玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.75-87.47-78.530.02-84.62-75.033.05696.39364.845319.55660.67361.95486.82659.23509.214865.77661.05351.07
24Q2 (19)21.94980.791132.580.131200.01200.04.15-90.76-91.88699.32-88.63-91.7664.12-89.11-87.77639.35-88.59-92.02
24Q1 (18)2.03-94.55-88.920.01-96.15-80.044.921740.98803.826149.531626.18246.26588.781738.79429.385605.671616.0235.73
23Q4 (17)37.27190.942158.790.26225.02500.02.44-65.68-95.56356.25-69.06-97.6432.02-59.93-96.64326.67-69.72-97.7
23Q3 (16)12.81619.6611.290.08700.0166.677.11-86.09-10.01151.53-86.43-61.679.91-84.76-58.191078.72-86.54-61.69
23Q2 (15)1.78-90.28-90.60.01-80.0-85.7151.10928.17964.588485.18377.78559.51524.25371.36570.148012.03379.85560.43
23Q1 (14)18.321010.3-50.580.05400.0-54.554.97-90.96102.861775.97-88.25109.67111.22-88.31131.661669.71-88.26108.33
22Q4 (13)1.65-85.66-96.00.01-66.67-90.055.00596.22388.6915114.00403.971553.07951.64397.931831.4814217.30404.921539.37
22Q3 (12)11.51-39.23-62.050.03-57.14-62.57.9064.58163.332998.96133.09157.34191.12144.31215.852815.74132.1154.16
22Q2 (11)18.94-48.91-65.790.07-36.360.04.8095.92192.681286.5951.89-5.4278.2362.9516.291213.1651.37-6.3
22Q1 (10)37.07-10.0514157.690.1110.002.4510.86-99.3847.03-7.36-99.8448.01-2.56-99.8801.47-7.58-99.84
21Q4 (9)41.2135.874105.10.1025.002.21-26.33-97.62914.30-21.54-98.149.27-18.58-97.51867.24-21.72-98.12
21Q3 (8)30.33-45.22247.820.0814.29700.03.0082.93-71.261165.37-14.33-87.3660.51-10.05-83.221107.86-14.43-87.51
21Q2 (7)55.3721196.15785.920.070600.01.64-99.53-88.731360.32-99.75-86.6267.27-99.72-82.441294.69-99.75-86.78
21Q1 (6)0.26-73.47-99.230.000-100.0349.98276.5712910.41535617.001013.4134140.0423697.201097.4951382.08512270.001008.3333580.7
20Q4 (5)0.98-88.76-89.180.00-100.0-100.092.94790.23824.7848105.90421.611444.811978.90448.692171.246219.90420.941421.92
20Q3 (4)8.7239.520.00.010.00.010.44-28.250.09222.55-9.260.0360.66-5.850.08872.32-9.420.0
20Q2 (3)6.25-81.540.00.01-83.330.014.55440.890.010163.70549.730.0383.06732.20.09795.23544.020.0
20Q1 (2)33.86273.730.00.06100.00.02.69-73.230.01564.30-49.770.046.03-47.170.01520.96-49.920.0
19Q4 (1)9.060.00.00.030.00.010.050.00.03114.040.00.087.130.00.03036.950.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)79.66-21.210.43104.764.5826.87853.46-51.371.91-32.64786.14-52.33
2022 (9)101.11-25.450.21-19.233.6134.21752.3226.44106.7650.831649.1725.14
2021 (8)135.62336.780.26271.432.69-77.111385.92-73.7770.78-61.581317.83-74.22
2020 (7)31.05-65.420.07-75.8611.75188.75283.75319.55184.22450.575111.29315.55
2019 (6)89.79371.830.29314.294.07-78.781259.39-75.7733.46-85.421230.00-75.34
2018 (5)19.03-81.760.07-79.4119.18448.05197.20387.7229.52312.584986.85392.04
2017 (4)104.32158.730.3488.893.50-61.331065.65-47.9555.63-52.921013.51-47.71
2016 (3)40.32-58.580.18-50.09.05141.332047.18104.65118.1666.891938.07107.66
2015 (2)97.35-33.940.3620.03.7551.211000.32-16.5470.8025.84933.27-18.47
2014 (1)147.371037.990.30172.732.48-91.21198.54-63.7356.26-59.471144.76-64.16

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