玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.335.6111.148.93-40.243.54N/A-
2024/91.2633.97-3.867.59-44.732.791.02-
2024/80.9462.36-33.626.33-49.052.191.3-
2024/70.58-12.48-61.545.39-51.051.91.5月減/年減之百分比達50%以上,係因歐美客戶訂單需求減緩。
2024/60.661.92-61.44.81-49.382.071.17月減百分比達50%以上,係因歐美客戶訂單需求減緩。
2024/50.65-14.02-63.874.14-46.722.191.1月減百分比達50%以上,係因歐美客戶訂單需求減緩。
2024/40.76-3.13-46.143.49-41.542.291.06-
2024/30.784.46-54.072.73-40.122.730.94月減百分比達50%以上,係因歐美客戶訂單需求減緩。
2024/20.75-37.73-50.11.95-31.822.980.86月減百分比達50%以上,係因歐美客戶訂單需求減緩。
2024/11.216.54-11.671.2-11.673.340.77-
2023/121.03-6.89-33.7917.08-20.673.340.81-
2023/111.11-7.72-34.7316.05-19.653.620.75-
2023/101.2-8.65-27.2214.94-18.253.940.69-
2023/91.31-7.5-27.8513.74-17.364.250.79-
2023/81.42-5.92-26.0612.43-16.074.650.72-
2023/71.51-12.17-22.0411.01-14.585.030.67-
2023/61.72-4.58-10.749.5-13.264.930.76-
2023/51.828.15-11.457.78-13.84.910.76-
2023/41.41-17.4-15.655.97-14.484.610.81-
2023/31.713.5-9.074.57-14.114.570.84-
2023/21.510.22-2.872.86-16.854.420.87-
2023/11.36-12.64-28.241.36-28.244.620.83-
2022/121.56-8.2-19.3221.5414.674.910.85-
2022/111.72.89-11.5319.9818.565.170.8-
2022/101.65-9.44-9.4218.2822.435.40.77-
2022/91.82-5.212.3116.6326.865.680.79-
2022/81.92-0.8-2.9914.8130.725.790.77-
2022/71.940.5536.0812.8937.875.90.76-
2022/61.93-5.3432.4110.9538.25.630.83-
2022/52.0422.0835.379.0239.55.580.84-
2022/41.67-10.9624.856.9840.755.090.92-
2022/31.8721.2442.615.3246.615.320.9-
2022/21.55-18.5653.913.4448.885.370.89本月增加百分比達50%以上,係因客戶訂單需求增加
2022/11.9-1.7845.031.945.035.750.83-
2021/121.930.6549.118.7825.115.670.83-
2021/111.925.3462.3316.8522.845.520.86本月增加百分比達50%以上,係因客戶訂單需求增加
2021/101.822.2886.0714.9319.125.590.85本月增加百分比達50%以上,係因客戶訂單需求增加
2021/91.78-10.1250.013.1113.445.190.84本月增加百分比達50%以上,係因客戶訂單需求增加
2021/81.9839.1577.4911.339.264.860.9本月增加百分比達50%以上,係因客戶訂單需求增加
2021/71.42-2.158.859.351.024.381.0-
2021/61.46-3.234.857.92-0.264.30.88-
2021/51.512.5910.176.47-1.344.150.91-
2021/41.341.74.434.96-4.373.651.04-
2021/31.3130.84-6.563.63-7.263.630.84-
2021/21.0-23.26-15.382.31-7.653.610.84-
2021/11.310.97-0.691.31-0.693.790.8-
2020/121.39.58-14.8815.01-25.153.460.74-
2020/111.1820.74-17.7313.72-25.993.350.77-
2020/100.98-17.54-31.6912.53-26.693.280.78-
2020/91.196.34-29.011.55-26.233.610.63-
2020/81.12-14.65-36.8710.37-25.93.810.6-
2020/71.31-5.74-30.949.25-24.314.060.56-
2020/61.391.66-26.57.94-23.14.030.63-
2020/51.376.72-27.446.55-22.334.050.63-
2020/41.28-9.0-33.415.19-20.873.870.66-
2020/31.4118.5-10.243.91-15.673.910.69-
2020/21.19-9.95-6.82.5-18.444.030.67-
2020/11.32-13.45-26.681.32-26.684.280.63-
2019/121.525.91-5.7820.06-0.170.0N/A-
2019/111.440.25-11.3418.530.310.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.22023/11.362022/11.92021/11.312020/11.32
2024/20.752023/21.52022/21.552021/21.02020/21.19
2024/30.782023/31.72022/31.872021/31.312020/31.41
2024/40.762023/41.412022/41.672021/41.342020/41.28
2024/50.652023/51.82022/52.042021/51.52020/51.37
2024/60.662023/61.722022/61.932021/61.462020/61.39
2024/70.582023/71.512022/71.942021/71.422020/71.31
2024/80.942023/81.422022/81.922021/81.982020/81.12
2024/91.262023/91.312022/91.822021/91.782020/91.19
2024/101.332023/101.22022/101.652021/101.822020/100.98
N/AN/A2023/111.112022/111.72021/111.922020/111.18
N/AN/A2023/121.032022/121.562021/121.932020/121.3
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.71%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.442.33-10.2
24Q2 (19)0.4319.4416.22
24Q1 (18)0.369.09-10.0
23Q4 (17)0.33-32.65-15.38
23Q3 (16)0.4932.4336.11
23Q2 (15)0.37-7.5-26.0
23Q1 (14)0.42.5653.85
22Q4 (13)0.398.33178.57
22Q3 (12)0.36-28.0-2.7
22Q2 (11)0.592.3138.89
22Q1 (10)0.2685.71225.0
21Q4 (9)0.14-62.160
21Q3 (8)0.372.78208.33
21Q2 (7)0.36350.00
21Q1 (6)0.0800

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