玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.6317.64-22.1145.64-9.2314.77N/A-
2024/104.789.5564.4240.02-7.0714.3N/A接單狀況良好
2024/94.37-15.2312.2235.23-12.2513.191.67-
2024/85.1540.0636.1130.87-14.8813.31.66-
2024/73.68-17.84-51.5625.72-20.8211.611.9大專案尚未驗收完成
2024/64.4829.46-21.7422.04-11.4411.11.94-
2024/53.469.23-21.8217.57-8.3710.342.08-
2024/43.16-14.9714.2214.11-4.349.632.23-
2024/33.7235.41-17.4710.95-8.6410.951.84-
2024/22.75-38.6-16.037.22-3.311.681.72-
2024/14.480.456.614.486.6116.161.24-
2023/124.46-38.31-23.0554.756.1414.591.41-
2023/117.22148.37114.7450.299.8314.021.46接單狀況良好
2023/102.91-25.22-26.5643.071.5110.581.94-
2023/93.892.816.2540.164.4115.261.44-
2023/83.78-50.16-14.9336.274.2117.091.29-
2023/77.5932.7320.5532.487.0217.731.24-
2023/65.7229.34-0.7224.893.4712.911.62-
2023/54.4259.6-1.8119.174.811.71.79-
2023/42.77-38.57-23.214.756.9610.551.98-
2023/34.5137.7823.7811.9817.6511.981.52接單狀況良好
2023/23.27-22.04-7.27.4714.2313.261.37-
2023/14.2-27.4939.324.239.3213.351.36-
2022/125.7972.1517.3551.5831.1213.121.56-
2022/113.36-15.06-8.5445.7933.110.991.86-
2022/103.968.251.6442.4238.0812.071.7接單狀況良好
2022/93.66-17.697.0938.4636.8314.41.24-
2022/84.45-29.3646.4934.840.9416.511.09-
2022/76.39.29186.130.3540.1616.561.08接單狀況良好
2022/65.7627.9275.1724.0623.6513.871.31接單狀況良好
2022/54.524.84114.2318.313.1711.751.54接單狀況良好
2022/43.61-0.9862.213.79-1.9210.781.68接單狀況良好
2022/33.643.2843.1310.18-13.9710.181.84-
2022/23.5317.03-9.296.54-29.6111.481.63-
2022/13.01-38.93-44.233.01-44.2311.631.61-
2021/124.9434.1519.239.33-3.2311.230.99-
2021/113.6840.8227.7934.4-5.789.711.14-
2021/102.61-23.58-0.4730.72-8.659.071.22-
2021/93.4212.59-10.8228.11-9.348.651.21-
2021/83.0437.94-24.1624.69-9.138.531.23-
2021/72.2-33.08-10.8621.65-6.547.591.38-
2021/63.2956.45-18.2619.45-6.027.611.1-
2021/52.1-5.47-27.9816.16-3.076.871.22-
2021/42.22-12.62-41.1314.062.218.660.96-
2021/32.55-34.54-40.9211.8418.6111.840.71-
2021/23.89-28.0426.279.2963.8513.430.63接單狀況良好
2021/15.430.54108.485.4108.4812.420.68接單狀況良好
2020/124.1443.8237.1640.6520.289.641.02-
2020/112.889.663.736.5118.639.341.06-
2020/102.62-31.528.9833.6320.1110.460.94-
2020/93.83-4.2424.4631.0121.1610.310.91-
2020/84.062.1355.3627.1720.710.50.89接單狀況良好
2020/72.47-38.63-5.5723.1716.229.411.0-
2020/64.0237.8435.1520.719.5210.720.88-
2020/52.92-22.720.8516.6816.2711.010.86-
2020/43.78-12.32-3.5413.7620.1711.170.84-
2020/34.3139.9255.229.9832.59.980.94公司接單狀況良好
2020/23.0818.7963.795.6719.248.691.08去年底接單的訂單於本月驗收入帳, 以致本月營收較去年同期增加
2020/12.59-14.1-9.872.59-9.870.0N/A-
2019/123.028.735.6133.7914.570.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.482023/14.22022/13.012021/15.42020/12.59
2024/22.752023/23.272022/23.532021/23.892020/23.08
2024/33.722023/34.512022/33.642021/32.552020/34.31
2024/43.162023/42.772022/43.612021/42.222020/43.78
2024/53.462023/54.422022/54.52021/52.12020/52.92
2024/64.482023/65.722022/65.762021/63.292020/64.02
2024/73.682023/77.592022/76.32021/72.22020/72.47
2024/85.152023/83.782022/84.452021/83.042020/84.0
2024/94.372023/93.892022/93.662021/93.422020/93.83
2024/104.782023/102.912022/103.962021/102.612020/102.62
2024/115.632023/117.222022/113.362021/113.682020/112.88
N/AN/A2023/124.462022/125.792021/124.942020/124.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 91.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)11.4416.14120.85
24Q2 (19)9.854.6879.74
24Q1 (18)9.417.356.83
23Q4 (17)8.7769.3180.08
23Q3 (16)5.18-5.4738.13
23Q2 (15)5.48-8.6764.07
23Q1 (14)6.023.281.27
22Q4 (13)4.8729.87173.6
22Q3 (12)3.7512.2838.38
22Q2 (11)3.340.91101.2
22Q1 (10)3.3185.96152.67
21Q4 (9)1.78-34.32173.85
21Q3 (8)2.7163.25261.33
21Q2 (7)1.6626.7288.64
21Q1 (6)1.31101.5418.02
20Q4 (5)0.65-13.33-56.67
20Q3 (4)0.75-14.770.0
20Q2 (3)0.88-20.720.0
20Q1 (2)1.11-26.00.0
19Q4 (1)1.50.00.0

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