玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)43-4.44-4.440.09139.1300.26192.86316.67-0.5214.75-766.674.7526.3310.2119.459.82-12.783.72275.47509.840.82129.934000.00.18325.0500.00.04140.002.31250.032.00.82129.934000.021.3789.30108.59
24Q2 (19)450.00.0-0.2339.47-176.67-0.2824.32-275.0-0.61-60.53-916.673.7616.419.9417.713.51-9.83-2.1248.17-30.06-2.7447.21-169.37-0.0838.46-33.33-0.141.18-171.43-1.5464.35-631.03-2.7447.21-169.37-2.88-880.26-862.84
24Q1 (18)450.00.0-0.38-1800.0-2.7-0.37-1750.0-12.12-0.38-375.0-2.73.23-22.17-4.1517.11-20.71-4.36-4.09-333.71-23.19-5.19-2259.09-6.79-0.13-285.71-18.18-0.17-1600.0-6.25-4.32-361.82-7.46-5.19-2259.09-6.79-12.94-900.00-833.34
23Q4 (17)450.00.0-0.02092.0-0.0283.3385.71-0.08-33.33-101.824.15-3.712.4721.58-3.2320.631.75186.89346.48-0.22-1200.092.00.07133.33333.33-0.01090.911.65-5.71183.76-0.22-1200.092.011.15-50.00-45.84
23Q3 (16)450.00.00.00-100.0-100.0-0.12-175.0-108.33-0.060.0-101.294.3126.02-22.922.3013.54-21.860.61137.42-94.70.02-99.49-99.880.03150.0-95.310-100.0-100.01.75503.45-89.970.02-99.49-99.8813.7540.54-13.26
23Q2 (15)450.00.00.30181.08-73.910.16148.48-80.95-0.0683.78-102.393.421.48-33.4619.649.78-25.94-1.6350.9-116.283.95181.28-60.5-0.0645.45-111.760.14187.5-72.550.29107.21-97.763.95181.28-60.5-7.6566.546.38
23Q1 (14)450.00.0-0.37-48.0-127.41-0.33-135.71-125.38-0.37-108.41-127.413.37-16.79-42.017.890.0-36.24-3.32-367.61-123.66-4.86-76.73-146.82-0.11-266.67-113.41-0.16-45.45-126.67-4.02-104.06-127.25-4.86-76.73-146.82-22.17-79.84-122.72
22Q4 (13)450.02.27-0.25-111.68-117.24-0.14-109.72-110.04.40-5.38-15.714.05-27.55-38.7317.89-37.32-36.67-0.71-106.17-105.85-2.75-116.13-128.23-0.03-104.69-103.75-0.11-111.58-117.19-1.97-111.3-115.51-2.75-116.13-128.23-9.40-12.80-19.14
22Q3 (12)450.00.02.1486.0925.881.4471.43-11.664.6585.2623.345.598.75-2.2728.547.62-1.1811.5014.89-19.4117.0570.528.970.6425.49-21.950.9586.2725.017.4434.7813.7617.0570.528.97-1.3935.6418.03
22Q2 (11)450.00.01.15-14.81194.870.84-35.3858.492.5185.9321.265.14-11.5312.9726.52-5.4914.7110.01-28.6551.2110.00-3.66159.070.51-37.870.00.51-15.0183.3312.94-12.27136.5610.00-3.66159.07-11.81-10.86-21.26
22Q1 (10)452.272.271.35-6.9-20.121.30-7.14-22.161.35-74.14-20.125.81-12.1-1.0228.06-0.67-2.0614.0315.57-13.2910.386.57-17.160.822.5-13.680.6-6.25-18.9214.7516.14-11.0910.386.57-17.161.73-10.80-10.62
21Q4 (9)44-2.222.331.45-14.71-24.081.40-14.11-43.785.2238.46-20.436.6115.563.1228.25-2.18-14.7812.14-14.93-35.499.74-26.32-24.260.8-2.44-33.880.64-15.79-21.9512.70-17.16-14.549.74-26.32-24.2620.64160.5996.72
21Q3 (8)450.04.651.70335.9-14.571.63207.55-30.643.7782.13-18.925.7225.71-8.0428.8824.91-14.8114.27115.56-34.1513.22242.49-4.20.82173.33-39.260.76322.22-11.6315.33180.26-20.2413.22242.49-4.21.61129.4969.65
