玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.87-14.3-39.1233.457.6910.6N/A-
2024/93.34-23.9251.7930.5816.0511.280.49月份螺絲本業出貨順暢
2024/84.424.1370.4727.2412.7911.10.418月螺絲本業出貨順暢,子公司銷售亦有增加
2024/73.5411.8240.8522.845.910.180.44-
2024/63.17-8.726.5219.31.289.910.49-
2024/53.476.09-2.0716.140.3210.010.48-
2024/43.270.017.4712.671.08.90.54-
2024/33.2738.47-9.829.4-3.699.40.31-
2024/22.36-37.29-28.346.13-0.0711.550.25-
2024/13.77-30.5932.763.7732.7615.910.18-
2023/125.43-19.2726.6843.21-10.316.860.16-
2023/116.7242.7946.437.78-13.9113.630.19-
2023/104.71113.6831.2431.06-20.959.490.28-
2023/92.2-14.56-50.126.35-26.27.30.36螺絲本業因客戶庫存偏高,出貨不如預期
2023/82.582.56-37.924.15-22.828.060.32-
2023/72.51-15.42-36.3121.57-20.529.030.29-
2023/62.97-16.09-29.0519.06-17.839.30.25-
2023/53.5427.28-6.716.08-15.359.950.24-
2023/42.78-23.23-24.4412.54-17.519.70.24-
2023/33.6310.02-26.419.76-15.39.760.29-
2023/23.316.1814.916.13-6.9910.420.27-
2023/12.84-33.77-23.862.84-23.8611.710.24-
2022/124.28-6.7122.0848.1728.0612.460.29-
2022/114.5928.022.6643.8928.6812.590.29-
2022/103.59-18.76-14.3339.2929.4212.150.3-
2022/94.426.3342.5735.7136.4212.520.53-
2022/84.155.1846.431.2935.612.290.54-
2022/73.95-5.7823.5827.1434.0811.940.56-
2022/64.1910.3415.6223.1936.0511.670.35-
2022/53.83.083.619.041.5712.410.33-
2022/43.68-25.2437.5615.2155.8311.480.36本公司及子公司累計營收增加
2022/34.9371.8282.6711.5262.7411.520.33本公司及子公司營收均增加
2022/22.87-23.0286.86.5950.4810.10.37本公司及子公司營收均增加
2022/13.736.1930.893.7330.8910.980.34-
2021/123.51-6.2629.6437.61106.0111.440.34本公司及子公司營收皆增加
2021/113.74-10.653.7934.1119.311.030.35本公司及子公司營收均增加
2021/104.1935.1992.4830.36131.4510.120.39本公司及子公司營收均增加
2021/93.19.1931.5626.17139.29.130.39本公司及子公司營收均增加
2021/82.84-11.2119.4423.08168.79.650.37子公司營收增加
2021/73.19-11.8581.0620.24225.7310.480.34本公司與子公司營收均增加
2021/63.62-1.13327.2117.05283.099.970.33本公司與子公司營收均增加
2021/53.6736.87465.5913.42272.79.040.36母,子公司營收均增加
2021/42.68-0.72276.029.76230.376.910.47子公司營收增加
2021/32.775.71219.957.08215.867.080.4子公司營收增加
2021/21.54-46.06128.884.38213.47.090.4子公司營收增加
2021/12.855.18291.352.85291.357.990.35子公司營收增加
2020/122.7111.2234.9818.2659.077.310.34子公司營收增加
2020/112.4311.88207.3315.5545.756.960.36子公司營收增加
2020/102.18-7.59130.7613.1232.86.90.36子公司營收增加
2020/92.35-0.86156.6110.9422.466.490.39子公司營收增加
2020/82.3734.59147.668.597.114.990.51子公司營收增加
2020/71.76107.9671.786.21-11.973.260.78子公司營收增加
2020/60.8530.89-15.814.45-26.232.211.27-
2020/50.65-9.0-45.683.6-28.312.21.27-
2020/40.71-15.52-1.822.95-22.912.231.26-
2020/30.8425.69-26.862.24-27.832.241.26-
2020/20.67-7.78-18.911.4-28.42.211.28-
2020/10.73-9.96-35.380.73-35.382.331.21-
2019/120.812.02-32.8611.48-6.910.0N/A-
2019/110.79-15.99-35.510.67-4.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.772023/12.842022/13.732021/12.852020/10.73
2024/22.362023/23.32022/22.872021/21.542020/20.67
2024/33.272023/33.632022/34.932021/32.72020/30.84
2024/43.272023/42.782022/43.682021/42.682020/40.71
2024/53.472023/53.542022/53.82021/53.672020/50.65
2024/63.172023/62.972022/64.192021/63.622020/60.85
2024/73.542023/72.512022/73.952021/73.192020/71.76
2024/84.42023/82.582022/84.152021/82.842020/82.37
2024/93.342023/92.22022/94.422021/93.12020/92.35
2024/102.872023/104.712022/103.592021/104.192020/102.18
N/AN/A2023/116.722022/114.592021/113.742020/112.43
N/AN/A2023/125.432022/124.282021/123.512020/122.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.58-53.23-53.23
24Q2 (19)1.2412.73-5.34
24Q1 (18)1.112.242650.0
23Q4 (17)0.98-20.97-22.83
23Q3 (16)1.24-5.3420.39
23Q2 (15)1.313175.0-5.76
23Q1 (14)0.04-96.85-98.0
22Q4 (13)1.2723.3-29.05
22Q3 (12)1.03-25.9758.33
22Q2 (11)1.39-30.51163.64
22Q1 (10)2.011.733900.0
21Q4 (9)1.791391.671018.75
21Q3 (8)0.129.09500.0
21Q2 (7)0.11120.0266.67
21Q1 (6)0.05-68.7566.67
20Q4 (5)0.16700.0433.33
20Q3 (4)0.02-33.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.030.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.030.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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