玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.54-6.12-9.515.13-10.71.6N/A-
2024/100.5716.450.334.59-10.841.44N/A-
2024/90.4929.787.594.02-12.231.270.37-
2024/80.38-6.22-3.623.53-14.431.240.38-
2024/70.4-12.27-2.613.15-15.571.390.34-
2024/60.46-12.78-11.262.74-17.191.510.38-
2024/50.531.44-15.272.28-18.291.610.35-
2024/40.52-6.9-15.261.76-19.161.360.42-
2024/30.56100.11-16.11.24-20.691.240.43-
2024/20.28-29.91-43.380.68-24.121.230.43-
2024/10.4-28.13-0.380.4-0.381.550.34-
2023/120.55-6.61-13.116.29-8.011.720.24-
2023/110.594.099.775.74-7.491.620.26-
2023/100.5724.87-26.525.15-9.141.420.3-
2023/90.4616.25-38.84.58-6.381.260.38-
2023/80.39-5.25-35.724.12-0.541.330.36-
2023/70.41-20.06-17.053.735.531.560.31-
2023/60.52-16.72-36.893.319.261.750.25-
2023/50.621.46-14.592.7926.411.90.23-
2023/40.61-7.8231.022.1746.591.770.25-
2023/30.6735.0448.491.5653.781.560.24累計數本期較去年同期增加53.79%主要係因疫情解封、旅遊回升
2023/20.4923.31105.240.8957.981.530.25111年同期適逢春節連續假期,工作天數減少所致
2023/10.4-37.3123.050.423.051.580.24-
2022/120.6417.9825.126.8476.821.950.17因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/110.54-30.328.736.284.662.060.16因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/100.784.0135.85.6697.852.130.15因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/90.7522.1296.84.8992.921.860.15因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/80.6122.27174.334.1476.581.930.14因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/70.5-39.18143.893.5366.332.050.14因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/60.8212.69282.783.0358.052.020.17因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/50.7355.66181.752.2129.741.650.21因疫情關係,防疫產品需求量增加所致
2022/40.474.45-7.981.482.521.160.29-
2022/30.4586.6516.531.018.241.010.36-
2022/20.24-26.0626.730.572.461.070.33-
2022/10.32-36.26-10.250.32-10.251.330.27-
2021/120.512.5310.193.87-15.271.340.22-
2021/110.551.09-11.743.36-18.141.010.29-
2021/100.3375.01-47.832.86-19.150.740.39-
2021/90.19-15.58-66.312.53-12.940.620.54本期較去年同期減少約66.31%,主要係因本期仍處於新冠疫情警戒管制,嚴重影響來客數及車輛所致。
2021/80.228.7-60.942.35-0.280.640.51本期較去年同期減少約60.95%主要係因本期仍處於新冠疫情警戒管制,嚴重影響來客數及車輛所致。
2021/70.2-4.54-53.462.1219.110.680.49本期較去年同期減少約53.47%,主要係因本期仍處於新冠疫情三級警戒管制,嚴重影響來客數及車輛數所致。
2021/60.21-17.04-24.621.9242.920.980.37-
2021/50.26-49.1540.011.761.111.150.31本期年累計較去年累計增加約61%,主係因去年新冠病毒疫情爆發,來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑所致。
2021/40.5132.28172.81.4565.581.080.33本期較去年同期增加約172%,主係因去年同期新冠病毒疫情爆發,來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑所致。
2021/30.38103.090.40.9436.430.940.33本期較去年同期增加約90.40%,主係因去年同期新冠病毒疫情爆發,來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑所致。
2021/20.19-47.64-25.930.5513.91.010.31-
2021/10.36-21.7458.560.3658.561.390.22本期較去年同期增加58.56%,主要係因去年1月份適逢農曆春節連續假期,觀光工廠館休營業日數較少所致。
2020/120.46-17.887.444.57-5.491.660.19-
2020/110.56-10.6922.584.1-6.761.750.18-
2020/100.6313.0228.193.54-10.181.760.18-
2020/90.56-2.1330.222.91-15.651.570.26-
2020/80.5729.52132.552.35-22.161.30.32本期較去年同期大幅增加132.56%,主要係因新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,民眾報復性出遊潮加上自109年6月起有額外銷售醫療器材類產品所致
2020/70.4454.6141.91.78-35.820.910.45-
2020/60.2854.08-20.551.34-45.590.660.59-
2020/50.18-0.94-61.41.06-49.840.570.68本期較去年同期減少約61.40%,主要係因新冠病毒疫情爆發使得來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑,致使5月份營收因而明顯減少。
2020/40.19-7.67-60.50.87-46.450.640.61本期較去年同期減少約60.51%,主要係因新冠病毒疫情爆發使得來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑,致使4月份營收因而明顯減少。
2020/30.2-21.02-58.420.69-40.720.690.57本期較去年同期減少約58.43%,主要係因新冠病毒疫情爆發使得來客數與遊覽車數大幅下滑,致使3月份營收因而明顯減少。
2020/20.2612.07-11.820.48-27.90.910.43-
2020/10.23-46.97-40.140.23-40.140.0N/A-
2019/120.43-6.31-0.834.83-2.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.42023/10.42022/10.322021/10.362020/10.23
2024/20.282023/20.492022/20.242021/20.192020/20.26
2024/30.562023/30.672022/30.452021/30.382020/30.2
2024/40.522023/40.612022/40.472021/40.512020/40.19
2024/50.532023/50.622022/50.732021/50.262020/50.18
2024/60.462023/60.522022/60.822021/60.212020/60.28
2024/70.42023/70.412022/70.52021/70.22020/70.44
2024/80.382023/80.392022/80.612021/80.222020/80.57
2024/90.492023/90.462022/90.752021/90.192020/90.56
2024/100.572023/100.572022/100.782021/100.332020/100.63
2024/110.542023/110.592022/110.542021/110.52020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/120.552022/120.642021/120.512020/120.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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