玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.7-18.5313.4624.342.428.8N/A-
2024/93.3219.3430.6121.641.198.670.66-
2024/82.788.0311.4218.32-2.767.750.73-
2024/72.577.110.3215.54-4.937.120.8-
2024/62.411.88-5.8812.97-5.96.740.96-
2024/52.15-2.05-10.6710.57-5.916.411.01-
2024/42.195.99-0.658.42-4.616.041.07-
2024/32.0716.19-10.96.23-5.936.231.02-
2024/21.78-25.22-23.474.16-3.256.171.03-
2024/12.3818.4220.562.3820.566.550.97-
2023/122.01-7.1-8.6427.94-5.066.560.97-
2023/112.16-9.15-9.7525.93-4.777.090.9-
2023/102.38-6.215.5723.76-4.297.420.86-
2023/92.541.8-3.421.38-5.287.60.84-
2023/82.49-2.7214.6618.84-5.527.610.84-
2023/72.560.480.7716.35-8.07.520.85-
2023/62.556.182.9813.78-9.467.160.9-
2023/52.48.92-6.2411.23-11.896.930.92-
2023/42.21-4.94-3.978.83-13.316.850.94-
2023/32.32-0.2-18.66.62-16.036.621.09-
2023/22.3317.81-3.074.3-14.576.51.11-
2023/11.97-10.26-25.041.97-25.046.571.1-
2022/122.2-8.23-2.8529.43-4.56.851.14-
2022/112.46.27-9.5927.23-4.637.281.07-
2022/102.26-14.19-16.6924.83-4.127.061.11-
2022/92.6320.86-13.2122.57-2.657.351.16-
2022/82.18-14.51-30.4919.95-1.077.21.18-
2022/72.542.68-24.3617.774.337.591.12-
2022/62.48-3.32-22.215.2311.47.341.21-
2022/52.5611.56-10.5112.7521.617.711.15-
2022/42.3-19.428.1910.1833.77.551.18-
2022/32.8518.8349.877.8943.567.891.29-
2022/22.4-8.8953.835.0340.217.31.39認列子公司營業收入
2022/12.6316.329.742.6329.747.551.35-
2021/122.26-14.626.730.8274.377.631.21認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/112.65-2.0655.7128.5579.738.391.1認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/102.71-10.6154.0725.982.618.871.04認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/93.03-3.1967.5323.1986.659.520.7認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/83.13-6.98110.5220.1689.919.680.69認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/73.365.63130.0717.0386.559.410.71認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/63.1911.19150.5613.6778.258.170.71認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/52.8634.89117.9210.4863.886.890.84認列子公司營業收入及客戶需求增加產能稼動力提升所致
2021/42.1211.6141.497.6249.895.591.03-
2021/31.921.9733.185.4953.425.490.67因客戶訂單需求增加稼動率提升所致
2021/21.56-23.1678.183.5966.855.380.69因客戶訂單需求增加稼動率提升所致
2021/12.0313.5759.082.0359.085.520.67因客戶訂單需求增加稼動率提升所致
2020/121.794.9423.5917.676.755.250.54-
2020/111.7-3.095.5215.895.135.270.54-
2020/101.76-2.87.4414.185.095.050.56-
2020/91.8121.647.3112.424.764.760.46-
2020/81.491.65-13.5510.624.344.220.51-
2020/71.4615.03-3.799.137.984.050.54-
2020/61.27-3.28-14.267.6710.574.090.62-
2020/51.31-12.413.796.417.324.240.59-
2020/41.55.0527.025.0821.423.80.66-
2020/31.4363.1830.463.5819.223.580.65-
2020/20.88-31.43.912.1512.773.60.64-
2020/11.28-11.7619.771.2819.774.340.53-
2019/121.45-10.3931.8616.55-0.780.0N/A-
2019/111.61-1.3345.3215.11-3.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.382023/11.972022/12.632021/12.032020/11.28
2024/21.782023/22.332022/22.42021/21.562020/20.88
2024/32.072023/32.322022/32.852021/31.92020/31.43
2024/42.192023/42.212022/42.32021/42.122020/41.5
2024/52.152023/52.42022/52.562021/52.862020/51.31
2024/62.42023/62.552022/62.482021/63.192020/61.27
2024/72.572023/72.562022/72.542021/73.362020/71.46
2024/82.782023/82.492022/82.182021/83.132020/81.49
2024/93.322023/92.542022/92.632021/93.032020/91.81
2024/102.72023/102.382022/102.262021/102.712020/101.76
N/AN/A2023/112.162022/112.42021/112.652020/111.7
N/AN/A2023/122.012022/122.22021/122.262020/121.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03-86.96-57.14
24Q2 (19)0.2327.78109.09
24Q1 (18)0.1828.57260.0
23Q4 (17)0.14100.040.0
23Q3 (16)0.07-36.36-30.0
23Q2 (15)0.11120.0266.67
23Q1 (14)0.05-50.0-28.57
22Q4 (13)0.10.0400.0
22Q3 (12)0.1233.33400.0
22Q2 (11)0.03-57.14-50.0
22Q1 (10)0.07250.0-12.5
21Q4 (9)0.020.0-75.0
21Q3 (8)0.02-66.67100.0
21Q2 (7)0.06-25.00
21Q1 (6)0.080.033.33
20Q4 (5)0.08700.0166.67
20Q3 (4)0.0100.0

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