玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.51-12.7134.215.36-4.381.62N/A-
2024/90.589.2410.094.85-7.181.70.5-
2024/80.53-9.1211.364.26-9.131.580.54-
2024/70.5927.02-18.863.73-11.461.690.5-
2024/60.46-28.32-35.783.14-9.921.60.45-
2024/50.6431.5111.182.68-3.211.840.39-
2024/40.49-30.04-10.182.04-7.021.670.43-
2024/30.747.15-7.981.55-5.971.550.56-
2024/20.4828.54-6.640.85-4.241.190.73-
2024/10.378.27-0.970.37-0.971.190.73-
2023/120.34-29.07-51.576.43-38.551.20.91本期客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2023/110.4827.29-26.626.08-37.611.390.78-
2023/100.38-28.4-30.275.6-38.41.390.79-
2023/90.5310.51-50.355.22-38.921.730.54本期客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2023/80.48-33.79-59.294.69-37.291.920.48本期客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2023/70.720.548.914.21-33.192.020.46-
2023/60.7224.09-32.923.49-38.141.840.84-
2023/50.586.22-32.192.77-39.371.890.82-
2023/40.55-28.32-53.062.19-41.021.820.85本期客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2023/30.7649.29-35.71.65-35.531.651.18-
2023/20.5136.3631.390.88-35.391.591.22-
2023/10.37-47.04-61.840.37-61.841.741.12112年1月適逢春節,出貨天數較少
2022/120.717.46-16.3410.46277.831.911.21本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/110.6620.9572.439.75407.012.271.02本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/100.54-49.0259.529.09489.732.790.83本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/91.07-9.38224.628.55611.742.911.03本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/81.1877.12430.677.48757.382.911.03本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/70.66-38.08472.476.31868.62.591.15本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/61.0725.4441962.45.64954.473.091.24本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/50.86-26.46947.74.57758.133.21.2本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/41.16-1.81762.143.72723.832.741.4本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/31.18205.09856.812.55707.492.551.77本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/20.39-60.41965.771.37611.362.212.05本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2022/10.9816.08464.740.98464.742.212.05本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2021/120.84121.51407.42.772.711.572.97本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2021/110.3811.980.061.92-23.921.054.43本期客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2021/100.343.7318.771.54-33.420.895.22-
2021/90.3348.13-19.481.2-40.80.675.77-
2021/80.2291.0791.290.87-46.160.3411.29累計客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/70.124449.41-44.480.65-56.740.219.18客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/60.0-96.87-98.220.54-58.720.228.31客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/50.08-39.48-64.390.53-53.790.345.35客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/40.138.967.260.45-51.160.286.56客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/30.12558.7-53.480.32-60.370.321.58客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/20.02-89.17-93.010.19-63.810.361.39客戶訂單較去年同期減少
2021/10.174.29-33.870.17-33.870.550.91-
2020/120.17-21.38-12.972.6928.040.660.26-
2020/110.21-26.19-3.272.5332.140.910.19-
2020/100.29-29.67176.242.3236.720.810.21客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2020/90.41251.9793.662.0327.610.730.49客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2020/80.12-44.542.061.6217.530.470.77-
2020/70.2145.2663.691.5118.910.580.62客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2020/60.14-37.24-34.821.313.890.50.84-
2020/50.2382.3274.111.1525.610.620.68客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2020/40.13-52.75-46.980.9217.490.660.64-
2020/30.27-1.1431.010.845.350.80.34-
2020/20.272.55122.440.5353.780.720.37客戶訂單較去年同期增加
2020/10.2637.2516.80.2616.80.670.4-
2019/120.19-12.62-11.722.154.130.0N/A客戶訂單較去年增加
2019/110.22110.7926.961.9166.560.0N/A客戶訂單較去年同期增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.372023/10.372022/10.982021/10.172020/10.26
2024/20.482023/20.512022/20.392021/20.022020/20.27
2024/30.72023/30.762022/31.182021/30.122020/30.27
2024/40.492023/40.552022/41.162021/40.132020/40.13
2024/50.642023/50.582022/50.862021/50.082020/50.23
2024/60.462023/60.722022/61.072021/60.02020/60.14
2024/70.592023/70.722022/70.662021/70.122020/70.21
2024/80.532023/80.482022/81.182021/80.222020/80.12
2024/90.582023/90.532022/91.072021/90.332020/90.41
2024/100.512023/100.382022/100.542021/100.342020/100.29
N/AN/A2023/110.482022/110.662021/110.382020/110.21
N/AN/A2023/120.342022/120.712021/120.842020/120.17
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.20.01900.0
24Q2 (19)0.21900.0900.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.0-83.33
23Q4 (17)0.010.0-85.71
23Q3 (16)0.01-50.0-85.71
23Q2 (15)0.02-66.67-75.0
23Q1 (14)0.06-14.290.0
22Q4 (13)0.070.0-30.0
22Q3 (12)0.07-12.5-58.82
22Q2 (11)0.0833.33-50.0
22Q1 (10)0.06-40.0-50.0
21Q4 (9)0.1-41.1811.11
21Q3 (8)0.176.2570.0
21Q2 (7)0.1633.33100.0
21Q1 (6)0.1233.330.0
20Q4 (5)0.09-10.0-10.0
20Q3 (4)0.125.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.08-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.1220.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.10.00.0

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