21Q2 (7)452.274.650.39-76.92-84.210.53-68.26-79.32.0722.49-22.184.55-22.49-18.1723.12-19.3-41.046.62-59.09-74.293.86-69.19-79.90.3-68.42-79.020.18-75.68-83.185.47-67.03-78.353.86-69.19-79.9-15.45-44.22-50.59
21Q1 (6)442.332.331.69-11.52745.01.67-32.93778.951.69-74.24745.05.87-8.42129.328.65-13.5711.2216.18-14.03317.0112.53-2.57277.410.95-21.49850.00.74-9.76722.2216.5911.64290.3512.53-2.57277.41-2.69-7.77-13.48
20Q4 (5)430.00.01.91-4.0285.442.495.96173.636.5641.0883.756.413.0554.0933.15-2.2112.8318.82-13.1555.0212.86-6.8120.411.21-10.37142.00.82-4.6586.3614.86-22.6812.3212.86-6.8120.41--0.00
20Q3 (4)430.00.01.99-19.430.02.35-8.20.04.6574.810.06.2211.870.033.90-13.540.021.67-15.840.013.80-28.120.01.35-5.590.00.86-19.630.019.22-23.910.013.80-28.120.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)430.00.02.471135.00.02.561247.370.02.661230.00.05.56117.190.039.2152.210.025.75563.660.019.20478.310.01.431330.00.01.071088.890.025.26494.350.019.20478.310.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)430.00.00.20-80.580.00.19-79.120.00.20-94.40.02.56-38.460.025.76-12.320.03.88-68.040.03.32-68.910.00.1-80.00.00.09-79.550.04.25-67.880.03.32-68.910.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)430.00.01.030.00.00.910.00.03.570.00.04.160.00.029.380.00.012.140.00.010.680.00.00.50.00.00.440.00.013.230.00.010.680.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.54-0.78-0.3513.285.024.71N/A-
2024/91.55-4.47.9211.755.774.750.31-
2024/81.622.598.9510.25.454.210.35-
2024/71.5856.013.958.574.814.080.36-
2024/61.01-31.81-15.536.992.953.760.37-
2024/51.4917.6524.135.986.913.970.35-
2024/41.263.0323.174.52.223.260.43-
2024/31.2358.695.823.23-4.133.230.42-
2024/20.77-37.53-22.12.01-9.343.250.42-
2024/11.24-0.621.01.241.03.840.35-
2023/121.24-8.59-8.0115.25-26.124.150.31-
2023/111.36-11.8210.7414.01-27.394.340.3-
2023/101.547.455.9912.65-29.994.470.29-
2023/91.44-3.48-5.7111.1-33.144.310.34-
2023/81.497.29-22.959.67-35.914.070.36-
2023/71.3915.64-35.518.18-37.813.780.38-
2023/61.20.21-44.396.79-38.263.420.4-
2023/51.216.73-49.965.59-36.773.380.4-
2023/41.03-11.4759.014.4-31.893.170.43111年4月受新冠疫情影響,昆山子公司配合當地政府防疫政策,工作天數減少,致合併營收基期較低。
2023/31.1616.8-51.853.37-41.973.370.41因客戶拉貨較去年減少影響所致
2023/20.99-18.99-22.542.21-34.993.570.39-
2023/11.22-9.49-42.481.22-42.483.80.36-
2022/121.3510.04-37.2220.65-9.264.040.36-
2022/111.23-15.61-51.4219.29-6.344.210.34111年11月份營收較去年同期減少係因新冠疫情及客戶需求減少所致
2022/101.46-4.4-24.6218.07-0.034.910.3-
2022/91.52-21.13-25.4816.612.95.610.32-
2022/81.93-10.192.6115.097.026.240.29-
2022/72.15-0.2719.7213.167.76.70.27-
2022/62.16-9.8255.2811.015.635.190.38因客戶拉貨增加致本月營收增加
2022/52.39270.9961.148.85-2.05.440.36因受疫情影響,客戶本月拉貨增加致營收增加
2022/40.64-73.19-61.576.46-14.424.330.45因受疫情影響,昆山子公司配合當地政府防疫政策停工致營收較去年同期減少
2022/32.4187.9433.495.81-0.945.810.34-
2022/21.28-39.85-10.563.41-16.195.560.36-
