玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.5-7.4648.6321.9419.537.45N/A-
2024/92.7120.9836.0719.4316.597.340.65-
2024/82.24-6.7115.5416.7213.957.010.68-
2024/72.40.8229.414.4913.717.020.68-
2024/62.386.138.4512.0911.046.880.7-
2024/52.24-0.66.159.715.916.480.75-
2024/42.2613.69.147.475.835.310.91-
2024/31.9986.227.065.214.465.210.86-
2024/21.07-50.7-34.273.232.935.430.82-
2024/12.16-1.5542.782.1642.786.080.73-
2023/122.227.41-7.3522.27-20.635.610.68-
2023/111.722.32-22.5420.07-21.855.40.71-
2023/101.68-15.28-18.718.35-21.795.610.68-
2023/91.992.738.8716.66-22.095.780.69-
2023/81.944.46-14.4714.68-24.985.510.73-
2023/71.857.87-18.6212.74-26.365.680.71-
2023/61.72-18.64-36.8510.89-27.535.90.7-
2023/52.112.2-0.199.17-25.476.030.68-
2023/42.0711.44-12.777.06-30.725.540.74-
2023/31.8514.31-36.214.99-36.164.990.91-
2023/21.627.08-11.893.14-36.125.510.82-
2023/11.51-36.13-50.661.51-50.666.110.74本月因市場需求不振,且適逢農曆春節假期,以致於營業收入較去年同期減少。
2022/122.376.530.028.06-8.386.670.67-
2022/112.237.39-17.5125.69-9.096.130.73-
2022/102.0713.45-25.0923.46-8.26.160.72-
2022/91.83-19.3-28.9121.39-6.156.370.7-
2022/82.26-0.59-13.5619.56-3.267.260.62-
2022/72.28-16.29-5.9417.3-1.727.110.63-
2022/62.7228.58-4.1815.02-1.057.210.7-
2022/52.12-10.68-25.2512.3-0.337.390.69-
2022/42.37-18.494.4810.197.077.120.71-
2022/32.9157.8913.957.827.897.820.68-
2022/21.84-40.0216.494.914.597.280.73-
2022/13.0729.43-1.443.07-1.448.140.65-
2021/122.37-12.11-23.2430.6316.337.840.67-
2021/112.7-2.48-4.1428.2621.68.040.65-
2021/102.777.6824.625.5625.147.960.66-
2021/92.57-1.8710.4222.7925.217.610.6-
2021/82.628.1632.1820.2227.387.880.58-
2021/72.42-14.7323.7917.626.698.090.56-
2021/62.840.3135.4815.1827.177.940.59-
2021/52.8324.8565.5112.3425.47.650.61本期因市場回溫及客戶備貨需求提升,故營收較去年同期成長。
2021/42.27-11.11-9.159.5116.966.40.73-
2021/32.5561.41-0.117.2528.537.250.56-
2021/21.58-49.2643.274.6952.257.780.53本期因市場回溫及客戶備貨需求提升,故營收較去年同期成長。
2021/13.110.7957.263.1157.269.020.45本期因市場回溫及客戶備貨需求提升,故營收較去年同期成長。
2020/123.099.761.9626.33-24.78.130.47-
2020/112.8126.7511.5723.24-27.247.360.52-
2020/102.22-4.56-5.4920.42-30.566.530.59-
2020/92.3317.45-16.2518.2-32.746.260.73-
2020/81.981.29-29.8715.88-34.636.030.76-
2020/71.96-6.68-31.913.9-35.255.760.8-
2020/62.122.54-32.4711.94-35.776.30.72-
2020/51.71-31.47-44.29.84-36.436.760.67-
2020/42.5-2.26-26.668.13-34.526.150.74-
2020/32.55131.52-18.035.64-37.485.640.81-
2020/21.1-44.3-49.413.08-47.756.110.75-
2020/11.98-34.64-46.781.98-46.787.530.61-
2019/123.0320.11-20.834.97-22.80.0N/A-
2019/112.527.36-29.5931.94-22.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.162023/11.512022/13.072021/13.112020/11.98
2024/21.072023/21.622022/21.842021/21.582020/21.1
2024/31.992023/31.852022/32.912021/32.552020/32.55
2024/42.262023/42.072022/42.372021/42.272020/42.5
2024/52.242023/52.112022/52.122021/52.832020/51.71
2024/62.382023/61.722022/62.722021/62.842020/62.1
2024/72.42023/71.852022/72.282021/72.422020/71.96
2024/82.242023/81.942022/82.262021/82.622020/81.98
2024/92.712023/91.992022/91.832021/92.572020/92.33
2024/102.52023/101.682022/102.072021/102.772020/102.22
N/AN/A2023/111.722022/112.232021/112.72020/112.81
N/AN/A2023/122.22022/122.372021/122.372020/123.09
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.31106.67287.5
24Q2 (19)0.15-34.7887.5
24Q1 (18)0.2335.294.55
23Q4 (17)0.17112.554.55
23Q3 (16)0.080.0-63.64
23Q2 (15)0.08-63.64-60.0
23Q1 (14)0.22100.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.11-50.0-47.62
22Q3 (12)0.2210.029.41
22Q2 (11)0.2-9.0942.86
22Q1 (10)0.224.7646.67
21Q4 (9)0.2123.53133.33
21Q3 (8)0.1721.4388.89
21Q2 (7)0.14-6.677.69
21Q1 (6)0.1566.6787.5
20Q4 (5)0.090.050.0
20Q3 (4)0.09-30.770.0
20Q2 (3)0.1362.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.0833.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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