-
2021/44.251.628.415.4531.2611.560.49-
2021/34.1833.3546.3111.1331.5311.130.53-
2021/23.13-17.8542.436.9523.9912.530.47-
2021/13.82-31.612.083.8212.0813.580.43-
2020/125.5833.4740.646.810.1814.310.41-
2020/114.18-8.0716.8641.23-3.5612.630.47-
2020/104.5516.4615.5637.05-5.4211.820.5-
2020/93.916.065.7932.51-7.7610.520.6-
2020/83.363.56-11.6228.6-9.3513.680.46-
2020/73.25-54.07-1.525.24-9.0413.470.47-
2020/67.07124.6253.6721.99-10.0613.530.332020年6月單月營收較去年同期大幅增加係因認列放射腫瘤機台銷售收入。
2020/53.15-4.81-33.1314.92-24.839.310.47-
2020/43.3115.77-23.3311.77-22.258.370.53-
2020/32.8629.82-23.58.46-21.838.460.46-
2020/22.2-35.36-34.295.61-20.949.570.41-
2020/13.4-14.19-8.993.4-8.9910.950.36-
2019/123.9710.9317.9746.7219.00.0N/A-
2019/113.58-9.0912.1842.7619.10.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.152023/13.732022/15.012021/13.822020/13.4
2024/22.42023/22.842022/22.582021/23.132020/22.2
2024/33.912023/35.252022/35.972021/34.182020/32.86
2024/44.192023/44.742022/44.452021/44.252020/43.31
2024/53.272023/54.062022/53.232021/53.952020/53.15
2024/63.382023/64.322022/66.292021/66.532020/67.07
2024/73.122023/73.492022/73.482021/73.322020/73.25
2024/83.262023/83.922022/83.962021/83.72020/83.36
2024/94.02023/94.42022/97.292021/95.582020/93.9
2024/102.72023/103.42022/104.232021/103.972020/104.55
N/AN/A2023/113.172022/114.362021/114.332020/114.18
N/AN/A2023/125.12022/125.42021/124.632020/125.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.55%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12200.0200.0
24Q2 (19)0.04-33.33300.0
24Q1 (18)0.06100.0-14.29
23Q4 (17)0.03-25.0-40.0
23Q3 (16)0.04300.0-89.47
23Q2 (15)0.01-85.71-97.44
23Q1 (14)0.0740.0-81.08
22Q4 (13)0.05-86.84-91.07
22Q3 (12)0.38-2.5622.58
22Q2 (11)0.395.4125.81
22Q1 (10)0.37-33.9312.12
21Q4 (9)0.5680.6514.29
21Q3 (8)0.310.0-44.64
21Q2 (7)0.31-6.0647.62
21Q1 (6)0.33-32.65-25.0
20Q4 (5)0.49-12.532.43
20Q3 (4)0.56166.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.21-52.270.0
20Q1 (2)0.4418.920.0
19Q4 (1)0.370.00.0

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