玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.9418.89-30.3764.59-24.8118.65N/A-
2024/95.83-0.73-40.8657.65-24.0916.960.52-
2024/85.8812.03-38.151.82-21.5817.420.5-
2024/75.25-16.63-33.2345.94-18.8117.410.5-
2024/66.297.16-24.9240.7-16.4918.760.36-
2024/55.87-10.94-25.8234.41-14.7420.30.33-
2024/46.59-15.87-5.3728.53-12.0321.260.31-
2024/37.8414.75-12.7421.94-13.8521.940.29-
2024/26.83-6.06-14.9114.1-14.4622.80.28-
2024/17.27-16.38-14.037.27-14.0325.120.26-
2023/128.7-4.97-14.22103.76-14.3727.810.23-
2023/119.15-8.14-23.5795.06-14.3928.980.22-
2023/109.960.98-21.1985.91-13.2829.320.22-
2023/99.863.89-16.875.95-12.1227.220.33-
2023/89.520.850.3166.09-11.3825.730.35-
2023/77.86-6.25-15.7756.59-13.0824.150.37-
2023/68.385.87-28.7648.73-12.6323.270.42-
2023/57.9213.6-12.2340.35-8.3223.870.41-
2023/46.97-22.4319.4732.44-7.3123.980.4-
2023/38.9811.9-9.2525.47-12.6625.470.44-
2023/28.03-5.1-11.2616.49-14.4226.620.42-
2023/18.46-16.55-17.228.46-17.2230.570.37-
2022/1210.14-15.33-3.34121.189.8834.750.39-
2022/1111.97-5.275.94111.0511.2736.470.37-
2022/1012.646.6127.6699.0711.9533.960.4-
2022/911.8625.265.1786.439.9730.650.59-
2022/89.471.467.8974.5810.7730.560.59-
2022/79.33-20.7216.6865.1111.2130.110.6-
2022/611.7730.4676.6555.7810.3426.620.7出貨量增加
2022/59.0254.657.9144.020.2824.750.76-
2022/45.83-41.08-33.8735.0-1.5124.780.76-
2022/39.99.43-2.8329.169.1629.160.58-
2022/29.05-11.473.7319.2716.5629.750.57-
2022/110.22-2.5730.910.2230.932.010.53-
2021/1210.49-7.1922.92110.295.2731.690.55-
2021/1111.314.1410.4599.83.732.480.53-
2021/109.9-12.163.0588.492.929.950.58-
2021/911.2728.512.3178.592.8828.040.6-
2021/88.779.72-2.5867.321.4523.430.71-
2021/77.9920.02-0.4558.552.0823.010.73-
2021/66.66-20.3-28.3650.552.523.840.57-
2021/58.36-5.23-2.2943.899.6727.360.49-
2021/48.82-13.4311.5135.5312.9227.730.49-
2021/310.1916.8316.6826.7213.426.720.48-
2021/28.7211.711.9416.5311.4625.060.51-
2021/17.81-8.510.927.8110.9226.570.48-
2020/128.53-16.61-16.2104.7612.0128.370.44-
2020/1110.236.496.996.2315.4629.880.42-
2020/109.61-4.268.6286.016.5728.650.44-
2020/910.0411.4555.4776.3917.6527.070.51出貨量增加
2020/89.012.1251.0966.3513.4726.330.52出貨量增加
2020/78.03-13.6215.1957.359.225.880.53-
2020/69.38.6934.3649.328.2925.760.55-
2020/58.558.1528.5940.023.6225.190.56-
2020/47.91-9.42-0.0631.47-1.5724.430.58-
2020/38.7312.08-14.8323.56-2.0723.560.65-
2020/27.7910.6828.8714.837.425.010.61-
2020/17.04-30.88-9.327.04-9.3226.790.57-
2019/1210.186.3814.3793.5331.90.0N/A-
2019/119.578.221.0683.3534.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.272023/18.462022/110.222021/17.812020/17.04
2024/26.832023/28.032022/29.052021/28.722020/27.79
2024/37.842023/38.982022/39.92021/310.192020/38.73
2024/46.592023/46.972022/45.832021/48.822020/47.91
2024/55.872023/57.922022/59.022021/58.362020/58.55
2024/66.292023/68.382022/611.772021/66.662020/69.3
2024/75.252023/77.862022/79.332021/77.992020/78.03
2024/85.882023/89.52022/89.472021/88.772020/89.0
2024/95.832023/99.862022/911.862021/911.272020/910.04
2024/106.942023/109.962022/1012.642021/109.92020/109.61
N/AN/A2023/119.152022/1111.972021/1111.32020/1110.23
N/AN/A2023/128.72022/1210.142021/1210.492020/128.53
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 19.87%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.53-4.6630.42
24Q2 (19)5.840.4458.9
24Q1 (18)4.133.2521.47
23Q4 (17)4.0-5.6621.95
23Q3 (16)4.2416.167.89
23Q2 (15)3.657.35-3.69
23Q1 (14)3.43.66-2.3
22Q4 (13)3.28-16.54-3.81
22Q3 (12)3.933.6929.7
22Q2 (11)3.798.913.27
22Q1 (10)3.482.05-6.2
21Q4 (9)3.4112.54-11.43
21Q3 (8)3.03-17.44-28.03
21Q2 (7)3.67-1.08-9.16
21Q1 (6)3.71-3.6412.08
20Q4 (5)3.85-8.5518.83
20Q3 (4)4.214.210.0
20Q2 (3)4.0422.050.0
20Q1 (2)3.312.160.0
19Q4 (1)3.240.00.0

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