玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.4327.27-2.053.7-2.821.02N/A-
2024/100.3429.21-13.553.28-2.920.89N/A-
2024/90.26-10.93-24.692.94-1.530.790.05-
2024/80.2924.6-13.172.681.480.80.05-
2024/70.23-14.43-22.42.393.610.840.05-
2024/60.27-16.81-2.012.167.520.90.06-
2024/50.338.748.131.889.071.050.05-
2024/40.3-27.58-13.731.559.261.120.04-
2024/30.424.735.51.2516.781.250.04疫情解封,住房率提升
2024/20.4-8.5930.570.839.241.380.04疫情解封,住房率提升
2024/10.44-20.31-4.940.44-4.941.420.04-
2023/120.5525.5325.14.3670.431.370.07本年度疫情解除,住房率提升
2023/110.4412.3244.023.8179.781.170.09疫情解除,住房率提升
2023/100.3912.5665.233.3885.741.070.09因疫情趨緩,住房率提升
2023/90.342.6982.372.9988.780.980.05去年受疫情影響,住房率較低
2023/80.3411.3575.422.6489.650.920.05疫情趨緩住房率提升
2023/70.38.0587.792.3191.910.880.06疫情趨緩住房率回升
2023/60.28-8.2208.992.0192.550.930.05因疫情趨緩,住房率提升
2023/50.3-13.24122.821.7381.490.960.05因疫情趨緩,住房率提升
2023/40.3513.75184.931.4274.580.960.05疫情趨緩,住房率提升
2023/30.310.8872.561.0754.961.070.05疫情趨緩住房率提升
2023/20.31-33.4566.20.7648.841.20.04疫情趨緩住房率提升
2023/10.464.8739.170.4639.171.20.04-
2022/120.4444.5261.662.5619.240.980.1本年度住房率提升
2022/110.328.8638.272.1213.110.730.14-
2022/100.2324.2328.891.829.790.620.16-
2022/90.19-1.2147.621.587.430.540.11-
2022/80.1919.296.381.393.60.440.14去年度因疫情影響以致營收減少
2022/70.1677.79369.51.2-3.640.390.15因去年同期休館
2022/60.09-33.883.741.04-14.160.350.11去年6月亞都休館
2022/50.1410.932.140.95-18.290.440.09-
2022/40.12-31.1-40.070.81-20.940.490.08-
2022/30.18-2.83-11.490.69-16.180.690.07-
2022/20.18-44.28-44.110.51-17.70.780.06-
2022/10.3321.8211.710.3311.710.820.06-
2021/120.2723.61-10.472.14-38.350.670.16-
2021/110.2220.12-7.781.87-41.00.530.21-
2021/100.1842.29-26.521.66-43.680.410.27-
2021/90.1331.41-47.711.47-45.270.260.31-
2021/80.1184.97-62.111.35-45.020.180.44因政府三級警戒解除,8/3開放內用,但來客數仍受影響
2021/70.03-30.41-84.81.25-43.010.220.37因政府頒布三級警戒禁止內用,故休館7/1-8/2
2021/60.05-63.19-74.981.21-38.230.390.23因新冠肺炎三級警戒故餐飲及客房休館
2021/50.13-34.91-35.61.16-34.140.540.17-
2021/40.211.7442.681.03-33.950.740.12-
2021/30.2-38.6422.270.83-41.730.830.1-
2021/20.3311.37-19.440.62-50.160.930.09因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2021/10.3-2.37-65.020.3-65.020.830.1因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/120.327.33-64.193.48-57.620.790.14因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/110.24-4.28-69.283.18-56.870.730.15因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/100.251.25-65.652.94-55.410.750.15因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/90.24-4.76-61.092.69-54.160.730.11因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/80.2614.3-61.832.45-53.320.680.12因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/70.2314.51-60.752.19-52.070.630.13因新冠肺炎及亞緻酒店停業影響
2020/60.2-5.24-68.791.96-50.820.550.13因新冠肺炎疫情及台中亞緻酒店停業
2020/50.2144.2-68.531.77-47.460.520.14因新冠肺炎疫情及台中亞緻酒店停業
2020/40.14-12.81-75.781.56-42.330.720.1因新冠肺炎疫情及台中亞緻酒店停業
2020/30.16-59.57-76.41.42-32.921.420.04因新冠肺炎疫情影響及子公司台中亞緻酒店停業
2020/20.41-51.64-38.791.25-11.432.10.03-
2020/10.84-0.0413.00.8413.00.0N/A-
2019/120.849.223.348.210.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.442023/10.462022/10.332021/10.32020/10.84
2024/20.42023/20.312022/20.182021/20.332020/20.41
2024/30.422023/30.312022/30.182021/30.22020/30.16
2024/40.32023/40.352022/40.122021/40.212020/40.14
2024/50.332023/50.32022/50.142021/50.132020/50.21
2024/60.272023/60.282022/60.092021/60.052020/60.2
2024/70.232023/70.32022/70.162021/70.032020/70.23
2024/80.292023/80.342022/80.192021/80.12020/80.26
2024/90.262023/90.342022/90.192021/90.132020/90.24
2024/100.342023/100.392022/100.232021/100.182020/100.25
2024/110.432023/110.442022/110.32021/110.222020/110.24
N/AN/A2023/120.552022/120.442021/120.272020/120.3
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.480.0-2.04
24Q2 (19)0.48-2.040.0
24Q1 (18)0.49-15.52-2.0
23Q4 (17)0.5818.377.41
23Q3 (16)0.492.080.0
23Q2 (15)0.48-4.0-4.0
23Q1 (14)0.5-7.41-1.96
22Q4 (13)0.5410.2-6.9
22Q3 (12)0.49-2.00.0
22Q2 (11)0.5-1.960.0
22Q1 (10)0.51-12.070.0
21Q4 (9)0.5818.377.41
21Q3 (8)0.49-2.0-7.55
21Q2 (7)0.5-1.96-7.41
21Q1 (6)0.51-5.56-10.53
20Q4 (5)0.541.89-21.74
20Q3 (4)0.53-1.850.0
20Q2 (3)0.54-5.260.0
20Q1 (2)0.57-17.390.0
19Q4 (1)0.690.00.0

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