玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1111.567.913.26113.77-4.9933.65N/A-
2024/1010.71-5.7716.16102.21-6.6933.33N/A-
2024/911.371.1518.691.5-8.7933.61.48-
2024/811.242.264.0380.13-11.6932.451.54-
2024/710.997.588.7868.88-13.8232.091.55-
2024/610.22-6.1-5.4557.89-17.0932.061.46-
2024/510.88-0.7-14.8247.68-19.2232.111.45-
2024/410.966.76-11.2636.79-20.4327.261.71-
2024/310.2669.99-27.6325.83-23.7825.831.77-
2024/26.04-36.64-49.0215.57-21.024.61.86-
2024/19.535.5721.29.5321.228.161.62-
2023/129.03-5.97-23.59127.31-18.1226.991.64-
2023/119.614.86-29.38118.28-17.6727.551.61-
2023/108.36-12.8-34.21108.68-16.4428.751.54-
2023/99.59-11.27-31.67100.32-14.5230.51.57-
2023/810.86.93-16.1990.74-12.1931.721.51-
2023/710.1-6.49-19.079.93-11.6233.691.43-
2023/610.81-15.4-19.7369.83-10.4435.931.35-
2023/512.783.43-8.3959.02-8.539.311.23-
2023/412.35-12.93-2.4646.25-8.5338.381.26-
2023/314.1919.75-10.1933.89-10.5633.891.64-
2023/211.8550.6313.0619.71-10.8331.531.77-
2023/17.86-33.45-32.367.86-32.3633.281.67-
2022/1211.82-13.1-17.5155.4917.1538.121.47-
2022/1113.67.014.47143.6821.3440.341.39-
2022/1012.71-9.445.13130.0823.4239.631.41-
2022/914.038.835.92117.3725.7939.41.34-
2022/812.893.3412.52103.3429.0838.831.36-
2022/712.47-7.337.1790.4531.8539.881.33-
2022/613.46-3.4625.4977.9736.8940.071.36-
2022/513.9510.1228.5764.5139.5442.411.28-
2022/412.66-19.8418.9450.5642.938.941.4-
2022/315.850.7755.7837.953.2137.91.26出貨量及單價增長所致
2022/210.48-9.8897.4522.151.4336.431.31出貨量及單價增長所致
2022/111.63-18.8325.1411.6325.1438.971.23-
2021/1214.3210.0436.21132.7344.4939.431.17-
2021/1113.027.6945.35118.445.5638.351.21-
2021/1012.09-8.7548.69105.3945.5836.791.26-
2021/913.2515.6151.2493.345.1936.341.17主係外銷需求增加與原料價格上漲所致。
2021/811.46-1.5648.0680.0544.2433.831.26-
2021/711.648.4943.5868.643.6233.211.28-
2021/610.73-1.0937.8456.9643.6232.221.12-
2021/510.851.8836.8446.2345.0431.631.14-
2021/410.654.9836.6135.3847.7526.091.39-
2021/310.1491.1120.2424.7453.1324.741.33去年疫情影響,營業額減少,今年正常營運。
2021/25.31-42.8863.0814.689.0425.111.31成長較多主因為2020年中國因疫情影響,營業額較低,今年是除了過年休假,係正常營運。
2021/19.29-11.65107.949.29107.9428.761.14去年因為農曆年假工作天數減少
2020/1210.5217.4226.8191.864.1327.61.08-
2020/118.9510.1624.0981.341.7825.841.16-
2020/108.13-7.1911.9772.39-0.4324.631.22-
2020/98.7613.1814.6564.26-1.824.61.14-
2020/87.74-4.542.255.5-3.9823.631.19-
2020/78.114.154.3847.76-4.9123.821.18-
2020/67.78-1.811.7239.66-6.6123.51.15-
2020/57.931.711.9431.87-10.2124.151.12-
2020/47.79-7.593.3423.95-13.6219.481.39-
2020/38.43159.23.4516.15-19.9616.151.55-
2020/23.25-27.17-33.657.72-35.8316.011.56-
2020/14.47-46.12-37.334.47-37.330.0N/A-
2019/128.2914.912.7588.210.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.532023/17.862022/111.632021/19.292020/14.47
2024/26.042023/211.852022/210.482021/25.312020/23.25
2024/310.262023/314.192022/315.82021/310.142020/38.43
2024/410.962023/412.352022/412.662021/410.652020/47.79
2024/510.882023/512.782022/513.952021/510.852020/57.93
2024/610.222023/610.812022/613.462021/610.732020/67.78
2024/710.992023/710.12022/712.472021/711.642020/78.11
2024/811.242023/810.82022/812.892021/811.462020/87.74
2024/911.372023/99.592022/914.032021/913.252020/98.76
2024/1010.712023/108.362022/1012.712021/1012.092020/108.13
2024/1111.562023/119.62022/1113.62021/1113.022020/118.95
N/AN/A2023/129.032022/1211.822021/1214.322020/1210.52
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.41%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.293.231.63
24Q2 (19)1.25-2.3437.36
24Q1 (18)1.2847.130.79
23Q4 (17)0.87-11.22-33.59
23Q3 (16)0.987.69-34.67
23Q2 (15)0.91-28.35-43.48
23Q1 (14)1.27-3.05-10.56
22Q4 (13)1.31-12.67-20.12
22Q3 (12)1.5-6.837.91
22Q2 (11)1.6113.3867.71
22Q1 (10)1.42-13.4157.78
21Q4 (9)1.6417.99130.99
21Q3 (8)1.3944.7957.95
21Q2 (7)0.966.6750.0
21Q1 (6)0.926.7687.5
20Q4 (5)0.71-19.3257.78
20Q3 (4)0.8837.50.0
20Q2 (3)0.6433.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.486.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.450.00.0

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