玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.0715.74-2.8439.76-2.8812.13N/A-
2024/93.52-22.53-15.5735.69-2.8912.350.55-
2024/84.545.856.3732.17-1.2712.890.53-
2024/74.295.7115.4927.63-2.4212.150.56-
2024/64.066.9-10.7623.34-5.1312.020.58-
2024/53.8-8.8-12.3519.28-3.8511.60.6-
2024/44.1614.5111.9515.48-1.5111.340.61-
2024/33.642.77-23.1911.32-5.6911.320.63-
2024/23.54-14.69-4.27.685.6912.780.56-
2024/14.15-18.5815.914.1515.9113.110.55-
2023/125.0931.6424.7349.91-11.1613.150.52-
2023/113.87-7.7-9.6244.82-13.9812.230.56-
2023/104.190.5715.0140.95-14.3712.630.54-
2023/94.17-2.387.6436.76-16.7912.150.49-
2023/84.2714.931.8332.59-19.1412.530.48-
2023/73.72-18.32-9.6628.32-21.5812.60.48-
2023/64.555.0-6.3324.6-23.1112.60.46-
2023/54.3316.49-19.5120.05-26.1112.780.45-
2023/43.72-21.44-28.9615.72-27.7512.140.48-
2023/34.7328.19-17.3612.0-27.3612.00.54-
2023/23.693.21-25.197.27-32.6711.350.57-
2023/13.58-12.41-38.963.58-38.9611.940.55-
2022/124.08-4.59-20.2656.1917.5412.010.6-
2022/114.2817.46-29.8552.122.0811.80.61-
2022/103.64-5.86-29.6747.8230.7511.710.61-
2022/93.87-7.65-1.0344.1840.7312.180.76-
2022/84.191.958.640.346.6813.160.71-
2022/74.11-15.322.3736.1152.914.350.65因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/64.86-9.7637.9532.063.2615.470.58因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/55.382.8160.0827.1468.816.350.55因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/45.23-8.6173.421.7671.1115.90.56因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/35.7316.0565.9316.5370.3916.530.46因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/24.94-15.7965.3610.872.8615.920.48因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2022/15.8614.4479.735.8679.7317.090.44因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2021/125.12-16.0860.5147.825.1616.410.44因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2021/116.117.7788.9942.6821.9415.20.47因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2021/105.1832.4790.7536.5715.1212.960.56因原料漲價而調整價格及新產品與部分工程認列
2021/93.911.3314.7131.398.0511.790.47-
2021/83.86-3.899.4927.487.1611.40.49-
2021/74.0214.18.4223.626.7910.90.51-
2021/63.524.7-6.8219.66.479.90.49-
2021/53.3611.3725.6316.089.99.830.49-
2021/43.02-12.552.3312.726.389.460.51-
2021/33.4515.652.679.77.79.70.39-
2021/22.98-8.477.76.2510.79.440.4-
2021/13.262.2113.63.2613.69.680.39-
2020/123.19-1.192.3138.19-2.989.140.43-
2020/113.2318.8710.7735.0-3.449.360.42-
2020/102.72-20.33-16.4731.77-4.689.650.41-
2020/93.41-3.28-3.2629.05-3.4110.640.439月份營收包含52,517仟元之工程收入
2020/83.53-4.8310.1425.64-3.4311.010.418月份營收包含87,747仟元之工程收入
2020/73.7-1.932.9822.11-5.2910.160.457月份營收包含81,396仟元之工程收入
2020/63.7841.1727.2318.41-6.89.40.5-
2020/52.68-9.27-23.4114.63-12.828.990.52-
2020/42.95-12.26-19.9711.95-10.049.080.52-
2020/33.3621.315.389.0-6.239.00.47-
2020/22.77-3.461.195.64-12.08.690.48-
2020/12.87-5.74-21.852.87-21.858.830.48-
2019/123.054.47-8.0639.29-2.970.0N/A-
2019/112.92-10.37-8.9936.25-2.510.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.152023/13.582022/15.862021/13.262020/12.87
2024/23.542023/23.692022/24.942021/22.982020/22.77
2024/33.642023/34.732022/35.732021/33.452020/33.36
2024/44.162023/43.722022/45.232021/43.022020/42.95
2024/53.82023/54.332022/55.382021/53.362020/52.68
2024/64.062023/64.552022/64.862021/63.522020/63.78
2024/74.292023/73.722022/74.112021/74.022020/73.7
2024/84.542023/84.272022/84.192021/83.862020/83.53
2024/93.522023/94.172022/93.872021/93.912020/93.41
2024/104.072023/104.192022/103.642021/105.182020/102.72
N/AN/A2023/113.872022/114.282021/116.12020/113.23
N/AN/A2023/125.092022/124.082021/125.122020/123.19
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 49.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.951.2392.61
24Q2 (19)4.890.4183.83
24Q1 (18)4.871.0483.08
23Q4 (17)4.8287.5585.38
23Q3 (16)2.57-3.3864.74
23Q2 (15)2.660.070.51
23Q1 (14)2.662.3148.6
22Q4 (13)2.666.6728.08
22Q3 (12)1.560.0-10.86
22Q2 (11)1.56-12.85-8.24
22Q1 (10)1.79-11.8211.88
21Q4 (9)2.0316.029.3
21Q3 (8)1.752.941490.91
21Q2 (7)1.76.25962.5
21Q1 (6)1.61.91310.26
20Q4 (5)1.571327.271470.0
20Q3 (4)0.11-31.250.0
20Q2 (3)0.16-58.970.0
20Q1 (2)0.39290.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.10.00.0

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