玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.378.1823.783.62-5.391.22N/A-
2024/90.34-32.121.193.25-7.871.20.86-
2024/80.5143.0841.682.9-10.411.20.86-
2024/70.354.759.922.4-16.861.070.96-
2024/60.34-11.95-26.282.04-20.231.090.95-
2024/50.383.78-10.231.71-18.911.140.91-
2024/40.37-4.39-3.991.32-21.120.961.08-
2024/30.3985.61-12.80.95-26.220.951.21-
2024/20.21-42.11-54.580.57-33.210.841.38本月營收較去年同期減少主係受大環境影響終端需求下降及適逢農曆春節假期工作天數較少所影響。
2024/10.3634.02-8.20.36-8.20.961.2-
2023/120.27-18.8-54.664.42-35.750.91.34本月營收較去年同期減少主係受大環境影響終端需求下降。
2023/110.3310.06-24.884.15-33.970.911.31-
2023/100.35.92-36.863.82-34.650.941.28-
2023/90.28-20.62-48.973.52-34.460.961.63-
2023/80.3611.01-39.373.24-32.791.141.38-
2023/70.32-29.74-44.862.88-31.871.211.3-
2023/60.467.2-25.42.56-29.791.271.36-
2023/50.4311.0-24.02.1-30.681.251.37-
2023/40.38-13.17-33.331.68-32.21.291.34-
2023/30.44-3.32-40.411.29-31.861.291.38-
2023/20.4616.990.460.85-26.351.441.23-
2023/10.39-33.81-43.880.39-43.881.421.25-
2022/120.5934.5414.556.88-2.611.511.13-
2022/110.44-7.49-13.646.29-3.971.471.16-
2022/100.48-14.38-17.855.85-3.151.621.05-
2022/90.56-5.68-3.75.38-1.591.730.84-
2022/80.590.94-3.074.82-1.341.790.81-
2022/70.58-4.94-12.854.23-1.11.760.82-
2022/60.619.22-0.623.651.071.750.72-
2022/50.56-2.63-8.843.041.421.880.67-
2022/40.58-22.38-7.062.474.081.780.71-
2022/30.7462.9818.761.98.021.90.63-
2022/20.46-34.658.571.152.081.670.71-
2022/10.735.11-1.750.7-1.751.720.69-
2021/120.521.4221.477.0738.371.60.78-
2021/110.51-12.018.656.5539.911.660.75-
2021/100.580.3636.286.0442.051.760.71-
2021/90.58-5.0725.335.4642.691.850.62-
2021/80.61-9.2350.834.8945.071.890.6市場需求維持在高點
2021/70.678.3893.044.2844.281.90.6市場需求維持在高點
2021/60.620.1950.013.6137.831.850.57市場需求維持在高峰
2021/50.62-0.7232.762.9935.561.860.56-
2021/40.62-0.8123.722.3836.311.670.63-
2021/30.6349.0132.931.7641.391.760.59-
2021/20.42-40.879.331.1346.561.560.66-
2021/10.7167.0683.490.7183.491.560.66市場需求上升
2020/120.43-0.9217.795.1119.11.280.92-
2020/110.431.069.864.6819.221.310.9-
2020/100.42-7.710.34.2520.251.290.92-
2020/90.4614.2434.93.8321.471.210.88-
2020/80.416.1611.183.3719.841.160.92-
2020/70.35-15.77-4.472.9721.121.220.88-
2020/60.41-11.3223.592.6225.571.380.69-
2020/50.46-7.4716.962.2125.951.440.66-
2020/40.56.5668.911.7428.581.360.7去年受美中貿易戰影響營收降低,今年營收恢復成長
2020/30.4722.5522.311.2417.271.240.0-
2020/20.38-0.7658.510.7714.41.130.0因去年2月適逢農春節工作天數較少,營收較低
2020/10.397.24-10.350.39-10.351.140.0-
2019/120.36-7.5938.574.29-16.20.0N/A-
2019/110.391.4611.773.93-19.140.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.362023/10.392022/10.72021/10.712020/10.39
2024/20.212023/20.462022/20.462021/20.422020/20.38
2024/30.392023/30.442022/30.742021/30.632020/30.47
2024/40.372023/40.382022/40.582021/40.622020/40.5
2024/50.382023/50.432022/50.562021/50.622020/50.46
2024/60.342023/60.462022/60.612021/60.622020/60.41
2024/70.352023/70.322022/70.582021/70.672020/70.35
2024/80.512023/80.362022/80.592021/80.612020/80.4
2024/90.342023/90.282022/90.562021/90.582020/90.46
2024/100.372023/100.32022/100.482021/100.582020/100.42
N/AN/A2023/110.332022/110.442021/110.512020/110.43
N/AN/A2023/120.272022/120.592021/120.522020/120.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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