玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/117.591.55.0881.957.8922.2N/A-
2024/107.484.938.5674.368.1922.5N/A-
2024/97.13-9.712.3466.888.1423.210.74-
2024/87.9-3.5823.2459.758.8823.580.73-
2024/78.199.2624.8851.856.9822.440.76-
2024/67.510.9121.443.664.1821.90.68-
2024/56.76-11.640.5636.171.2121.960.67-
2024/47.651.2819.329.411.3621.440.69-
2024/37.5521.06-11.7921.76-3.7221.760.71-
2024/26.24-21.73-8.2214.211.1921.390.72-
2024/17.9710.9110.037.9710.0322.380.69-
2023/127.19-0.5411.3683.14-19.321.30.54-
2023/117.224.86-7.0875.95-21.3521.080.55-
2023/106.89-1.08-20.2368.73-22.620.260.57-
2023/96.978.71-17.9561.84-22.8619.930.56-
2023/86.41-2.3-19.6454.87-23.4419.140.58-
2023/76.566.22-28.2448.47-23.9219.450.57-
2023/66.17-8.12-32.4241.91-23.1919.310.5-
2023/56.724.8-29.0435.73-21.3321.690.45-
2023/46.41-25.11-36.2629.01-19.321.770.44-
2023/38.5625.95-8.2722.6-12.7222.60.48-
2023/26.8-6.15-10.6914.04-15.2320.490.53-
2023/17.2412.25-19.087.24-19.0821.470.51-
2022/126.45-17.02-7.6103.031.0522.870.51-
2022/117.78-9.97-13.496.581.6924.90.47-
2022/108.641.747.8988.83.2625.10.46-
2022/98.496.46-9.7480.172.7925.60.49-
2022/87.97-12.75-14.2471.684.5126.250.48-
2022/79.140.04-17.1663.77.4527.750.45-
2022/69.14-3.53-12.954.5613.0828.670.47-
2022/59.47-5.85-3.2645.4320.328.860.46-
2022/410.067.7717.3635.9628.5527.00.5-
2022/39.3322.6216.3925.933.4925.90.69-
2022/27.61-14.9743.8716.5645.5423.550.76-
2022/18.9528.1946.998.9546.9924.920.72-
2021/126.98-22.2342.86101.9642.5523.970.69-
2021/118.9812.1763.694.9742.5326.390.63本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/108.01-14.8948.8585.9940.6426.710.62-
2021/99.411.1684.477.9939.8529.740.58本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/89.3-15.7374.5368.5835.3630.820.56本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/711.035.1888.8159.2830.7631.310.55本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/610.497.1484.5148.2522.1728.850.52本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/59.7914.2256.9337.7611.6826.380.56本月營收較去年同期增加係因出貨量增加所致
2021/48.576.8818.3127.971.4521.880.68-
2021/38.0251.578.119.4-4.5519.40.52-
2021/25.29-13.13-15.9411.38-11.8316.270.62-
2021/16.0924.59-7.926.09-7.9216.470.61-
2020/124.89-10.94-1.6171.52-2.8415.750.5-
2020/115.492.05-8.2866.63-2.9315.970.5-
2020/105.385.42-26.6961.14-2.4215.810.5-
2020/95.1-4.24-20.6255.770.7916.270.39-
2020/85.33-8.83-21.2550.663.616.860.37-
2020/75.842.78-2.2645.347.5917.770.35-
2020/65.69-8.860.3439.499.2219.170.36-
2020/56.24-13.8810.4633.8110.8820.90.33-
2020/47.24-2.3329.427.5710.9720.960.33-
2020/37.4217.8422.7520.335.6120.330.47-
2020/26.29-4.8310.1512.91-2.2317.880.54-
2020/16.6133.12-11.686.61-11.680.0N/A-
2019/124.97-16.98-1.2973.62-6.410.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.972023/17.242022/18.952021/16.092020/16.61
2024/26.242023/26.82022/27.612021/25.292020/26.29
2024/37.552023/38.562022/39.332021/38.022020/37.42
2024/47.652023/46.412022/410.062021/48.572020/47.24
2024/56.762023/56.722022/59.472021/59.792020/56.24
2024/67.52023/66.172022/69.142021/610.492020/65.69
2024/78.192023/76.562022/79.142021/711.032020/75.84
2024/87.92023/86.412022/87.972021/89.32020/85.33
2024/97.132023/96.972022/98.492021/99.412020/95.1
2024/107.482023/106.892022/108.642021/108.012020/105.38
2024/117.592023/117.222022/117.782021/118.982020/115.49
N/AN/A2023/127.192022/126.452021/126.982020/124.89
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.07%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2833.33-34.88
24Q2 (19)0.21-8.7-12.5
24Q1 (18)0.23-17.86-37.84
23Q4 (17)0.28-34.88-33.33
23Q3 (16)0.4379.1786.96
23Q2 (15)0.24-35.14-17.24
23Q1 (14)0.37-11.9-39.34
22Q4 (13)0.4282.6131.25
22Q3 (12)0.23-20.69-34.29
22Q2 (11)0.29-52.46-45.28
22Q1 (10)0.6190.62205.0
21Q4 (9)0.32-8.57-21.95
21Q3 (8)0.35-33.96250.0
21Q2 (7)0.53165.0278.57
21Q1 (6)0.2-51.22-20.0
20Q4 (5)0.41310.0127.78
20Q3 (4)0.1-28.570.0
20Q2 (3)0.14-44.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2538.890.0
19Q4 (1)0.180.00.0

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