玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.5814.96-26.8543.75-35.9914.42N/A-
2024/93.99-31.86-34.8139.17-36.9113.9510.16-
2024/85.8542.21-58.2535.18-37.1412.7611.11係因建設部門去年同期出售房地較高所致。
2024/74.1146.77-30.2429.33-30.0910.6613.29-
2024/62.8-25.27-72.1725.22-30.0610.4113.64係因建設部門去年同期出售房地較高所致。
2024/53.75-2.92-46.5822.42-13.7611.0212.89-
2024/43.8613.5-10.5118.67-1.619.8214.46-
2024/33.433.19-50.1914.811.014.819.44係因建設部門去年同期出售房地所致。
2024/22.56-71.12-32.611.445.7116.188.64-
2024/18.8585.32119.328.85119.3217.77.89係因建設部門本期出售房地所致。
2023/124.7717.01-24.9577.2122.4415.129.34-
2023/114.08-34.85-28.4172.4327.7616.468.58-
2023/106.262.4542.6668.3534.0426.395.35-
2023/96.11-56.3676.062.0933.2326.025.24係因112年水務部門工程承攬收入增加。
2023/814.01137.63150.4755.9729.7929.984.55係因建設部門本期出售房地所致。
2023/75.9-41.45-13.4641.9611.822.995.93-
2023/610.0743.4262.5236.0717.4121.416.85係因建設部門本期出售房地所致。
2023/57.0262.646.6226.06.0118.178.07-
2023/44.32-36.8313.8518.985.7814.949.81-
2023/36.8380.2435.6614.663.6214.6610.33-
2023/23.79-6.02-22.837.83-14.0914.1910.67-
2023/14.03-36.58-3.854.03-3.8516.19.41-
2022/126.3611.61-6.3663.059.2416.459.11-
2022/115.729.8210.4556.6911.3213.5611.05-
2022/104.3926.41-41.550.9911.4213.4611.13-
2022/93.47-37.9-18.5346.621.8115.889.47-
2022/85.59-17.8924.2243.1326.8718.68.09-
2022/76.819.9663.9837.5327.2819.597.68係因飯店部門收入較去年同期增加。
2022/66.2-5.9103.0130.7221.2616.579.19係因建設部門本期出售房地所致。
2022/56.5873.6657.124.5210.0615.419.88係因建設部門本期出售房地所致。
2022/43.79-24.731.6817.94-0.8313.7411.08-
2022/35.042.524.2914.15-1.4914.1510.83-
2022/24.9117.0828.439.11-4.4215.99.63-
2022/14.2-38.24-26.454.2-26.4516.159.49-
2021/126.7931.67-22.2857.72-10.719.468.0-
2021/115.16-31.25-0.2750.92-8.8816.939.2-
2021/107.5176.0640.845.76-9.7616.279.57-
2021/94.26-5.31-17.6638.25-15.712.9212.24-
2021/84.58.38-25.8933.99-15.4511.7113.51-
2021/74.1536.13-7.8129.49-13.5911.413.88-
2021/63.05-27.18-36.5625.33-14.4710.9714.52-
2021/54.1912.4-45.6822.28-10.1912.7512.5-
2021/43.73-22.8-9.2118.095.8212.3812.87-
2021/34.8326.24-0.5814.3610.5814.3611.12-
2021/23.83-32.95-10.299.5317.2518.288.74-
2021/15.71-34.7347.655.7147.6519.628.14-
2020/128.7468.9725.3864.63-17.3819.258.27-
2020/115.17-2.937.855.89-21.5615.6810.16-
2020/105.332.9465.2950.71-23.6816.599.6建設部門房地收入增加
2020/95.18-14.7726.8345.38-28.2215.7610.33-
2020/86.0834.8212.440.2-32.0215.3910.57-
2020/74.51-6.31-26.134.13-36.4917.039.55-
2020/64.81-37.65-80.1129.62-37.8216.639.95係因建設部門108年6月出售素地。
2020/57.7287.8856.6424.815.7716.689.92係109年5月建設部門出售房地及水務部門工程收入增加所致。
2020/44.11-15.46-24.5917.09-7.7513.2312.51-
2020/34.8613.9115.2912.99-0.7412.9912.51-
2020/24.2610.3532.138.13-8.3515.110.76-
2020/13.86-44.58-31.513.86-31.5115.6410.39-
2019/126.9745.291.6678.2331.550.0N/A-
2019/114.848.82-16.9871.2635.450.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.852023/14.032022/14.22021/15.712020/13.86
2024/22.562023/23.792022/24.912021/23.832020/24.26
2024/33.42023/36.832022/35.042021/34.832020/34.86
2024/43.862023/44.322022/43.792021/43.732020/44.11
2024/53.752023/57.022022/56.582021/54.192020/57.72
2024/62.82023/610.072022/66.22021/63.052020/64.81
2024/74.112023/75.92022/76.812021/74.152020/74.51
2024/85.852023/814.012022/85.592021/84.52020/86.08
2024/93.992023/96.112022/93.472021/94.262020/95.18
2024/104.582023/106.262022/104.392021/107.512020/105.33
N/AN/A2023/114.082022/115.72021/115.162020/115.17
N/AN/A2023/124.772022/126.362021/126.792020/128.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.56-11.11-9.88
24Q2 (19)5.1350.0-34.31
24Q1 (18)3.42-54.94-59.62
23Q4 (17)7.5950.02.57
23Q3 (16)5.06-35.21-31.25
23Q2 (15)7.81-7.79-5.68
23Q1 (14)8.4714.4620.14
22Q4 (13)7.40.546.94
22Q3 (12)7.36-11.11-20.35
22Q2 (11)8.2817.45-4.61
22Q1 (10)7.051.88-21.67
21Q4 (9)6.92-25.11-18.68
21Q3 (8)9.246.45153.85
21Q2 (7)8.68-3.56183.66
21Q1 (6)9.05.76166.27
20Q4 (5)8.51133.79179.02
20Q3 (4)3.6418.950.0
20Q2 (3)3.06-9.470.0
20Q1 (2)3.3810.820.0
19Q4 (1)3.050.00.0

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