玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.7316.669.2416.920.284.95N/A-
2024/91.49-14.08-12.2815.19-0.645.151.59-
2024/81.73-10.820.1413.70.85.321.54-
2024/71.9417.2119.9611.970.895.411.51-
2024/61.65-9.1120.9310.03-2.15.121.49-
2024/51.8210.42.428.38-5.655.251.45-
2024/41.65-7.4210.826.56-7.674.651.64-
2024/31.7845.68-27.664.91-12.574.911.46-
2024/21.22-35.93-26.013.13-0.84.671.53-
2024/11.9123.8626.891.9126.895.191.38-
2023/121.54-11.54-11.7620.16-20.274.871.55-
2023/111.749.77-3.4818.62-20.95.021.51-
2023/101.59-6.33-21.4616.87-22.355.011.51-
2023/91.69-1.9-1.715.29-22.445.041.61-
2023/81.736.82-8.0213.59-24.434.711.72-
2023/71.6218.16-19.7311.87-26.344.761.7-
2023/61.37-23.02-35.8110.25-27.284.631.97-
2023/51.7819.46-20.338.88-25.765.731.59-
2023/41.49-39.57-45.087.11-27.015.61.63-
2023/32.4648.99-10.295.62-20.035.621.5-
2023/21.659.88-12.463.16-26.284.91.72-
2023/11.5-13.87-37.181.5-37.185.051.67-
2022/121.75-3.23-25.2425.28-13.765.571.64-
2022/111.8-10.67-24.8323.54-12.775.551.64-
2022/102.0217.22-19.321.73-11.595.621.62-
2022/91.72-8.2-34.2919.71-10.715.611.78-
2022/81.88-6.77-30.0917.99-7.536.021.66-
2022/72.01-5.51-32.1116.11-3.926.381.57-
2022/62.13-4.45-13.7514.12.137.071.25-
2022/52.23-17.65-14.0511.975.597.681.15-
2022/42.71-1.2817.579.7411.437.341.21-
2022/32.7445.393.67.039.237.031.11-
2022/21.89-21.1526.894.2813.166.621.18-
2022/12.392.494.272.394.277.131.1-
2021/122.34-2.69-3.8729.3221.347.241.11-
2021/112.4-4.1119.3926.9824.167.531.07-
2021/102.5-4.5336.3224.5824.647.811.03-
2021/92.62-2.3533.7922.0823.448.270.74-
2021/82.69-9.4647.2819.4622.178.120.76-
2021/72.9720.0344.5316.7718.928.030.77-
2021/62.47-4.7820.7313.814.567.370.84-
2021/52.612.6447.2911.3313.37.550.82-
2021/42.3-13.0115.558.746.036.440.96-
2021/32.6578.0617.176.432.996.430.96-
2021/21.49-35.2-31.193.78-5.056.210.99-
2021/12.3-5.5125.962.325.966.740.92-
2020/122.4320.8515.2624.160.06.280.93-
2020/112.019.4814.2321.73-1.455.811.01-
2020/101.84-6.3-16.2819.72-2.815.621.04-
2020/91.967.489.0917.88-1.185.841.13-
2020/81.82-11.15-4.5315.92-2.315.921.12-
2020/72.050.27-6.6114.1-2.015.861.13-
2020/62.0516.166.812.05-1.185.81.16-
2020/51.76-11.63-20.7710.0-2.686.021.12-
2020/41.99-11.78-5.318.242.316.421.05-
2020/32.264.551.436.255.026.251.08-
2020/22.1618.6246.823.987.176.091.1-
2020/11.82-13.54-18.821.82-18.825.691.18-
2019/122.1119.7710.9924.16-8.290.0N/A-
2019/111.76-19.76-16.0522.05-9.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.912023/11.52022/12.392021/12.32020/11.82
2024/21.222023/21.652022/21.892021/21.492020/22.16
2024/31.782023/32.462022/32.742021/32.652020/32.26
2024/41.652023/41.492022/42.712021/42.32020/41.99
2024/51.822023/51.782022/52.232021/52.62020/51.76
2024/61.652023/61.372022/62.132021/62.472020/62.05
2024/71.942023/71.622022/72.012021/72.972020/72.05
2024/81.732023/81.732022/81.882021/82.692020/81.82
2024/91.492023/91.692022/91.722021/92.622020/91.96
2024/101.732023/101.592022/102.022021/102.52020/101.84
N/AN/A2023/111.742022/111.82021/112.42020/112.01
N/AN/A2023/121.542022/121.752021/122.342020/122.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.19-9.5218.75
24Q2 (19)0.21-12.50.0
24Q1 (18)0.240.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.2450.0140.0
23Q3 (16)0.16-23.81220.0
23Q2 (15)0.21-12.5162.5
23Q1 (14)0.24140.0166.67
22Q4 (13)0.1100.025.0
22Q3 (12)0.05-37.5-16.67
22Q2 (11)0.08-11.1133.33
22Q1 (10)0.0912.580.0
21Q4 (9)0.0833.33700.0
21Q3 (8)0.060.0500.0
21Q2 (7)0.0620.00
21Q1 (6)0.05400.0400.0
20Q4 (5)0.010.00
20Q3 (4)0.0100.0

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