玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.24-8.83105.782.0153.130.64N/A因客戶交期之因素,故本月及累計營收皆較去年同期增加。
2024/90.2798.3140.161.7647.920.511.02-
2024/80.1325.6418.251.549.390.481.09-
2024/70.11-55.03-34.681.3653.380.540.95由於全球經濟環境復甦,客戶需求增加,故本年累計營收較去年同期增加。
2024/60.2418.7942.751.2573.290.710.56由於全球經濟環境復甦,客戶需求增加,故本年累計營收較去年同期增加。
2024/50.2-26.04109.261.0282.410.680.59因客戶交期之因素,故本月及累計營收皆較去年同期增加。
2024/40.2729.3127.170.8276.850.630.64因客戶交期之因素,故本月及累計營收皆較去年同期增加。
2024/30.2142.31261.460.5559.350.550.86因客戶交期之因素,故本月及累計營收皆較去年同期增加。
2024/20.15-22.4130.370.3418.250.640.73-
2024/10.19-38.0910.290.1910.290.670.7-
2023/120.3174.38-50.151.79-41.660.60.62本期較去年同期減少,主係去年同期銷售金額較高之客戶因交期集中出貨所致。
2023/110.1848.823.711.49-39.540.480.76-
2023/100.12-37.9-56.451.31-43.420.420.88主係受客戶交期影響,故本期較去年同期減少。
2023/90.1967.316.221.19-41.690.470.88-
2023/80.11-30.6-66.671.0-46.290.440.92主係受客戶交期影響,故本期較去年同期減少。
2023/70.16-1.72-42.780.89-41.730.430.96-
2023/60.1774.12-47.940.72-41.480.381.18-
2023/50.1-19.71-67.540.56-39.230.271.65主係受客戶交期影響,故本期較去年同期減少。
2023/40.12105.74-51.410.46-25.830.291.55主係受客戶交期影響,故本期較去年同期減少。
2023/30.06-48.67-58.540.34-9.210.341.31主係受營運淡季影響,故本月較去年同期減少。
2023/20.11-34.36114.40.2819.780.90.5因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2023/10.17-72.02-7.110.17-7.110.930.48-
2022/120.61332.79240.573.0757.821.030.49因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本月及累計營收皆較去年同期增加。
2022/110.14-47.6215.922.4639.150.590.84-
2022/100.2751.4868.92.3140.880.790.63因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/90.18-47.5103.62.0437.840.810.89因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/80.3419.1373.651.8633.70.950.76因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/70.29-10.5959.261.5227.150.90.8因疫情影響趨緩之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/60.328.5591.581.2421.490.860.85因疫情影響趨緩及貨物塞港狀況緩解之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/50.2920.19114.00.927.740.681.07因疫情影響趨緩及貨物塞港狀況緩解之因素,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/40.2575.53117.580.62-12.750.441.67主係受貨運延遲影響,以致產品遞延出貨,故本期較去年同期增加。
2022/30.14165.49-28.420.38-37.20.382.09-
2022/20.05-71.56-76.050.24-41.420.421.89因本月工作天數較少及受季節性因素影響,導致本月營收下滑。
2022/10.192.59-0.520.19-0.520.491.62-
2021/120.1847.3-20.321.95-6.020.461.6-
2021/110.12-23.687.421.77-4.270.372.0-
2021/100.1682.6-22.811.64-5.040.441.66-
2021/90.09-55.22-66.181.48-2.610.461.7主係受原料IC供應短缺影響,以致本期較去年同期減少。
2021/80.29.2529.031.3910.470.541.45-
2021/70.187.5430.731.27.930.481.63-
2021/60.1721.26-18.941.024.710.422.01-
2021/50.1422.2-21.430.8511.060.451.88-
2021/40.11-42.25-39.80.7120.70.531.59-
2021/30.2-11.1827.10.648.750.61.1-
2021/20.2218.1297.470.4162.020.631.04主係上月受貨櫃短缺遞延出貨之影響,致使本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/10.19-17.8233.680.1933.680.531.25-
2020/120.2398.59-23.362.07-38.10.551.29-
2020/110.11-45.17-61.311.84-39.520.581.22主係受新冠肺炎疫情影響訂單減少,以致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/100.21-19.99-51.791.73-37.190.621.15主係受新冠肺炎疫情影響訂單減少,以致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/90.2670.85-1.441.52-34.480.551.11-
2020/80.1510.69-33.691.26-38.710.51.23-
2020/70.14-33.32-42.351.11-39.340.521.18-
2020/60.2117.5310.690.97-38.890.571.16-
2020/50.18-6.38-51.560.77-45.460.521.28主係受新冠肺炎疫情影響訂單減少,以致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/40.1921.94-41.30.59-43.350.451.46-
2020/30.1537.98-23.150.4-44.250.41.76-
2020/20.11-20.03-23.760.25-52.280.551.3主係受新冠肺炎疫情未能全面復工影響,以致本年度營收較去年同期減少。
2020/10.14-52.89-63.260.14-63.260.730.97因本月工作天數較去年同期少,以致本月營收亦較去年同期減少。
2019/120.30.2531.733.35-15.110.0N/A-
2019/110.29-31.6744.463.05-17.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.192023/10.172022/10.192021/10.192020/10.14
2024/20.152023/20.112022/20.052021/20.222020/20.11
2024/30.212023/30.062022/30.142021/30.22020/30.15
2024/40.272023/40.122022/40.252021/40.112020/40.19
2024/50.22023/50.12022/50.292021/50.142020/50.18
2024/60.242023/60.172022/60.322021/60.172020/60.21
2024/70.112023/70.162022/70.292021/70.182020/70.14
2024/80.132023/80.112022/80.342021/80.22020/80.15
2024/90.272023/90.192022/90.182021/90.092020/90.26
2024/100.242023/100.122022/100.272021/100.162020/100.21
N/AN/A2023/110.182022/110.142021/110.122020/110.11
N/AN/A2023/120.312022/120.612021/120.182020/120.23
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.82%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3559.09105.88
24Q2 (19)0.22-18.5269.23
24Q1 (18)0.2735.042.11
23Q4 (17)0.217.65-33.33
23Q3 (16)0.1730.77-29.17
23Q2 (15)0.13-31.58-59.38
23Q1 (14)0.19-36.67-40.62
22Q4 (13)0.325.07.14
22Q3 (12)0.24-25.041.18
22Q2 (11)0.320.0128.57
22Q1 (10)0.3214.29146.15
21Q4 (9)0.2864.71250.0
21Q3 (8)0.1721.4313.33
21Q2 (7)0.147.6955.56
21Q1 (6)0.1362.562.5
20Q4 (5)0.08-46.67-38.46
20Q3 (4)0.1566.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.0912.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.08-38.460.0
19Q4 (1)0.130.00.0

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