玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.01-96.96-97.913.01-20.460.58N/A因本公司受山陀兒颱風豪雨影響,溫泉設備及泳池機房受損故障,飯店主體並無損傷,為保障旅客安全及權益,而短期暫停營業所致。
2024/90.26-17.362.843.0-11.850.860.03-
2024/80.3110.73-20.042.74-13.030.890.03-
2024/70.28-0.42-23.642.43-12.030.80.04-
2024/60.2924.65-14.532.14-10.210.820.04-
2024/50.23-24.38-10.241.86-9.510.920.03-
2024/40.3-21.22-21.881.63-9.411.20.03-
2024/30.38-24.44-0.021.33-5.981.330.02-
2024/20.5117.8214.530.94-8.211.430.02-
2024/10.43-11.02-25.620.43-25.621.320.02-
2023/120.4921.43.384.67-2.431.260.02-
2023/110.45.581.974.19-3.071.030.03-
2023/100.3849.73-1.713.79-3.571.030.03-
2023/90.25-35.76-29.33.41-3.771.020.02-
2023/80.395.74-21.973.15-0.91.10.02-
2023/70.3711.45-24.372.763.060.960.02-
2023/60.3330.9120.02.399.240.980.02-
2023/50.26-34.1921.512.057.671.030.02-
2023/40.390.8216.131.85.961.220.02-
2023/30.38-13.44-1.861.413.461.410.02-
2023/20.44-23.49-4.881.035.621.50.02-
2023/10.5823.6915.360.5815.361.440.02-
2022/120.4719.73-2.214.7932.11.250.02-
2022/110.391.77-5.914.3237.341.140.03-
2022/100.397.79.723.9343.951.250.02-
2022/90.36-29.142.553.5449.011.360.02-
2022/80.52.49158.233.1849.781.280.02去年因受肺炎疫情影響,使得住房率偏低。
2022/70.4976.86610.992.6838.790.980.03去年因受肺炎疫情影響,使得住房率偏低。
2022/60.2832.551022.532.1917.480.820.02本月增減百分比達50%以上,主要是因今年住房率較去年增加所致。
2022/50.21-37.113.21.913.90.940.02-
2022/40.33-14.8-6.81.72.851.190.02-
2022/30.39-16.18.231.365.531.360.02-
2022/20.47-7.2-3.170.974.481.450.02-
2022/10.54.8412.770.512.771.40.02-
2021/120.4815.1913.693.62-15.971.250.02-
2021/110.4218.685.243.14-19.191.020.03-
2021/100.3539.93-17.642.73-21.960.80.04-
2021/90.2528.41-32.272.38-22.560.520.04-
2021/80.2182.2-58.452.13-21.230.290.07受新冠疫情影響,且持續發布二級警戒,使得住房率降低。
2021/70.07179.24-84.181.93-13.360.280.07受新冠疫情影響,且發布三級警戒,使得住房率嚴重下滑。
2021/60.02-86.63-92.681.863.960.570.04因新冠疫情影響,並發布三級警戒,使得住房率嚴重下滑。
2021/50.19-48.22-19.411.8426.570.910.02-
2021/40.36-1.0588.031.6535.251.20.02本月增減百分比達50%以上,主要是因今年住房率較去年增加約30%所致。
2021/30.36-24.9560.61.2925.471.290.02本月增減百分比達50%以上,主要是因今年住房率較去年增加約20%所致。
2021/20.488.0928.510.9315.611.350.02-
2021/10.455.694.30.454.31.270.02-
2020/120.426.6416.624.3121.981.250.02-
2020/110.4-7.1228.543.8922.61.190.03-
2020/100.4315.0746.083.521.961.270.02-
2020/90.37-21.2254.453.0719.221.280.02本月增減百分比達50%以上,係因住房率增加所致。
2020/80.477.4149.022.715.61.250.02-
2020/70.4429.1523.352.2310.371.010.03-
2020/60.3447.2644.011.797.60.760.03-
2020/50.2320.8212.541.451.590.650.03-
2020/40.19-15.48-26.21.22-0.230.790.03-
2020/30.23-39.94-15.71.036.711.030.02-
2020/20.38-12.261.260.815.321.170.02-
2020/10.4318.1731.310.4331.311.10.02-
2019/120.3617.544.423.547.90.0N/A-
2019/110.315.5515.53.178.310.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.432023/10.582022/10.52021/10.452020/10.43
2024/20.512023/20.442022/20.472021/20.482020/20.38
2024/30.382023/30.382022/30.392021/30.362020/30.23
2024/40.32023/40.392022/40.332021/40.362020/40.19
2024/50.232023/50.262022/50.212021/50.192020/50.23
2024/60.292023/60.332022/60.282021/60.022020/60.34
2024/70.282023/70.372022/70.492021/70.072020/70.44
2024/80.312023/80.392022/80.52021/80.22020/80.47
2024/90.262023/90.252022/90.362021/90.252020/90.37
2024/100.012023/100.382022/100.392021/100.352020/100.43
N/AN/A2023/110.42022/110.392021/110.422020/110.4
N/AN/A2023/120.492022/120.472021/120.482020/120.42
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 15.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.61-15.2815.09
24Q2 (19)0.72-1.3730.91
24Q1 (18)0.73-23.9632.73
23Q4 (17)0.9681.1329.73
23Q3 (16)0.53-3.64-11.67
23Q2 (15)0.550.0-8.33
23Q1 (14)0.55-25.6810.0
22Q4 (13)0.7423.3312.12
22Q3 (12)0.60.01.69
22Q2 (11)0.620.00.0
22Q1 (10)0.5-24.24-7.41
21Q4 (9)0.6611.86-18.52
21Q3 (8)0.59-1.6718.0
21Q2 (7)0.611.1115.38
21Q1 (6)0.54-33.3363.64
20Q4 (5)0.8162.065.31
20Q3 (4)0.5-3.850.0
20Q2 (3)0.5257.580.0
20Q1 (2)0.33-32.650.0
19Q4 (1)0.490.00.0

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