2022/12.13-1.2-19.252.13-19.256.810.29-
2021/122.15-14.85-5.2322.769.646.610.31-
2021/112.5330.9515.8420.611.476.510.32-
2021/101.93-5.5-1.2218.0710.895.860.35-
2021/92.048.6-7.5816.1412.545.720.32-
2021/81.884.78-4.714.116.215.070.36-
2021/71.829.34-11.6512.2120.284.670.39-
2021/61.39-6.42-22.1810.4228.284.550.36-
2021/51.48-11.54-17.769.0342.494.960.33-
2021/41.68-6.88-14.767.5566.494.910.33109年第一季受疫情影響營收不佳
2021/31.825.9167.515.87128.895.870.29營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2021/21.43-45.7170.984.07173.256.340.27營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2021/12.6415.96174.52.64174.57.090.24營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/122.274.0767.5920.7541.416.410.27109年12月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/112.1811.6562.6718.4838.756.350.27109年11月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/101.96-11.5839.7316.336.076.140.28109年10月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/92.2111.9860.6714.3435.586.220.24109年9月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/81.98-2.8537.4112.1331.835.790.26109年8月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/72.0313.9252.1310.1530.795.620.26109年7月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/61.78-1.1168.698.1226.355.560.3109年6月營收較去年同期增加,系因客戶需求增加所致
2020/51.8-8.3171.946.3418.014.850.35109年5月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/41.9783.0172.574.534.913.570.47109年4月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加所致
2020/31.08103.691.732.56-19.352.560.46-
2020/20.53-45.0-27.271.49-29.862.840.41-
2020/10.96-29.19-31.210.96-31.213.660.32-
2019/121.361.011.6714.68-3.850.0N/A-
2019/111.34-4.08-21.5113.32-4.380.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)450.0-0.080-0.30015.25-25.9720.53-20.43-0.450-0.240-0.0700.02-99.17-0.040
2022 (9)452.274.06-15.593.47-33.420.6-9.4925.80-6.159.44-25.149.52-6.31.94-32.42.42-17.691.96-15.15
2021 (8)442.334.81-24.965.21-31.0822.769.6927.49-19.3412.61-35.9610.16-25.622.87-29.832.94-19.672.31-18.37
2020 (7)430.06.4180.567.56110.020.7540.8734.0811.319.6958.9213.6630.474.09123.53.66101.12.8383.77
2019 (6)434.883.55-18.763.600.5614.73-2.9630.62-7.2112.39-10.0910.47-11.721.83-12.441.82-22.551.54-14.44
2018 (5)417.894.3795.093.5863.4715.188.5833.0021.7713.7827.7111.8691.62.0938.412.3564.341.8109.3
2017 (4)380.02.2424.442.19184.4213.98-0.0727.1021.6310.79164.466.1929.231.51164.911.4353.760.8624.64
2016 (3)380.01.80-17.810.77-59.0413.99-8.9822.28-6.154.08-33.334.7915.140.57-39.360.93-4.120.69-17.86
2015 (2)380.02.1928.821.8826.1715.373.1523.747.426.1234.214.1669.110.9438.240.9740.580.8429.23
2014 (1)385.561.70-42.951.49-46.5914.913.5722.1004.5602.4600.68-54.670.69-50.00.65-39.81

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