玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.781.543.5117.62.345.31N/A-
2024/91.76-1.040.8815.822.215.270.11-
2024/81.771.972.814.062.385.380.11-
2024/71.74-6.821.8312.292.325.350.11-
2024/61.877.083.1310.552.45.340.1-
2024/51.740.522.488.682.255.210.1-
2024/41.730.012.786.942.195.210.1-
2024/31.73-0.740.295.21.995.20.1-
2024/21.751.332.933.472.875.230.1-
2024/11.72-2.212.811.722.815.210.1-
2023/121.762.03-0.5920.692.755.210.14-
2023/111.730.350.2918.923.085.190.14-
2023/101.72-1.033.3517.23.375.190.14-
2023/91.740.842.4715.473.375.170.03-
2023/81.731.03.4113.733.485.240.03-
2023/71.71-5.632.9412.013.495.220.03-
2023/61.816.418.2410.33.595.20.03-
2023/51.70.812.118.492.655.120.03-
2023/41.69-2.41.876.792.785.110.03-
2023/31.731.864.165.13.095.10.04-
2023/21.71.222.873.372.545.150.04-
2023/11.68-5.452.211.682.215.170.04-
2022/121.772.931.8420.130.355.160.03-
2022/111.723.41-1.0318.360.25.090.03-
2022/101.67-1.88-3.7816.630.335.030.03-
2022/91.71.76-0.4914.970.815.030.04-
2022/81.670.540.8313.270.995.00.04-
2022/71.66-0.771.3911.61.015.00.04-
2022/61.670.381.959.940.944.990.08-
2022/51.670.571.698.270.744.980.08-
2022/41.66-0.21.486.610.514.970.08-
2022/31.660.61.074.950.194.950.02-
2022/21.650.560.033.29-0.255.030.02-
2022/11.64-5.79-0.531.64-0.535.120.02-
2021/121.740.030.3720.060.045.210.02-
2021/111.740.540.5418.320.015.180.03-
2021/101.731.460.816.58-0.045.090.03-
2021/91.713.122.9914.85-0.145.00.03-
2021/81.651.10.813.14-0.534.930.03-
2021/71.64-0.22-0.2111.49-0.724.910.03-
2021/61.640.12-0.929.85-0.84.910.05-
2021/51.640.36-1.398.21-0.784.910.05-
2021/41.63-0.6-0.416.57-0.634.920.05-
2021/31.64-0.44-1.14.94-0.74.940.04-
2021/21.650.0-0.513.3-0.55.030.04-
2021/11.65-4.94-0.481.65-0.485.120.04-
2020/121.730.23.6820.05-0.095.180.04-
2020/111.730.84.6118.32-0.435.110.04-
2020/101.723.673.8116.59-0.935.020.04-
2020/91.660.93-0.5414.87-1.454.940.04-
2020/81.640.08-2.0113.21-1.574.940.04-
2020/71.64-0.94-1.0711.57-1.54.960.04-
2020/61.66-0.34-1.569.93-1.574.960.06-
2020/51.661.36-0.858.28-1.584.960.06-
2020/41.64-1.29-2.246.61-1.764.960.06-
2020/31.660.15-2.134.98-1.64.980.05-
2020/21.660.01-1.573.31-1.334.990.05-
2020/11.66-0.95-1.091.66-1.094.990.05-
2019/121.671.1-2.4620.071.660.0N/A-
2019/111.660.03-2.4418.42.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.722023/11.682022/11.642021/11.652020/11.66
2024/21.752023/21.72022/21.652021/21.652020/21.66
2024/31.732023/31.732022/31.662021/31.642020/31.66
2024/41.732023/41.692022/41.662021/41.632020/41.64
2024/51.742023/51.72022/51.672021/51.642020/51.66
2024/61.872023/61.812022/61.672021/61.642020/61.66
2024/71.742023/71.712022/71.662021/71.642020/71.64
2024/81.772023/81.732022/81.672021/81.652020/81.64
2024/91.762023/91.742022/91.72021/91.712020/91.66
2024/101.782023/101.722022/101.672021/101.732020/101.72
N/AN/A2023/111.732022/111.722021/111.742020/111.73
N/AN/A2023/121.762022/121.772021/121.742020/121.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 21.99%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.484.196.42
24Q2 (19)3.340.0-0.89
24Q1 (18)3.340.91-2.05
23Q4 (17)3.311.22-2.07
23Q3 (16)3.27-2.97-0.61
23Q2 (15)3.37-1.17-0.3
23Q1 (14)3.410.890.59
22Q4 (13)3.382.740.6
22Q3 (12)3.29-2.66-1.79
22Q2 (11)3.38-0.290.3
22Q1 (10)3.390.89-3.42
21Q4 (9)3.360.3-5.62
21Q3 (8)3.35-0.59-0.89
21Q2 (7)3.37-3.990.9
21Q1 (6)3.51-1.43.54
20Q4 (5)3.565.336.91
20Q3 (4)3.381.20.0
20Q2 (3)3.34-1.470.0
20Q1 (2)3.391.80.0
19Q4 (1)3.330.00.0

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