玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1172.66-7.68-13.0737.51-5.18231.03N/A-
2024/1078.72-1.18-5.2664.85-4.24235.4N/A-
2024/979.663.4-1.93586.14-4.11220.310.73-
2024/877.0321.075.47506.48-4.44201.830.8-
2024/763.624.0-3.65429.45-6.02192.820.84-
2024/661.18-10.05-7.05365.82-6.43190.00.87-
2024/568.0111.840.71304.65-6.3188.870.88-
2024/460.811.27-5.87236.63-8.14171.540.97-
2024/360.0518.46-13.0175.82-8.9175.820.99-
2024/250.69-22.12-20.36115.78-6.62186.010.94-
2024/165.09-7.327.8765.097.87218.850.8-
2023/1270.24-15.91-11.42848.06-11.31236.80.71-
2023/1183.520.58-1.22777.82-11.3247.780.68-
2023/1083.042.22-1.27694.3-12.37237.290.71-
2023/981.2311.21-2.93611.26-13.69220.30.78-
2023/873.0310.58-10.53530.04-15.13204.90.84-
2023/766.040.32-18.08457.0-15.83199.390.86-
2023/665.82-2.52-17.81390.96-15.43197.960.81-
2023/567.534.51-14.88325.14-14.94201.160.79-
2023/464.61-6.38-17.73257.61-14.95197.270.81-
2023/369.028.44-15.34193.0-13.98193.00.91-
2023/263.645.47-12.0123.98-13.2203.280.86-
2023/160.34-23.9-14.4460.34-14.44224.20.78-
2022/1279.3-6.22-2.35956.240.05247.970.73-
2022/1184.560.534.1876.950.27252.360.72-
2022/1084.110.515.1792.38-0.11249.430.73-
2022/983.682.510.18708.27-0.7245.930.91-
2022/881.631.26-0.83624.59-0.81242.340.93-
2022/780.620.65-1.71542.96-0.81240.040.93-
2022/680.090.95-1.77462.34-0.65237.960.97-
2022/579.331.01-1.12382.25-0.41239.40.96-
2022/478.54-3.67-1.13302.92-0.23232.390.99-
2022/381.5312.723.61224.380.08224.380.98-
2022/272.332.558.18142.85-1.82224.060.98-
2022/170.52-13.15-10.3370.52-10.33232.960.94-
2021/1281.21-0.02-16.76955.7311.81242.460.75-
2021/1181.221.49-15.61874.5215.5244.780.74-
2021/1080.03-4.18-13.24793.320.03245.870.74-
2021/983.521.46-3.14713.2725.43247.870.7-
2021/882.320.3511.45629.7530.53245.880.71-
2021/782.030.620.74547.4333.98243.80.71-
2021/681.541.6121.97465.436.62241.210.72-
2021/580.241.022.67383.8640.2238.360.73-
2021/479.440.9525.04303.6245.71224.970.77-
2021/378.6817.733.83224.1954.77224.190.75去年受疫情影響
2021/266.85-15.075.04145.569.08243.070.69去年受疫情影響
2021/178.65-19.3864.3378.6564.33272.470.61去年同期遇年假,工作日較少
2020/1297.561.3529.52854.7115.91286.060.57-
2020/1196.264.3528.16757.1514.36274.730.59-
2020/1092.246.9627.97660.8912.6252.330.64-
2020/986.2316.7522.24568.6510.45228.020.7-
2020/873.868.727.91482.428.57208.640.76-
2020/767.931.625.25408.568.69200.190.8-
2020/666.852.214.15340.639.41195.780.72-
2020/565.412.9516.64273.788.31187.730.75-
2020/463.538.0520.95208.375.93160.510.87-
2020/358.7953.9413.99144.850.46144.850.85-
2020/238.19-20.2-3.4686.05-7.06161.370.77-
2020/147.86-36.45-9.7547.86-9.750.0N/A-
2019/1275.320.2810.46737.3514.270.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/165.092023/160.342022/170.522021/178.652020/147.86
2024/250.692023/263.642022/272.332021/266.852020/238.19
2024/360.052023/369.022022/381.532021/378.682020/358.79
2024/460.812023/464.612022/478.542021/479.442020/463.53
2024/568.012023/567.532022/579.332021/580.242020/565.41
2024/661.182023/665.822022/680.092021/681.542020/666.85
2024/763.622023/766.042022/780.622021/782.032020/767.93
2024/877.032023/873.032022/881.632021/882.322020/873.86
2024/979.662023/981.232022/983.682021/983.522020/986.23
2024/1078.722023/1083.042022/1084.112021/1080.032020/1092.24
2024/1172.662023/1183.522022/1184.562021/1181.222020/1196.26
N/AN/A2023/1270.242022/1279.32021/1281.212020/1297.56
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7144.977.5
24Q2 (19)0.49-7.55-15.52
24Q1 (18)0.53-11.678.16
23Q4 (17)0.650.0-3.23
23Q3 (16)0.4-31.030.0
23Q2 (15)0.5818.3765.71
23Q1 (14)0.49-20.97-28.99
22Q4 (13)0.6255.0-11.43
22Q3 (12)0.414.29-62.26
22Q2 (11)0.35-49.28-7.89
22Q1 (10)0.69-1.4391.67
21Q4 (9)0.7-33.9684.21
21Q3 (8)1.06178.9535.9
21Q2 (7)0.385.560
21Q1 (6)0.36-5.265.88
20Q4 (5)0.38-51.28171.43
20Q3 (4)0.7800.0

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