玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.18-40.2114.3813.0521.394.24N/A-
2024/91.9781.4527.9611.8722.144.130.0-
2024/81.091.395.229.921.044.00.0-
2024/71.07-41.657.928.8123.333.930.0-
2024/61.8480.3638.917.7425.824.030.0-
2024/51.02-12.8713.915.922.223.730.0-
2024/41.17-23.8326.954.8824.123.660.0-
2024/31.5461.3730.043.7123.253.710.0-
2024/20.95-22.076.582.1718.863.80.0-
2024/11.22-24.7630.591.2230.593.90.0-
2023/121.6254.4111.813.42-4.553.710.0-
2023/111.051.918.411.8-6.443.630.0-
2023/101.03-33.11-2.8810.75-7.673.610.0-
2023/91.5449.216.519.72-8.153.570.0-
2023/81.033.99-3.558.18-10.483.350.0-
2023/70.99-24.89-5.227.14-11.43.210.0-
2023/61.3247.89-5.056.15-12.333.140.0-
2023/50.89-2.9-11.644.83-14.133.00.0-
2023/40.92-21.97-11.153.93-14.683.00.0-
2023/31.1832.25-10.623.01-15.73.010.0-
2023/20.89-4.51-14.081.83-18.693.280.0-
2023/10.94-35.59-22.650.94-22.653.360.0-
2022/121.4549.721.0614.078.163.480.0-
2022/110.97-8.69-16.2712.619.043.480.0-
2022/101.06-26.64-13.4511.6411.863.580.0-
2022/91.4535.1117.0610.5815.243.570.0-
2022/81.072.19-3.339.1314.963.510.0-
2022/71.05-24.76-3.98.0617.933.460.0-
2022/61.3937.6317.537.0122.073.440.0-
2022/51.01-2.3720.145.6223.263.370.0-
2022/41.04-21.50.364.6123.963.40.0-
2022/31.3227.1425.03.5733.053.570.0-
2022/21.04-14.0450.632.2538.293.690.0客戶量能增加
2022/11.21-15.8329.191.2129.193.80.0-
2021/121.4424.0355.4713.015.023.820.0客戶量能增加
2021/111.16-5.6233.911.5711.423.620.0-
2021/101.23-0.7747.2110.419.383.570.0-
2021/91.2411.57-4.099.185.743.440.0-
2021/81.111.5840.357.947.463.390.0-
2021/71.09-7.9712.266.843.533.120.0-
2021/61.1940.695.465.752.023.060.0-
2021/50.84-18.44-11.814.561.162.930.0-
2021/41.03-2.24-2.943.724.652.780.0-
2021/31.0653.2126.082.687.912.680.0-
2021/20.69-26.27-3.251.63-1.322.550.0-
2021/10.941.280.140.940.142.720.0-
2020/120.926.820.7611.3117.822.620.0-
2020/110.863.7617.6110.3819.632.990.0-
2020/100.83-35.36-7.789.5219.812.910.0-
2020/91.2963.2866.488.6823.363.050.0部分客戶量能增加;部分客戶備貨
2020/80.79-18.7423.587.3918.022.890.0-
2020/70.97-13.54-6.456.617.393.050.0-
2020/61.1217.6433.495.6322.83.140.0-
2020/50.96-10.2429.034.5120.392.860.0-
2020/41.0627.031.053.5518.262.620.0-
2020/30.8417.56-3.932.4913.512.490.0-
2020/20.71-23.6861.971.6525.082.560.0某單一客戶單月大幅成長以及主要ODM擔心疫情影響有斷鏈危機而提前備貨( 三月將恢復正常供需)
2020/10.931.96.550.936.552.590.0-
2019/120.9224.6823.829.5912.980.0N/A-
2019/110.74-18.647.388.6811.940.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.222023/10.942022/11.212021/10.942020/10.93
2024/20.952023/20.892022/21.042021/20.692020/20.71
2024/31.542023/31.182022/31.322021/31.062020/30.84
2024/41.172023/40.922022/41.042021/41.032020/41.06
2024/51.022023/50.892022/51.012021/50.842020/50.96
2024/61.842023/61.322022/61.392021/61.192020/61.12
2024/71.072023/70.992022/71.052021/71.092020/70.97
2024/81.092023/81.032022/81.072021/81.112020/80.79
2024/91.972023/91.542022/91.452021/91.242020/91.29
2024/101.182023/101.032022/101.062021/101.232020/100.83
N/AN/A2023/111.052022/110.972021/111.162020/110.86
N/AN/A2023/121.622022/121.452021/121.442020/120.92
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 20.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.92-23.9716.46
24Q2 (19)1.2126.0434.44
24Q1 (18)0.9645.4520.0
23Q4 (17)0.66-16.461.54
23Q3 (16)0.79-12.2231.67
23Q2 (15)0.912.55.88
23Q1 (14)0.823.08-20.79
22Q4 (13)0.658.33-14.47
22Q3 (12)0.6-29.41-34.07
22Q2 (11)0.85-15.84-27.97
22Q1 (10)1.0132.8913.48
21Q4 (9)0.76-16.4831.03
21Q3 (8)0.91-22.8846.77
21Q2 (7)1.1832.5816.83
21Q1 (6)0.8953.451.14
20Q4 (5)0.58-6.45-14.71
20Q3 (4)0.62-38.610.0
20Q2 (3)1.0114.770.0
20Q1 (2)0.8829.410.0
19Q4 (1)0.680.00.0

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