玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.49-12.771.274.742.531.61N/A-
2024/90.56-1.3262.044.252.681.591.03去年受疫情影響,基期較低,今年銷售狀況已逐漸恢復正常。
2024/80.5721.5428.143.69-2.691.51.08-
2024/70.47-1.375.643.13-6.751.461.11-
2024/60.47-10.5714.272.66-8.631.441.17-
2024/50.5319.259.92.19-12.411.481.14-
2024/40.44-12.58-20.451.66-17.711.271.33-
2024/30.5158.83-11.181.22-16.671.221.51-
2024/20.32-19.5-33.730.71-20.161.121.64-
2024/10.4-3.26-4.410.4-4.411.221.51-
2023/120.41-1.93-30.745.45-29.281.311.49-
2023/110.42-13.19-28.785.04-29.161.241.57-
2023/100.4839.56-22.634.62-29.191.271.54-
2023/90.34-21.96-44.094.14-29.881.231.81-
2023/80.440.19-30.463.79-28.231.291.72-
2023/70.446.68-37.03.35-27.931.331.67-
2023/60.41-14.0-38.132.91-26.321.451.51-
2023/50.48-13.68-27.72.5-23.931.611.36-
2023/40.56-2.39-15.892.02-22.971.611.36-
2023/30.5718.5-29.431.46-25.361.461.5-
2023/20.4816.11-1.680.89-22.511.491.48-
2023/10.41-29.9-37.810.41-37.811.591.38-
2022/120.590.83-16.037.7-3.671.81.18-
2022/110.59-5.69-22.497.11-2.481.821.16-
2022/100.620.85-1.96.53-0.171.871.13-
2022/90.62-2.94-8.915.90.011.951.13-
2022/80.63-9.22-2.265.291.162.01.1-
2022/70.74.78-1.984.651.652.031.09-
2022/60.670.49-10.243.952.321.991.14-
2022/50.660.41.43.295.312.131.06-
2022/40.66-18.1-2.582.626.351.961.16-
2022/30.8165.120.11.969.751.961.1-
2022/20.49-26.567.111.153.511.861.16-
2022/10.67-5.341.020.671.022.131.01-
2021/120.7-6.9120.588.031.782.090.97-
2021/110.7619.3617.17.2932.972.070.98-
2021/100.63-6.3544.366.5435.081.961.04-
2021/90.684.1340.775.934.162.041.01-
2021/80.65-8.9613.515.2333.352.110.97-
2021/70.71-4.0468.634.5836.742.110.97中國市場需求強勁
2021/60.7413.5447.143.8632.132.080.91-
2021/50.65-3.5419.293.1228.992.010.95-
2021/40.680.9729.782.4731.841.811.05-
2021/30.6747.2329.061.7932.641.790.92-
2021/20.46-30.73-0.631.1234.891.70.97-
2021/10.6612.9879.30.6679.31.890.87本月較去年營收增加79.31%,主係因去年同期1月適逢農曆新年工作日數較少所致。
2020/120.58-9.59-7.386.07-6.641.670.94-
2020/110.6547.149.985.48-6.561.561.0-
2020/100.44-8.68-10.94.84-8.391.491.05-
2020/90.48-16.03-20.634.4-8.141.481.1-
2020/80.5735.23-8.073.92-6.331.51.09-
2020/70.42-16.27-25.033.35-6.021.481.1-
2020/60.51-7.94-1.342.92-2.451.580.91-
2020/50.554.93-13.62.42-2.681.590.9-
2020/40.520.417.231.871.061.50.96-
2020/30.5213.35-4.391.35-1.131.351.04-
2020/20.4624.9854.890.831.031.460.96本月較去年營收增加54.9%,主係因去年同期2月適逢農曆新年工作日數較少所致。
2020/10.37-41.64-29.570.37-29.571.580.88-
2019/120.637.3513.566.5-10.00.0N/A-
2019/110.5919.191.755.87-11.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.42023/10.412022/10.672021/10.662020/10.37
2024/20.322023/20.482022/20.492021/20.462020/20.46
2024/30.512023/30.572022/30.812021/30.672020/30.52
2024/40.442023/40.562022/40.662021/40.682020/40.52
2024/50.532023/50.482022/50.662021/50.652020/50.55
2024/60.472023/60.412022/60.672021/60.742020/60.51
2024/70.472023/70.442022/70.72021/70.712020/70.42
2024/80.572023/80.442022/80.632021/80.652020/80.57
2024/90.562023/90.342022/90.622021/90.682020/90.48
2024/100.492023/100.482022/100.622021/100.632020/100.44
N/AN/A2023/110.422022/110.592021/110.762020/110.65
N/AN/A2023/120.412022/120.592021/120.72020/120.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.00
24Q1 (18)0.010.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.0100.0

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