玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1029.93-12.86-7.9327.75-0.23100.56N/A-
2024/934.35-5.3-3.31297.820.6106.940.66-
2024/836.27-0.15.28263.471.13107.460.66-
2024/736.314.136.75227.190.5103.790.68-
2024/634.876.941.46190.88-0.699.690.69-
2024/532.611.252.69156.01-1.0596.710.71-
2024/432.20.976.6123.4-1.9991.510.75-
2024/331.916.38-11.291.2-4.7191.20.82-
2024/227.41-14.07-12.4559.3-0.8192.570.8-
2024/131.9-4.1111.9731.911.9798.280.76-
2023/1233.270.45-3.26394.92-20.6798.880.87-
2023/1133.111.89-11.96361.65-21.96101.140.85-
2023/1032.5-8.52-18.15328.54-22.84102.480.84-
2023/935.533.12-24.33296.04-23.33104.00.76-
2023/834.451.28-15.16260.51-23.19102.840.77-
2023/734.02-1.02-17.96226.05-24.28100.140.79-
2023/634.378.23-34.28192.04-25.396.330.84-
2023/531.755.11-26.77157.67-23.097.880.83-
2023/430.21-15.890.55125.92-21.9997.430.84-
2023/335.9214.73-23.3695.71-27.1595.710.92-
2023/231.39.9-21.9859.79-29.2594.180.93-
2023/128.48-17.16-35.8128.48-35.81100.490.87-
2022/1234.39-8.58-35.05497.83-0.1111.710.93-
2022/1137.62-5.26-26.13463.444.05124.280.84-
2022/1039.71-15.42-16.0425.837.95127.280.82-
2022/946.9515.6-3.94386.1211.21129.030.85-
2022/840.61-2.04-1.83339.1713.69134.380.82-
2022/741.46-20.723.13298.5516.19137.130.8-
2022/652.320.625.3257.0918.62125.711.1-
2022/543.3744.3416.52204.7917.02120.281.15-
2022/430.04-35.9-19.96161.4217.16117.041.18-
2022/346.8716.821.34131.3831.07131.380.91-
2022/240.13-9.5839.9284.5137.17137.450.87-
2022/144.38-16.1734.7744.3834.77148.250.81-
2021/1252.943.9636.2498.3317.42151.150.62-
2021/1150.937.7234.76445.3915.53147.090.63-
2021/1047.28-3.2823.5394.4613.44137.530.68-
2021/948.8818.1412.82347.1912.19130.460.67-
2021/841.372.916.1298.3112.09123.320.71-
2021/740.2-3.688.39256.9313.12119.160.73-
2021/641.7412.1510.86216.7314.04116.50.53-
2021/537.22-0.854.48174.9914.82113.380.55-
2021/437.54-2.8113.45137.7717.98104.840.59-
2021/338.6334.6820.58100.2319.77100.230.57-
2021/228.68-12.956.0461.6119.26100.480.57合併營收較去年同期增加56.05%,主係去年同期受到疫情造成產能、供應鏈及客戶復工延遲影響致營收大幅下降所致。
2021/132.93-15.28-1.0432.93-1.04109.590.53-
2020/1238.872.86-6.62424.38-12.87114.940.43-
2020/1137.79-1.27-13.41385.51-13.46119.390.41-
2020/1038.28-11.64-16.0347.72-13.46120.590.41-
2020/943.3211.11-1.27309.45-13.14119.410.49-
2020/838.995.13-12.22266.12-14.8113.730.52-
2020/737.09-1.48-10.83227.13-15.23110.360.53-
2020/637.655.69-5.9190.04-16.04106.350.49-
2020/535.627.65-6.48152.39-18.22100.740.52-
2020/433.093.29-6.86116.77-21.2483.50.62-
2020/332.0374.28-21.8383.69-25.7783.690.68-
2020/218.38-44.77-39.6351.66-28.0193.280.61-
2020/133.28-20.06-19.4433.28-19.44118.550.48-
2019/1241.63-4.62-10.92487.11-12.50.0N/A-
2019/1143.64-4.22-11.05445.49-12.640.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/131.92023/128.482022/144.382021/132.932020/133.28
2024/227.412023/231.32022/240.132021/228.682020/218.38
2024/331.92023/335.922022/346.872021/338.632020/332.03
2024/432.22023/430.212022/430.042021/437.542020/433.09
2024/532.612023/531.752022/543.372021/537.222020/535.62
2024/634.872023/634.372022/652.32021/641.742020/637.65
2024/736.312023/734.022022/741.462021/740.22020/737.09
2024/836.272023/834.452022/840.612021/841.372020/838.99
2024/934.352023/935.532022/946.952021/948.882020/943.32
2024/1029.932023/1032.52022/1039.712021/1047.282020/1038.28
N/AN/A2023/1133.112022/1137.622021/1150.932020/1137.79
N/AN/A2023/1233.272022/1234.392021/1252.942020/1238.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 21.54%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.421.690.48
24Q2 (19)8.28-6.0221.59
24Q1 (18)8.8113.5346.1
23Q4 (17)7.76-7.446.69
23Q3 (16)8.3823.0573.5
23Q2 (15)6.8112.9444.28
23Q1 (14)6.0313.9937.67
22Q4 (13)5.299.5275.75
22Q3 (12)4.832.3366.55
22Q2 (11)4.727.7694.24
22Q1 (10)4.3845.5152.08
21Q4 (9)3.013.7920.4
21Q3 (8)2.919.34-6.75
21Q2 (7)2.43-15.62-19.8
21Q1 (6)2.8815.2-21.95
20Q4 (5)2.5-19.61-14.97
20Q3 (4)3.112.640.0
20Q2 (3)3.03-17.890.0
20Q1 (2)3.6925.510.0
19Q4 (1)2.940.00.0

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